• Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

    finger pressing red button on keyboard labelled Buy

    With so many shares to choose from on the ASX, it can be hard to decide which ones to buy.

    The good news is that brokers across the country are doing a lot of the hard work for you.

    Three top shares that leading brokers have named as buys this week are listed below. Here’s why they are bullish on them:

    Audinate Group Ltd (ASX: AD8)

    According to a note out of Morgan Stanley, its analysts have retained their overweight rating and $7.50 price target on this audio-visual networking solutions company’s shares. Morgan Stanley believes that Audinate’s leadership position is strengthening and expects its earnings growth to accelerate once the pandemic passes. In light of this, it sees a compelling risk/reward on offer with its shares at the current level. I agree with Morgan Stanley and would be a buyer of Audinate’s shares.

    CSL Limited (ASX: CSL)

    Analysts at UBS have retained their buy rating and $346.00 price target on this biotherapeutics giant’s shares. According to the note, the broker believes that plasma collection headwinds are now well-known by the market and priced into its shares. In light of this, it feels investors should be focusing on the future, which appears very positive to the broker due to its research and development pipeline. I think UBS is spot on and CSL is well-positioned for growth over the long term.

    Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM)

    A note out of Citi reveals that its analysts have upgraded this gold miner’s shares to a buy rating with a $37.00 price target. The broker made the move after the Newcrest board approved the expansion of its Cadia operation last week. It also notes that approval has been granted for Lihir to increase its production via a Front End Recovery Project. It appears optimistic that its earnings will pick up following these developments. While it isn’t my preferred pick in the gold sector, I think it could be worth considering.

    This Tiny ASX Stock Could Be the Next Afterpay

    One little-known Australian IPO has doubled in value since January, and renowned Australian Moonshot stock picker Anirban Mahanti sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

    Doc and his team have published a detailed report on this tiny ASX stock. Find out how you can access what could be the NEXT Afterpay today!

    Returns as of 6th October 2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of AUDINATEGL FPO and CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended AUDINATEGL FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Where will Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) be in 5 years?

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    asking where Facebook shares will be in 5 years represented by woman wearing virtual reality googles and placing hands in front of her

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Five years is a long time, and predicting the future path for a social media giant like Facebook, Inc (NASDAQ: FB) is fraught with uncertainties as it is with any company.

    Facebook has succeeded in getting a significant percentage of the world’s population on its platform. However, that level of success naturally leads to questions as to whether investors can continue to friend this communication stock over the long term. Nonetheless, the company has moved into other tech niches that could ensure its growth for another five years, and perhaps beyond.

    The coming growth crunch

    Indeed, the near-term outlook for Facebook could bring an increasing number of likes. Although the company declined to give earnings guidance in its second-quarter 2020 report issued in late July, it believes year-over-year ad revenue will grow by about 10% in the upcoming quarter. Also, analysts expect profits to rise by 25% this year and by 27% in fiscal 2021. Facebook also maintains a base of 3.1 billion monthly active users, an increase of 12% over the last year.

    Still, its current apps could face a significant growth limitation over the next five years that investors normally associate with companies like Coca-Cola Co (NYSE: KO) and McDonald’s Corp (NYSE: MCD). Facebook’s current user base is about 40% of the world’s population. Given that a large percentage of the unserved population does not have broadband access, Facebook could soon face global market saturation.

    Where Facebook will find additional growth

    Hence, for the next five years, the company will likely have to lean on additional platforms to maintain its current growth rate. For now, those platforms are Portal and Oculus.

    Portal is Facebook’s smart video hardware. It allows for video calls using WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger and has Amazon.com, Inc‘s (NASDAQ: AMZN) Alexa built into its product. However, Amazon offers a similar product called Echo Show, so the growth prospects for Portal remain unclear.

    Nonetheless, Facebook could bring a more profound change to the tech market through Oculus. Oculus is Facebook’s virtual reality (VR) hardware, which will offer a simulated environment for users.

    To Facebook’s credit, it holds a competitive advantage with Oculus. Facebook technically lags Sony Corp (NYSE: SNE) in the sale of VR headsets, according to technology market research provider TrendForce. However, Facebook sells untethered devices, while Sony ties its headsets to its PlayStation gaming console.

