• Harvey Norman (ASX:HVN) share price hits multi-year high: Can it go higher?

    woman throwing arms up in celebration whilst looking at asx share price rise on laptop computer

    The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price is on form again on Friday and is pushing higher.

    In afternoon trade, the retail giant’s shares are up 3.5% to a multi-year high of $4.93.

    This latest gain means that the Harvey Norman share price is now up 41% over the last six months.

    As a comparison, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up a solid 13.8% over the same period.

    Why is the Harvey Norman share price at a multi-year high?

    Investors have been buying Harvey Norman’s shares over the last few months thanks to its strong performance during the pandemic.

    In November, the retailer released a trading update which revealed stellar sales growth so far in FY 2021.

    According to the release, aggregated sales revenue increased by 28.2% between 1 July and 21 November compared to the prior corresponding period.

    Management advised that this was driven by strong same store sales growth across almost all regions and particularly in the ANZ market.

    Harvey Norman’s Australian franchisees delivered a 30.4% increase in comparable store sales and its New Zealand stores reported a 20.4% lift in comparable store sales. This includes stores that were temporarily closed due to COVID-19.

    Pleasingly, Harvey Norman’s profit growth has been even stronger in FY 2021 thanks to margin expansion. Between 1 July and 31 October, the company reported unaudited profit before tax growth of 160.1% on the prior corresponding period.

    Can the Harvey Norman share price go even higher?

    Two brokers that believe Harvey Norman’s shares can still go higher are Citi and Credit Suisse.

    Citi has a buy rating and $5.50 price target on its shares, whereas Credit Suisse has an outperform rating and $5.30 price target on its shares.

    Citi’s price target implies potential upside of over 11% even from the multi-year high it reached today. That doesn’t include the very generous 45 cents per share fully franked dividend it is forecasting.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why the G8 Education (ASX:GEM) share price is down 35% in a year

    child making thumbs down gesture with grimacing face

    Non-cyclical shares, like those in the education sector, are usually spared the worst of an economic downturn. But the 2020 downturn was not like any other. It forced the closure of shops, educational facilities and many other services we previously took for granted.

    Educational childcare company G8 Education Ltd (ASX: GEM) was one such company which experienced significant fallout from the government-ordered closures of childcare centres during the year.

    As a result, the G8 Education share price tumbled by nearly 35% over the past year.

    Let’s take a look at what’s been happening with G8 Education.

    Recap of G8 Education’s performance in 2020

    In its half-year results ending 30 June 2020, G8 Education reported operating earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $29 million, down 44% on the prior corresponding period. This was on the back of $308 million in revenue, which was down 28% on the prior period. 

    The company then followed this up with a trading update in November, announcing that its year-to-date EBIT stood at $98 million, which included current year wage costs relating to the employee payment remediation program.

    The employee remediation program refers to the amount the company said it owed to employees between 2014 to 2020, after a self-review identified inadvertent non-compliance issues. That amount will be between $50 million and $80 million, and has been reported to the Fair Work Ombudsman.

    Quick take on G8 Education

    G8 Education operates a portfolio of around 500 childcare centres in Australia, with a further 17 centres in Singapore.

    In Australia, around 60% of childcare costs are borne by federal government subsidies, which have consistently increased in recent decades. For example, subsidies increased in 2018 under the federal government’s Jobs for Families legislation.

    Looking at G8 Education’s balance sheet, the company has a strong cash flow due to the working capital model inherent in the business. Parents pay for their children’s fees one month in advance, while staff are paid one month in arrears.

    Over the past decade, G8 has grown via a series of acquisitions, which have been funded mainly via the issuance of debt. It’s worth noting that leveraged acquisitions are not without risks. This is evidenced by the collapse of ASX-listed ABC Learning – once the world’s biggest early childhood education company – in 2008 due to excessive debt as it tried to expand. 

    Outlook

    In its presentation to investors in November, G8 Education said it expected 2021 to be a recovery year, given the absence of additional government subsidies and the ongoing impacts of COVID-19.

    The company reported that, in 2021, it will focus on the divestment of its impaired centres, and the rollout of its new “greenfield” centres. Approximately 10 new greenfield centres are expected to open in 2021 with a capital outlay of approximately $4 million.

    Approximately $10 million in capital expenditure will also be used in 2021 to execute the company’s strategy.

    G8 Education share price snapshot

    As mentioned, the G8 Education share price has lost around 35% over a year, however it has risen by around 36% over the last six months.

