Automotive retail group, AP Eagers Ltd’s (ASX: APE), share price rose 20.2% in July. And that came after falling 9.4% from the beginning of the month through to 10 July. The impressive rise in the AP Eagers share price was enough to place it in the top group of gainers on the All Ordinaries (INDEXASX: XAO).

By comparison, the All Ords gained 0.9% in July.

The AP Eagers share price was hit hard by the COVID-19 shutdowns, tumbling 72% from its 20 January peak to its 25 March trough. By the end of July, however, it had rebounded a remarkable 180% from that low to trade at $8.11 per share.

Even with that huge gain, though, the share price still ended July down 18.5% from the opening bell on 2 January.

With an additional 2.6% share price gain so far in August, the company currently has a market cap of $2.1 billion.

What does AP Eagers do?

AP Eagers Ltd is Australia’s oldest listed automotive retail group, operating new and used car, truck and bus dealerships across the country.

The company traces its origins all the way back to 1913. It officially listed on the ASX in 1957. Notably, in 2019, AP Eagers completed a transformative merger with the formerly ASX-listed Automotive Holdings Group.

Today, AP Eagers has a portfolio comprising over 200 new car dealerships across Australia and New Zealand. With this, the company operates dealerships for a range of automotive brands including 19 of the 20 top-selling car brands in Australia and 9 of the top 10 luxury car brands.

Additionally, AP Eagers has a number of truck and bus dealerships in Australia and owns more than $300 million of real estate in prime locations across the nation.

AP Eagers has paid a dividend to shareholders every year since listing in 1957.

Why did the AP Eagers share price soar in July?

The AP Eagers share price really took off on 20 July, gaining 28.3% from 20 July through to the end of the month. This surpasses the 20.2% share price gain achieved over the full month.

The company’s share price was most likely spurred by a broker note from Swiss multinational investment bank and financial services giant, UBS, after its analysts initiated coverage with a buy rating and $7.90 price target. At the time of writing, the AP Eagers share price is trading at $8.30.

More reading

• The ASX stocks hit by Victoria’s stage 4 forced shutdowns
• These were the best performing shares on the ASX 200 last week
• ASX 200 drops 0.2%, APRA boosts big 4 ASX banks
• Here’s why the AP Eagers share price has motored 11% higher today
• ASX 200 flat: Big four banks higher, St Barbara and IGO sinks on Q4 updates

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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The PointsBet Holdings Ltd (ASX: PBH) share price is moving higher today following an announcement the company has secured online iGaming market access in New Jersey. At the time of writing, the PointsBet share price is up 0.34% up to $6.13. The share price rose to an intraday high of $6.31 before being sold off.

What is the new opportunity?

PointsBet announced that it has entered into a ‘primary skin’ agreement with Twin River Worldwide Holdings Inc (NYSE: TRWH). The details of the agreement are that PointsBet is to provide iGaming/online casino services in the State of New Jersey. However it is worth noting that the opportunity is contingent upon Twin River completing its acquisition and PointsBet obtaining the necessary regulatory licenses and approvals.

Some of the key features of the agreement include:

• The term of the agreement is 10 years. 
• PointsBet will pay Twin River a portion of the net gaming revenues derived from its New Jersey iGaming/online casino operations.
• The agreement involves PointsBet and Twin River partnering to launch iGaming/online casino via PointsBet’s mobile app and website platforms pending final regulatory licenses and approvals.

CEO of Twin River, George Papanier, spoke of his enthusiasm regarding “adding an exciting iGaming experience with such a prominent partner.” Papanier also proclaimed that he was “extremely excited to have the opportunity to participate in the best-in-class mobile gaming environment that New Jersey has created and that we believe will bring new and innovative offerings to the market.”

What now for the PointsBet share price?

The PointsBet share price has been on a solid run recently with the company releasing news of multiple deals from the United States trickling through. Just yesterday, the PointsBet share price rose on news the company had partnered with the Indiana Pacers team.

The development of PointsBet’s proprietary iGaming platform is also progressing well. The company is currently in advanced discussions with various market leading iGaming product/game providers for its use. PointsBet will launch iGaming in Michigan first, with the launch in New Jersey expected to follow in the first half of FY2021. Shareholders will be hoping that these launches continue driving up the company’s share price. The PointsBet share price is up 419% since its lows in March this year.

However it is worth noting that PoinstBet is one of the most shorted shares on the ASX, with many brokers believing it has overshot on the upside. This may be a result of the company’s Q4 earnings that disappointed the market and saw the PointsBet share price tumble.

More reading

• Why Mesoblast, Northern Star, PointsBet, & Splitit shares are racing higher
• PointsBet share price jumps 4% on new US deal
• Short-sellers are targeting these ASX stocks ahead of the reporting season
• Why Bubs, PointsBet, Perpetual, & Waypoint shares are dropping lower
• PointsBet share price tumbles lower on Q4 update

Motley Fool contributor Daniel Ewing owns shares in Pointsbet (ASX:PBH). The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Pointsbet Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Pointsbet Holdings Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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ASX gold stocks continue their golden run as the precious metal holds around record highs and looks poised to push even higher.

But the analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX:MQG) is warning that gold is running ahead of fundamentals, and the higher it runs, the harder it will fall.

This could see the strong price gains made by S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) gold miners come undone.

The Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price surged 61% since the start of the year, while the St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM) share price and Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) share price have jumped 33% and 22%, respectively.

It’s deflation, not inflation lifting gold

“Gold has finally pushed through the $2k psychological target, at a high of [US]$2,030/oz at time of writing,” said Macquarie.