    Moreover, high consumer demand for VR devices exists, and at $299, the new Oculus Quest 2 will sell for $100 less than its predecessor. Facebook will likely develop applications aimed at its massive user base, further widening its competitive advantage over prospective competitors.

    For now, Facebook defines sales of Portal and Oculus as “other revenue.” While the $366 million in other revenue made up only a small portion of Facebook’s $18.7 billion in revenue in the second quarter, the category grew by 40% from year-ago levels. In percentage terms, this growth rate is far ahead of advertising, which expanded by 10% over the same period.

    Furthermore, considering the anticipated growth, Facebook remains a reasonably priced stock. It trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 24, a modest multiple considering the profit growth predicted in the near term.

    Facebook in five years

    At its current valuation, Facebook is a clear buy. Looking five years ahead, investors who friend Facebook stock now should benefit from significant growth, especially if the company meets analyst profit-growth estimates.

    However, investors should expect the company to have a different focus at that time. Instead of looking at ad revenue through rose-colored glasses, stockholders should put on an Oculus headset and prepare for a ride that is virtually assured to bring a more profitable reality. Even though VR products make up only a small percentage of revenue now, this category should continue to grow much faster than Facebook’s ad revenue.

    VR’s power will not lie so much in hardware, which tends to become commoditized. Since Facebook now has over 3.1 billion users, VR will probably help it monetize its customer base, offering Facebook a competitive advantage over its peers.

    Investors have already seen massive returns from Facebook’s ability to connect people. Over time, the stock will probably move much higher as it makes VR-driven returns a reality.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Forget what just happened. THIS is the stock we think could rocket next…

    One little-known Australian IPO has doubled in value since January, and renowned Australian Moonshot stock picker Anirban Mahanti sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

    Returns as of 6th October 2020

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    Will Healy has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to its CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Amazon and Facebook and recommends the following options: short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon and long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Amazon and Facebook. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why the Fortescue (ASX:FMG) share price is on the move today

    ASX iron ore miners

    The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price is edging lower on Monday despite the release of a positive announcement.

    The iron ore producer’s shares are down 0.2% to $16.92 at the time of writing.

    What did Fortescue announce?

    This morning the mining giant revealed that it intends to continue buying back shares for the foreseeable future.

    According to the release, Fortescue has further extended its on-market buy-back as part of its ongoing capital management programme.

    The buy-back period will now continue for an unlimited duration, with the maximum number of shares that may be bought-back to be determined periodically by the company’s 10/12 limit.

    The 10/12 limit is defined in section 257B(4) of the Corporations Act 2001 and limits the company to buying back no more than 10% of its voting shares within the span of any 12 month period.

    Though, that doesn’t necessarily mean that the company will buyback 10% of its shares each year.

    Management advised: “The number of shares purchased and timing of any buy-back will depend on Fortescue’s share price and market conditions at the time. Fortescue reserves the right to vary, suspend or terminate the buy-back at any time.”

    Bankers at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) have been tasked with the job of buying shares on Fortescue’s behalf.

    What’s next for Fortescue?

    Fortescue has just completed its first quarter and will be providing the market with an update on its performance towards the end of the month.

    According to a note out of Goldman Sachs from last week, it expects the company to report iron ore shipments of 42.5Mt.

    While this will be a 10% decline on its fourth quarter shipments, it will be a 1% increase on the prior corresponding period.

    One metric the broker expects to grow quarter on quarter is the price it commands for its iron ore. Goldman estimates that Fortescue will report an average realised price of US$102 a tonne. This is 87% of the 62 fines benchmark iron ore price and up 27% from US$81 a tonne in the fourth quarter.

    Goldman Sachs has a neutral rating and $16.80 price target on the company’s shares.

    Forget what just happened. THIS is the stock we think could rocket next…

    One little-known Australian IPO has doubled in value since January, and renowned Australian Moonshot stock picker Anirban Mahanti sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The Sydney Airport (ASX:SYD) share price rebounds from early morning losses

    airport, sydney airport, check-in, flight, holiday, tourist

    The Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD) share price is flat in early afternoon trading, after being down almost 1% in earlier trading. This comes after Sydney Airport’s shareholders enjoyed a 3.1% gain over the course of last week.

    After shares plunged more than 48% earlier in the year, driven by the wider COVID-19 market panic, Sydney Airport’s share price has choppily moved higher, regaining 30% from the March lows.