    At the time of writing, the G8 Education share price is trading 0.86% higher for the day so far at $1.16. At this share price, the company commands a market capitalisation of around $983 million.

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  • Here’s what 1 broker thinks about the Chalice (ASX:CHN) share price

    asx shares in 2021 represented by sparkling gold numbers 2021

    2020 was a breakthrough year for ASX mining shares, with commodities including gold, iron and copper running to multi-year highs.

    Higher commodity prices brings to life many more prospective exploration projects, with a number of ASX mining shares delivering 1,000% returns last year

    Chalice Mining Ltd (ASX: CHN) was one of the best performing ASX mining shares, running from 20 cents to close at almost $4.00 in 2020.

    On 5 January 2021, Bell Potter upgraded the Chalice Mining share price target from $5.35 to $5.60. Here’s why the broker sees significant upside in the exploration company. 

    The Chalice growth story so far 

    Chalice is a Perth-based exploration company, focused on base and precious metals. It has an experienced management and geological technical team whose members are recognised for their exploration success.

    The company’s strategy is to target tier-1 scale (net present value greater than US$1 billion) mineral projects. This by actively managing its exploration portfolio and undertaking high impact activity on its projects. 

    Chalice advanced two gold projects to the point where they were sold for $107 million – far more than the cost of exploration – to larger companies for subsequent development. Chalice returned $25 million to its shareholders and retained significant funds for further exploration. 

    Today, the company’s assets comprise 2 new and significant discoveries, the Julimar project in Western Australia and the Pyramid Hill gold project in Central Victoria. Chalice also owns a number of minor exploration projects and royalty interests for a range of metals including gold, nickel, copper and vanadium. 

    Chalice share price upgraded with buy rating 

    The Chalice share price was upgraded from $5.35 to $5.60, or a 25% upside to its current share price. Bell Potter believes the company is well-funded to continue its major exploration program at Julimar, plus drilling programs at Pyramid Hill gold project and limited exploration on its other projects with cash currently estimated at ~$120 million. 

    This funding will support even higher levels of drilling activity and associated economic studies at Julimar. The broker continues to regard the Julimar proejct as a world ranking one with potential to become a major new Tier-1 source of platinum-group elements. 

    Foolish takeaway

    ASX mining shares across the board, from giants such as BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) to microcaps, have all benefited from higher commodity prices. 

    Chalice’s recent capital raising was well-received by the market, and places the company in a position to deliver further drillings activity and economic studies for its two core projects in 2021. 

    At the time of writing, the Chalice share price is trading up 3.57% at $4.64.

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  • Leading broker names the ASX tech shares to buy in 2021

    asx shares involved with cloud tech represented by illuminated cloud on circuit board

    Analysts at Bell Potter have been busy finding ASX shares from several industries that they believe are best placed to have a strong 2021.

    On this occasion, I’m going to look at the tech sector. Here are a few shares they rate highly:

    Life360 Inc (ASX: 360)

    This family safety app provider is Bell Potter’s top pick in the sector. It has a buy rating and lofty $7.70 price target on its shares.

    Bell Potter notes that the company is carving out a significant global footprint with its family app at the core. The broker also believes it will benefit greatly once the pandemic passes and people are on the move again.

    It explained: “The company delivered a significant membership feature launch in the middle of 2020, and the benefits of this are set to flow through over the medium-term. As a location sharing app, we see this as a COVID recovery stock, as when people start moving around again (particularly in the key US market), we anticipate the usage to increase.”

    Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT)

    The broker remains bullish on this payments company and has a buy rating and $140.00 price target on its shares. Bell Potter believes there is a significant pipeline of catalysts that will support the company’s growth in the future.

    It explained: “These include further integration with other key e-commerce and payment infrastructure players in the market, further growth in customers and GMV in the US and UK as spending ramps up ahead of Christmas, a healthy Net Transaction Margin (with bad-debts remaining low) to continue into 2021 and commentary on progress made with regard to its international expansion.”

    Uniti Group Ltd (ASX: UWL)

    Another tech share which the broker has tipped as a buy is Uniti. It is the owner and operator of private fibre networks and is also a provider of value-add telecommunications services in niche markets. The broker has a buy rating and $1.85 price target on its shares.

    Bell Potter commented: “The company has grown rapidly through both organic growth and a number of acquisitions over the past 18 months and just recently acquired key competitor Opticomm which significantly strengthens its market position.”

    “We are positive on the outlook for the combined company given the strong pipeline and also the potential for synergies to be greater than flagged. We also see the stock as a potential takeover target over the next six to twelve months,” it added.

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  • Why Disney stock gained 22% in December

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    asx share price rise represented by rising digital stock chart

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    What happened

    Shares of Walt Disney Co (NYSE: DIS) jumped last month after the entertainment giant unleashed a wave of impressive updates at its investor day conference on 10 December, including a significant expansion in its goals for Disney+ and the rest of its streaming services. That news helped propel the stock up 22%, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, hitting an all-time high in the process.

    As you can see from the chart below, shares surged on the update and tacked on more gains at the end of December.

    DIS Chart

    DIS data by YCharts.

    So what

    Disney stock rose 13.6% on 11 December following the announcements at the investors conference. Shareholders seemed most excited about the new streaming forecasts, as the company now expects to reach 300 million-350 million subscribers by 2024 across its streaming services, which include Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+. That’s up from 137 million currently and a reflection of Disney’s plans to dramatically ramp up content for its services. Included in that guidance is 230 million-260 million Disney+ subscribers, up from 86.8 million currently and much better than its original forecast of 60 million-90 million subscribers by 2024.

    Over the next few years, the company also plans to release 10 Star Wars series10 Marvel series, and 15 Disney series, including animation, live action, and Pixar. The entertainment giant also said it would raise the monthly price on Disney+ from $6.99 to $7.99.

    Now what

    Disney had already announced earlier that it would restructure its entertainment division around Disney+, and the news at its investor day has only reinforced shareholders’ confidence in that strategy. Considering that Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX) has a valuation north of $200 billion, it seems reasonable to expect Disney shares to climb as its streaming services become preeminent and the company is valued more like a growth stock.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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    Jeremy Bowman owns shares of Netflix and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Netflix and Walt Disney and recommends the following options: short January 2021 $135 calls on Walt Disney and long January 2021 $60 calls on Walt Disney. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Netflix and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why is the CSL (ASX:CSL) share price trading around its COVID lows?

    falling healthcare asx share price represented by doctor appearing dismayed

    In recent weeks, the CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) share price has been struggling to gain momentum and put its COVID-19 lows firmly behind it. Shares in the biotech giant have again been dropping today and are currently trading 0.45% lower in morning trade. This takes the CSL share price down to $275.37 – its lowest level since early August and a mere 1.6% higher than its March lows.

    What’s gone wrong for the CSL share price?

    The CSL share price has been suffering as string of negative news has plagued the company since the release of its annual report in September. Compounding this, the lack of any particularly positive updates is also arguably playing a part in the stagnation of CSL shares.

    In early December the biotech giant announced that its University of Queensland COVID-19 vaccine was to be scrapped. This came after Phase 1 trial data delivered what could be construed as misleading results regarding HIV diagnoses.

    While there were no serious adverse effects or safety concerns surrounding the vaccine, it was discovered it had the potential to produce false-positive HIV test results. This was due to the molecular clamp component of the vaccine. Thus, in spite of showing potential for successfully fighting COVID-19, CSL made the decision together with the Australian Government not to continue with the vaccine’s development. 

    Investors were clearly unsettled by the news, as was evidenced by the 9% fall in the CSL share price following the announcement.

    Pandemic hits plasma collections

    In addition to terminating its COVID-19 vaccine trial, CSL has also been impacted by a decline in its plasma collections during 2020, as reported by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ). Plasma is an essential ingredient in some of CSL’s immunoglobulin products and pandemic-related lockdowns have made the collection process more complicated. Almost half of CSL’s sales come from these immunoglobulin products. 

    CSL Chief Executive Paul Perreault said of immunoglobulin (quoted by WSJ):

    Across the globe, there’s going to be a lot of tightness in the market and there will be some shortages in various countries.

    Whether the U.S. sees all of that or not, it really depends on how quickly plasma collections come back.

    Despite the rollout of a COVID-19 vaccine having already commenced in the US, as also reported by The Wall Street Journal, the country is continuing to see record numbers of new cases, deaths and hospitalisations. 

    Foolish takeaway

    Despite its lacklustre returns of late, the performance of the CSL share price over the past year is not far behind that of the overall market. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has fallen 1.2% over the last twelve months whilst CSL shares have declined 3.67%.