    But with investors still focused on the near-term travel restrictions that have gutted international and domestic air travel, the share price remains down 32% from 17 January.

    What does Sydney Airport do?

    Sydney Airport Holdings owns a 100% interest in Sydney Airport, offering an international gateway connecting to more than 90 other airports around the world.

    Headquartered in Sydney, the company provides aeronautical, retail, property, car rental, and parking and ground transport services through its 2 main business units: Aviation (Sydney Airport) and Leasing & Advertising Opportunities.

    Sydney Airport shares began trading on the ASX in 2002. Today it’s part of the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

    What next for the Sydney Airport share price?

    In intraday trading, Sydney Airport’s share price is flat. That’s despite receiving the thumbs up from Morgan Stanley this morning.

    Citing the potential benefits of capital expenditure tax write-offs and its belief that more air travel routes will open over the coming 12 months, the broker upgraded Sydney Airport shares from equal-weight to over-weight. Its new price target of $6.67 per share represents an 11% upside from the current price of $6.02 per share.

    I believe Morgan Stanley’s analysts have this one right, though if anything they may be being a bit conservative.

    While the European and American continents look likely to remain no fly zones for the next 12 months as their respective nations struggle to contain the coronavirus, the likelihood of expanded air travel bubbles is looking up.

    Domestic air travel will be the first to recover, assuming Australia’s virus cases continue to head towards zero. The New Zealand travel bubble will most likely follow, with negotiations between the two governments on the finer details continuing.

    And over the weekend Prime Minister Scott Morrison added the Pacific island nations, Japan, South Korea and Singapore to the list of nations Australians may be able to fly to (and whose citizens may be able to fly here) within the coming months.

    Speaking in Queensland, Morrison said he’d “had a number of discussions with Pacific leaders this week.” He also noted there had been discussion with Japan’s and South Korea’s leaders and that, “The Foreign Minister, this week, has been talking to the Prime Minister of Singapore.”

    These may be baby steps towards the full reutilisation of Sydney Airport’s facilities. But it’s a good indication that patient investors could again see the Sydney Airport share price trading at January’s $8.81, a gain of 46% from the current price.

    These 3 stocks could be the next big movers in 2020

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The Nitro Software (ASX:NTO) share price is up almost 90% this year. Here’s why

    surging nitro software share price represented by man looking excitedly at computer screen against backdrop of streamers

    ASX mid-cap technology company Nitro Software Ltd (ASX: NTO) has performed strongly this year. Despite a minor blip during the March coronavirus sell-off, the Nitro Software share price has climbed close to 90% higher since January. In fact, savvy investors who picked up shares at the height of the COVID-19 panic selling would now be sitting on gains of almost 300%.

    What’s driven the Nitro Software share price gains?

    Despite COVID-19 causing some disruption to its sales pipeline, Nitro Software still managed to deliver above its prospectus forecasts across most financial metrics for the half year ended 30 June 2020. Total revenue was up 14% against the June half 2019 to US$19.1 million, driven by a 60% increase in subscription revenue. Annual recurring revenue jumped 57% to US$20.2 million, and the company reaffirmed its prospectus guidance for full year 2020 total revenue of at least US$40.5 million.     

    What does Nitro Software do?

    Although its market capitalisation has almost doubled this year – at around $570 million, Nitro is now on a par with other mid-sized ASX tech growth companies like Bigtincan Holdings Ltd (ASX: BTH) and Whispir Ltd (ASX: WSP). But Nitro is still flying under the radar for a lot of investors.

    The company develops a suite of software solutions to allow individuals and businesses to streamline and digitise document workflows. This means that companies can create, edit, sign and store important documents entirely online, reducing the need for printing and traditional forms of hardcopy file management. Not only does this simplify workflows, but it can massively reduce printing costs for large companies, and even make them more environmentally friendly.

    Nitro Software has already had massive success in the United States, with some 68% of Fortune 500 companies already among its clients. These include renewing customers like General Electric Company (NYSE: GE) and Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM). And while the COVID-19 global pandemic has interrupted some of its sales channels, the shift towards remote working arrangements for many large companies may play in Nitro’s favour. These companies will now be forced to digitise outdated workflows and cut operating costs.

    Nitro also made the decision to make its eSignature solution free throughout 2020 to help companies transitioning to working from home. This move could rapidly increase brand recognition and market penetration.