    In its 2020 annual report released on 4 September, CSL advised it expected strong demand from its recombinant therapies to continue, highlighting its differentiated products and strong demand for its influenza vaccines.

    In the same report, the company estimated net profit after tax of approximately US$2.170 billion to US$2.265 billion for FY21.

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    Daniel Ewing has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Brokers just upgraded the Sonic (ASX:SHL) share price and this other ASX stock to “buy”

    asx share price upgrade represented by hand drawing line under the word upgrade

    Our marker is rallying for a second day but two ASX stocks stand out as leading brokers just upgraded them to “buy”.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) gained 0.3% as global investors continued to embrace the “Blue Wave” sweeping the US.

    But the prospect of large stimulus measures in the world’s biggest economy isn’t the only driver for ASX stocks.

    Testing ramp-up triggers broker’s “buy” upgrade

    The latest COVID‐19 outbreaks around the country gave Morgans a reason to upgrade the Sonic Healthcare Limited (ASX: SHL) share price.

    Testing for the contagious virus is being aggressively ramped up in Australia as Queensland becomes the latest to implement a lockdown to contain the outbreak.

    “We estimate more than 9.3m tests have been conducted in 1HFY21, a c8% uplift in total tests from our prior estimate, with SHL capturing c20% market share,” said Morgans. 

    “Testing across ROW [rest of world] remains strong, with solid estimated 2QFY21/1QFY21 increases across SHL’s the main geographies (US, +67%; Ger, +57%; Switzerland, +206%; Belgium, +97%).”

    More tests needed despite vaccines

    The more virulent strain from the UK will only add to pressure for more people to be tested and Morgans lifted its earnings forecast for Sonic.

    “We have adjusted our FY21-23 estimates based on increased assumptions for COVID-19 testing, with incremental earnings contribution between A$99m and A$375m per annum over the forecast period, representing between 6-20% of operating income,” added Morgans.

    “We believe investors have not completely appreciated the persistent effects of COVID-19 testing.”

    The broker upgraded its recommendation on the Sonic share price to “add” from “hold”. It also increased its 12-month price target to $37.32 from $34.57 a share.

    Broker upgrade shifts this ASX stock to higher gear

    Meanwhile, the ARB Corporation Limited (ASX: ARB) share price got a boost after Citigroup upgraded the stock.

    The broker changed its recommendation on the four-wheel drive accessories supplier to “buy” from “hold” as it believes ARB’s medium-term outlook is improving.

    The recovery in auto sales, particularly SUVs, is one positive driver for the group. The broker also believes high savings rates and limited international travel will support discretionary spending in 2021.

    Additional tailwinds to drive the ARB share price

    Further, the strength of the Australian dollar compared to the Thai Baht will also improve ARB’s margins. The group operates factories in Thailand.

    Additionally, the government’s instant asset write-off should boost demand for ARB’s products, while strong US demand for utes bodes well for ARB’s export sales.

    “Citi’s proprietary ARB sales index accelerated to +16% growth in December 2020 up from +10% in November 2020 driven by strong growth in upper large SUV (+122%), large SUV (+16%) and 4×4 sales (+14%),” said Citi.

    “However, we may have to wait till 2H21 to observe all the sales benefits from this tailwind as accessories for new SUV/4×4 models may not be readily available due to supply chain constraint.”

    Citi’s 12-month price target on the ARB share price increased to $34.25 from $30.30 a share.

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  • ASX 200 up 0.4%: Afterpay & Zip charge higher, NAB rises, Harvey Norman hits new high

    ASX share

    At lunch on Friday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to end the week on a high. The benchmark index is currently up 0.4% to 6,738.2 points.

    Here’s what has been happening on the market today:

    Tech shares storm higher.

    The tech sector has been doing some of the heavy lifting on Friday. Solid gains by the likes of Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) and Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) have helped drive the S&P ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) 1.5% higher at lunch. This has been driven by a strong rise on the Nasdaq index overnight following the Democrat’s victory in the battle for the Senate. The technology-focused index rose over 2.5% to close above the 13,000 points mark for the first time.

    Bank shares push higher.

    Also doing some of the heavy lifting today are the big four banks. All four banks are on the rise on Friday and helping drive the ASX 200 higher. The best performers in the group have been National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) shares. The two banks are up a sizeable 1.1% at the time of writing.

    Harvey Norman multi-year high.