    Should you invest?

    I believe Nitro Software is an exciting company as it taps into a number of investment thematics that are coming to a head in 2020.

    Firstly, the social restrictions many governments have put in place to fight the spread of coronavirus are forcing companies to find new ways of doing business. This involves digitising many old processes so that more work can be done online. These sorts of fundamental changes are likely to long outlive the effects of the virus. In fact, many believe the pandemic has really only sped up changes that were already happening anyway.  

    Secondly, Nitro’s suite of products also helps companies reduce their amount of paper waste. Not only does this help cut operating costs, but it is also great for the environment – especially at a time when concerns around climate change are putting corporate social responsibility under increased focus.

    Forget what just happened. THIS is the stock we think could rocket next…

    One little-known Australian IPO has doubled in value since January, and renowned Australian Moonshot stock picker Anirban Mahanti sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

    Returns as of 6th October 2020

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    Rhys Brock owns shares of BIGTINCAN FPO, Nitro Software Limited, and Whispir Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends BIGTINCAN FPO and Whispir Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BIGTINCAN FPO, Nitro Software Limited, and Whispir Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 ASX growth shares I’d buy today for growth and income

    shares higher

    I think there are some exciting ASX shares that would be good picks for growth and income.

    Over the long-term, I believe that growing businesses will deliver the best long-term results for investors. But I can understand why investors are also looking for a bit of income in this environment.

    I think the below ASX shares could offer market-beating growth as well as income that’s better than what you can get from a bank:

    Class Ltd (ASX: CL1)

    Class is a financial technology business. It aims to provide software that automates and simplifies administration. Class helps clients do work quicker and more cheaply, it improves data accuracy and reduces compliance risk.

    One of the main reasons to like this ASX share is its high customer retention rate, which was 99% in FY20 for the Class suite of products.

    FY20 was a strong year. Operating revenue increased 15% to $44.1 million (beating guidance) and the underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margin was 42% (beating guidance).

    During FY20 it grew its number of accounts by 4.6% to 187,254. Annual recurring revenue (ARR) increased to $46.8 million in FY20, which also doesn’t include $2.4 million of ‘pay as you go’ revenue.

    The ASX share continues to invest for organic growth by regularly improving its existing software. It has also been making changes to improve its addressable market with the acquisition of NowInfinty and the launch of Class Trust.

    Class is looking to grow its FY21 revenue by 20%. It’s trading at 27x FY23’s estimated earnings with a grossed-up dividend yield of 3.25%.

    Clover Corporation Limited (ASX: CLV)

    Clover and its ‘Nu-Mega’ products are important in adding ingredients to products like infant formula, without taking away from the taste.

    The ASX share’s success is linked to the demand for infant formula. There’s a reason why the Clover share price has risen by almost 400% over the past five years.

    Clover had a pretty strong FY20, which included the disruptive effects of COVID-19 and pantry stocking. Clover’s sales revenue grew 15.1% to $88.3 million and net profit after tax (NPAT) soared 23.6% to $12.5 million.

    The company is expanding its product range and growing geographically, so I think that it has a long growth runway.

    Management said that its concentrated DHA powders have won additional business in a range of new applications covering bread, yogurt, health cars and sport nutrition. New legislation in the EU should also help growth.

    However, there was one negative in the FY20 result for the ASX share where it said that COVID-19 has prevented travel of customers to audit the new Melody Dairies nutritional spray dryer in New Zealand, which Clover has 42% ownership and access to 42% of the manufacturing capacity. The travel restrictions will slow production volume initially. The dryer will add capacity and reduce risks for Clover, it’s needed to help grow Clover’s manufacturing for the coming years of growth.

    I believe the company has a positive long-term outlook and it continues to grow its ordinary dividend. In FY20, the ASX share grew its dividend by 5%.

    At the current Clover share price it’s trading at 17x FY23’s estimated earnings. It also offers a grossed-up dividend yield of 1.75%.

    Foolish takeaway

    Both Clover and Class offer an attractive mix of growth with a decent starting dividend yield. At the current share prices I’d probably go for Clover, I like its international growth and the continuing earnings diversification. But Class could definitely one to watch over the next few years.

    But there are other ASX shares that I prefer even more for the growth part of my portfolio. 

    This Tiny ASX Stock Could Be the Next Afterpay

    One little-known Australian IPO has doubled in value since January, and renowned Australian Moonshot stock picker Anirban Mahanti sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

    Doc and his team have published a detailed report on this tiny ASX stock. Find out how you can access what could be the NEXT Afterpay today!

    Returns as of 6th October 2020

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Clover Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Class Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why the Opticomm (ASX:OPC) share price has zoomed up 9% today

    takeover offer

    The Opticomm Ltd (ASX: OPC) share price has rocketed up 9.4% today and is trading at $6.52 at the time of writing. This comes after the telecommunications company received an amended takeover offer from superannuation fund, Aware Super.

    What was the offer?

    Aware Super’s amended offer proposes to take over all Opticomm shares at $6.50 per share, including a 10c per share fully franked special dividend. This is subject to 50.1% shareholder approval and there being no material adverse changes or regulatory events affecting Opticomm. 

    The latest offer from Aware Super represents an 11.11% premium on a earlier offer from internet service provider Uniti, made on 15 September 2020. Uniti now has 3 business days to submit an amended bid if it chooses to do so. Opticomm will be liable to pay Uniti a break fee of $6.1 million if management recommends an alternative offer to its previous proposal or if an alternative offer is accepted. This suggests that if the updated offer from Aware Super is accepted, a fee of $6.1 million could be owed to Uniti.

    Opticomm directors are currently considering the amended offer from Aware Super. At this stage, they still recommend that Opticomm shareholders accept the amended offer from Uniti. 

    In the meantime, due to the revised offer from Aware Super, Opticomm will seek court approval to postpone its meeting to consider Uniti’s amended offer that was scheduled for tomorrow.

    About the Opticomm share price

    Opticomm is a telecommunications company that provides fibre connections for broadband services. The company has been listed on the ASX since 2019.

    In the 2020 financial year, Opticomm’s revenue was $73.04 million, up 17% compared to the 2019 financial year. Opticomm had net profit after tax (NPAT) of $23.06 million in FY2020, an increase of 14% compared to the prior year.

    The Opticomm share price is up 115% since its 52-week low of $3. It has risen 65.81% since the beginning of the year. The Opticomm share price is up 75.41% since this time last year.

    Forget what just happened. THIS is the stock we think could rocket next…

    One little-known Australian IPO has doubled in value since January, and renowned Australian Moonshot stock picker Anirban Mahanti sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

    Returns as of 6th October 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Chris Chitty has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 reasons Pfizer and BioNTech will have coronavirus vaccine data before Moderna

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    person receiving coronavirus vaccine injection into the arm

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) and BioNTech SE (NASDAQ: BNTX) started the phase 3 clinical trial for their coronavirus vaccine BNT162b2 around the same time as Moderna Inc (NASDAQ: MRNA) started its phase 3 study for mRNA-1273.

    But all signs point to Pfizer and BioNTech generating faster efficacy data than Moderna. Here’s why:

    1. Faster coronavirus vaccine booster shot

    Pfizer and BioNTech give the booster shot for their vaccine 21 days after the initial dose, while Moderna’s protocol calls for doctors to wait 28 days before giving the second dose. Since the efficacy measurements don’t start until after the second dose is administered, the difference produces a week advantage for Pfizer and BioNTech.

    2. COVID-19 efficacy readout is quicker

    The efficacy in both clinical trials is based on the rate of COVID-19 among participants who receive the vaccine compared to the participants who receive placebo. But Pfizer and BioNTech decided to measure the rate of infection after seven days, while Moderna doesn’t start measuring efficacy until 14 days after the second dose.

    The difference creates an additional seven-day advantage for Pfizer and BioNTech compared to Moderna. Of course it’s only an advantage if patients are truly protected during that seven-day period. Presumably the decisions of seven days for Pfizer and BioNTech vs. 14 days for Moderna were based on when the companies saw the formation of antibodies in earlier studies, but Moderna’s conservative approach could end up benefiting the company with a slower-but-more-accurate efficacy readout.

    3. Quicker enrollment

    Since the efficacy measurement is events driven, early enrollment of participants in the study should help the companies generate efficacy data quicker.

    Pfizer and BioNTech appear to have the edge here too, with 28,146 participants having received two doses of their vaccine as of Oct. 5,  compared to 19,369 participants in Moderna’s clinical trial as of the update a few days earlier on Oct. 2.