    The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price has continued its positive run and hit a multi-year high of $4.90 on Friday. The retail giant’s shares have been on fire over the last few months after delivering stellar sales growth during the pandemic. This latest gain means the Harvey Norman share price is now up 40% over the last six months.

    Best and worst performers.

    The best performer on the ASX 200 on Friday has been the Bingo Industries Ltd (ASX: BIN) share price with a 5% gain on no news. The worst performer has been the Charter Hall Group (ASX: CHC) share price with a 3.5% decline. A number of real estate companies have come under pressure on Friday and are dropping lower.

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    James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Do Australian consumers care about chaos?

    Wooden blocks spelling out 'Chaos' next to a wooden figurine

    The coronavirus and political chaos in the US are hot topics in the headlines today. The Morrison government is under pressure to get the coronavirus vaccine moving and Washington DC is reeling after yesterday’s raid of the US Capitol building.

    Coming up this Monday, the monthly Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index number will be released. The index measures the overall level of consumer confidence in economic activity.

    Let’s take look at the last index reading and consider how the recent reign of chaos in the States may or may not have an effect.

    A December 10-year high

    Remarkably, the last consumer sentiment numbers released in December 2020 marked a 10-year high. 

    The announcement credited the resilience of Australia’s financial system and the country’s fast response to COVID as indicators of how consumer sentiment reached such an incredible result.

    In response to this impressive record, Westpac chief economist Bill Evans boldly stated, “After only eight months the evidence seems clear that sentiment has fully recovered from the COVID recession.”

    So what does this tell us? It basically says that, regardless of the lockdown doom and gloom stories and vaccine worries we regularly read about, people are still spending their money.

    Markets soar as Washington dives

    While the US spent yesterday reeling during the violent riots that stormed the US Capitol building, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a party. The benchmark index jumped 1.59% according to Thursday’s close and opened this morning with a 0.22% gain.

    Regardless of what might be happening in the streets of DC, investors are seemingly just happy to see the Democrats making their way back into the White House. Perhaps the political turmoil in the US has become business-as-usual to many market players?

    What should we expect from the Westpac Consumer Confidence report?

    Throughout the coronavirus pandemic and recent rattles caused by US elections, Australian consumers have continued to keep the ship sailing. Employment numbers are improving and people are buying houses. 

    These are the type of economic indicators the Westpac Consumer Confidence report takes into consideration and will be reflected when the latest index result is released. 

    According to the most recent readings, Australian consumers are resilient. And, regardless of a global health crisis and borderline anarchy in Washington DC, the share market has remained steady. Coming up on Monday, we’ll learn about what the latest consumer sentiment analysis has to say about all of this.

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    Motley Fool contributor Gretchen Kennedy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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  • Why Atomos, Corporate Travel Management, Fortescue, & Nick Scali are dropping lower

    Downward trend

    In late morning trade the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to finish the week on a high. The benchmark index is currently up 0.3% to 6,730.4 points.

    Four shares that have failed to follow the market higher today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping lower:

    Atomos Ltd (ASX: AMS)

    The Atomos share price has dropped 4% to $1.03. Investors may be taking profit after a strong gain by the video technology company’s shares on Thursday following the release of a trading update. That update revealed that Atomos achieved sales of $32.6 million during the first half. This was well ahead of its previous guidance of ~$28 million.

    Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD)

    The Corporate Travel Management share price has fallen 2% to $16.97. A number of travel shares have been underperforming on Friday. This could be due to news that the Queensland government has locked down the Greater Brisbane area in attempt to stop the spread of a highly contagious strain of COVID-19.

    Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG)

    The Fortescue share price is down 1.5% to $25.52. Investors may be taking a bit of profit off the table after the iron ore producer’s shares surged to a new record high on Thursday. Fortescue and its peers jumped notably higher after the Democrats took control of the Senate. This sparked hopes that further stimulus will be coming to support economic growth in the United States.

    Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK)

    The Nick Scali share price is down 2.5% to $10.56. This decline appears to be due to a spot of profit taking from investors following a significant rise in the furniture retailer’s shares. Investors have been buying the company’s in recent months following a series of positive updates. One of which came this week, with management revealing that its profits would double in the first half of FY 2021. The Nick Scali share price is up over 60% over the last six months.

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    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

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    Returns as of 6th October 2020

    More reading

    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Atomos Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Corporate Travel Management Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Atomos Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

    The post Why Atomos, Corporate Travel Management, Fortescue, & Nick Scali are dropping lower appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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