    Potential bonus: Interim readouts

    If BNT162b2 works really well, Pfizer and BioNTech could have a time advantage over Moderna based on how the companies have set up their clinical trials.

    Both studies incorporate multiple interim evaluations of efficacy to determine whether the studies should be stopped early if it’s clear the vaccine is working. Pfizer and BioNTech have interim looks after 32, 62, 92, and 120 participants have developed COVID-19. Moderna’s study only incorporated interim looks after 53 and 106 cases of COVID-19.

    While the protocols offer an opportunity for Pfizer and BioNTech to call their clinical trial a success after 32 events, well before Moderna can even take a look at its data at 53 events, investors should keep in mind that the extra peeks at the data come at a statistical cost.

    As a result, if both studies go to the end of their analysis, Pfizer and BioNTech need the vaccine efficacy to be 52.3% at the final readout with at least 111 of the 164 positive patients in the group who received placebo. Because Moderna has fewer interim looks, the biotech company only needs a vaccine efficacy of 49.5%, or 101 of the 151 positive patients falling in the placebo group, to call the clinical trial a success.

    Is “October” vs “Thanksgiving” all that important?

    Pfizer and BioNTech have told investors that data could come as early as October, while Moderna’s management has said data should be available around Thanksgiving. That’s only a few weeks’ difference, with the obvious caveats that neither group can really know the timeline given the unknown infection rate.

    The first group with data will have an advantage if it can gain the Food and Drug Administration’s attention after requesting an emergency use authorization (EUA). But in a pandemic, the FDA’s workload isn’t necessarily a first-in-first-out situation. Better efficacy by the second vaccine maker could even the playing field, or perhaps even give it an advantage in the timing of authorizations.

    And investors should keep in mind that demand is likely to outstrip manufacturing capacity. While the timing of an EUA is important, if the authorizations come in similar time frames, the group with the ability to manufacture the most vaccine is likely to capture the largest market share.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Man who said buy Kogan shares at $3.63 says buy these 3 ASX stocks now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    In this FREE STOCK REPORT, Scott just revealed what he believes are the 3 ASX stocks for the post COVID world that investors should buy right now while they still can. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks these could really go gangbusters as we move into ‘the new normal’.

    *Returns as of 6/8/2020

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    Brian Orelli, PhD and the Motley Fool have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post 3 reasons Pfizer and BioNTech will have coronavirus vaccine data before Moderna appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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  • 2 of the best ASX dividend shares you can buy today

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    As I mentioned here at the weekend, the economics team at Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) are expecting the Reserve Bank to cut the cash rate to the record low of 0.1% next month.

    In light of this, if you haven’t done so already, I think now would be a good time to consider switching out of term deposits and into one of the many quality dividend shares listed on the Australian share market.

    But which ASX dividend shares would be good options right now? Two that I would buy are listed below:

    Rural Funds Group (ASX: RFF)

    The first ASX dividend share I would buy is this agriculture-focused property group. Rural Funds is the owner of a number of quality properties across five agricultural sectors. These properties are leased to some of the biggest players in the industry, such as wine giant Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE), on long term agreements. So much so, at the end of FY 2020, the company’s weighted average lease expiry (WALE) stood at a lengthy 10.9 years.

    These leases and their fixed rental increases led to the company performing strongly during the pandemic. Rural Funds reported an 8% increase in property revenue to $72 million in FY 2020. Looking ahead, further growth is expected in FY 2021. As a result, management is intending to lift its distribution by 4% to 11.28 cents per share. Based on the current Rural Funds share price, this works out to be a 4.8% yield.

    Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)

    Another ASX dividend share to consider buying is this conglomerate. I think it could be a great option due to the quality of its portfolio of businesses. This is particularly the case for its key Bunnings business, which I believe is well-placed to underpin strong growth in the 2020s. This is thanks to its strong market position, government stimulus, tax cuts, and the relaxing of responsible lending rules. The latter should be supportive of the home improvement market in the near term.

    Overall, I believe Wesfarmers will be in a position to pay a fully franked dividend of ~$1.50 per share in FY 2021. Based on the latest Wesfarmers share price, this equates to an attractive fully franked 3.2% dividend yield.

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    Returns As of 6th October 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended RURALFUNDS STAPLED. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • The valuable lesson Dr Takao Inui has for every ASX investor

    asx shares volatility represented by illustration of business man on boat at the top of a wave

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has slipped lower in morning trade, down 0.05% at the time of writing.

    This morning’s retrace came following a strong performance last week, which saw the ASX 200 finish the five days up 5.4%.

    It also came despite most major European indexes gaining on Friday, alongside every United States index finishing well into the green. Technology shares again led the way, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQ: .IXIC) gaining 1.4%.

    Though still down 4% from its 2 September all-time highs, the Nasdaq is up 27% so far in 2020. That compares to a gain of 7% on the S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX) and an 8.8% loss from the ASX 200.

    Tech shares still shining

    Technology shares, as you likely know, were already outperforming heading into the pandemic. And since the lockdowns and social distancing began, they’ve really grabbed investor interest amid growing demand for tech gadgets and services from a nation now working, shopping and socialising from home.

    That’s seen ASX tech shares enjoy similarly strong gains to US listed technology companies. Unfortunately, it’s difficult to give you a simple like-for-like comparison for the full year without crunching 50 plus company share price movements myself. That’s because the S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) – which tracks 50 of Australia’s leading and emerging technology shares – didn’t launch until 24 February this year.

    I can tell you that the All Tech Index is up nearly 29% since then. And that it’s up 1.5% in intraday trading today, while the broader index is flat.

    Which leaves us with two takeaways.

    First, the bull run in technology shares appears far from over. Meaning if you don’t already own some quality ASX tech shares, or want to add to your holdings, I believe that window is still open. If you want to own some of Australia’s biggest tech companies with a single investment, you can look into the BetaShares S&P/ASX Australian Technology ETF (ASX: ATEC). The share price of the exchange-traded fund (ETF) is up 41% since its inception on 4 March.

    The second takeaway is that all shares in every market are, at times, volatile. Share prices can swing from losses to gains and back again in a single day. Over the long haul, though, share prices of quality companies tend to only head in one direction. Higher.

    Which, belatedly, brings us to Dr Takao Inui.

    Why ASX investors need a ‘bulbous bow’

    As far as I know, Takao Inui never invested in any Australian shares.

    What he did do was develop the modern bulbous bow still used in many large ships today.

    Building on research from other scientists, Inui’s work at the University of Tokyo in the 1950s and 1960s led to his discovery that ships with the right type of bulbous bow had less drag in the water along with greater stability. Meaning they can ride through the peaks and troughs in rough seas with far less discomfort for their passengers.

    That’s incredibly useful for ships ploughing ahead through big swells. Rather than plunging up and down, the captain can keep a steady eye on the horizon.

    And it’s this same horizon that long-term investors should keep in mind rather than bemoaning any short-term losses or even celebrating any short-term gains.

    This ‘buy-to-hold’ investment philosophy is the same one employed by The Motley Fool’s own Scott Phillips and his lead analyst Andrew Legget in their investment service, Share Advisor. A philosophy that’s seen Scott outperform the benchmark with his ASX recommendations by more than 25% since 2011.

    Here’s what Andrew wrote to members of Share Advisor last week:

    [V]olatility is not risk, it is not something to be avoided or feared, it is just the price of admission into the lucrative world of investing on the share market. If you want impressive returns, you have to become comfortable with holding great companies during tough periods.

    Avoid the desire to get in and out of investments because some ‘bad news’ arrives. In fact, if you continue to like the company and believe it has a strong long-term future, these are more often than not buying opportunities, rather than reasons to get out.

    Over the short term, markets will fluctuate, sometimes for no reason at all. Your patience and nerves will be tested, sometimes for no reason at all. But if you stay the course over the long-term, the share price will match the performance of the business. Don’t believe us, just pull up the long-term chart of your favourite company and see for yourself.

    That’s great advice from the team at Share Advisor. I especially like the last line. It’s real ‘bulbous bow’ thinking.

    Forget what just happened. THIS is the stock we think could rocket next…

    One little-known Australian IPO has doubled in value since January, and renowned Australian Moonshot stock picker Anirban Mahanti sees a potential millionaire-maker in waiting…

    Because ‘Doc’ Mahanti believes this fast-growing company has all the hallmarks of genuine Moonshot potential, forget ‘buy now pay later’, this stock could be the next hot stock on the ASX.

    Returns as of 6th October 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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