“The move continues to benefit from USD weakness and the ongoing slide in US real rates through -1%.”

I noted some media commentary about how low inflation is a negative for the gold price. But I believe this misses the point. Gold isn’t running to record highs due to expectations of runaway inflation.

If anything, no one is expecting much inflation over the next few years, and this was evident even before the COVID-19 pandemic.

Gold bulls are drawing their latest breath from expectations of deflation or dis-inflation, as highlighted by Macquarie’s comment on “real rates”.

Gold overshot on the upside?

Don’t get me wrong, history shows how effective gold is as an inflation hedge. But the 3,000-year-old store of value is also a relatively good way to protect against falling real asset prices.

“Even with these supportive factors, however, gold continues to look rich on a cross-asset basis, trading [US]$150-$200 above our ‘fair value’ estimates,” explained Macquarie.

“We believe this is the overshoot move that we have been looking for and, while momentum could carry prices further, it raises the risk of a sharp correction.”

Is it time to sell ASX gold miners?

I don’t share this bearish view, but I do believe what goes up will come down when it comes to commodity prices. And the faster something rises, the harder it is likely to fall when the day of reckoning comes. I just don’t think this will happen in the next year or two.

But if you want a foot in both camps, Macquarie suggested investors dump the large cap gold producers and buy their smaller counterparts.

Some of the gold miners that the broker has an “outperform” (or buy) rating on include the Resolute Mining Limited (ASX: RSG) share price, Silver Lake Resources Limited. (ASX: SLR) share price and OceanaGold Corp (ASX: OGC) share price.

More reading

• ASX 200 up 0.6%: ResMed & Scentre tumble, big four banks rise
• Overvalued or a strong buy? Nextdc and 1 more ASX growth share to watch
• Will the Domino’s share price continue to surge in August?
• Why this leading fundie likes the Newcrest share price
• Nick Scali share price bolstered by strong outlook and dividend upgrade

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Evolution Mining Limited and Newcrest Mining Limited. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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At lunch on Thursday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has followed the lead of U.S. markets and pushed higher. At the time of writing the benchmark index is up 0.6% to 6,038.9 points.

Here’s what is happening on the market today:

ResMed lower following results release.

The ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD) share price has dropped lower today despite delivering a stronger than expected sales result during the fourth quarter. The medical device company posted a 10% increase in revenue to US$770.3 million thanks to strong ventilator demand. This compares to the consensus estimate of US$752 million. Investors may be concerned by weaker than expected mask sales.

Scentre half year update.

The Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) share price is in the red today after it provided the market with its expectations for the first half. The shopping centre operator revealed that it expects to report a 10% decline in the carrying value of its property portfolio. This is due to the estimated impact of the pandemic. In addition to this, Scentre advised that it expects to report net operating cashflow in excess of $250 million for the half. This compares to net cash flows from operating activities of $619 million a year earlier.

Big four banks rise.

It has been a volatile week for the big four banks, but on Thursday they are heading in the right direction again. All four banks are pushing higher at lunch and are helping underpin the ASX 200’s gains. The best performer in the group has been the Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ) share price with a gain of 1%.

Best and worst performers.

The best performer on the ASX 200 on Thursday has been the Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price with a 6.5% gain. This may be in response to a very positive update from furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) this morning. The worst performer has been the ResMed share price with a decline of 5%. This follows the release of its aforementioned full year results.

More reading

• Expert warns that record-breaking gold price is facing painful correction
• Why Advance NanoTek, ELMO Software, ResMed, & Scentre shares are dropping lower
• Scentre share price falls 3% following results update
• Why BHP, Corporate Travel, Harvey Norman, & Nick Scali shares are pushing higher
• Overvalued or a strong buy? Nextdc and 1 more ASX growth share to watch

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ResMed Inc. and Scentre Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The post ASX 200 up 0.6%: ResMed & Scentre tumble, big four banks rise appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to bounce back with a solid gain on Thursday. In late morning trade the benchmark index is up 0.75% to 6,045.5 points.

Four shares that have failed to follow the market higher today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping lower:

The Advance NanoTek Ltd (ASX: ANO) share price is down 9% to $3.43. This follows the release of the advanced materials company’s full year results. Although Advance NanoTek reported a 121% increase in profit before tax to $7.46 million, it fell short of the guidance of $8.4 million it gave on 11 May. In addition to this, the company warned that its first half performance will be weak. This is due to distributors selling down inventory before reordering.

The ELMO Software Ltd (ASX: ELO) share price has fallen 7% to $6.49. This is despite the cloud-based HR, payroll, and rostering software provider delivering a strong full year result this morning. ELMO reported annualised recurring revenue (ARR) of $55.1 million and statutory revenue of $50.1 million for FY 2020. This represents a 19.7% and 25% increase, respectively, over the prior corresponding period. Strong customer growth played a key role in this solid top line result. Next year management expects its ARR to be in the range of $65 million to $70 million, which represents year on year growth of 18% to 27%.

The ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD) share price is down 5% to $26.55. The catalyst for this was the release of its fourth quarter and full year update. Although the sleep treatment-focused medical device company delivered a very strong year of sales and profit growth, investors appear concerned by softer than expected mask sales during the pandemic. Management’s guidance for FY 2021 was cautious but optimistic.

The Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) share price has dropped over 2% to $1.92. This follows the release of an update on its expectations for the first half. The shopping centre operator advised that it plans to report a 10% decline in the carrying value of its property portfolio because of the pandemic. Scentre also expects to report net operating cashflow in excess of $250 million for the half. This compares to net cash flows from operating activities of $619 million during the first half of FY 2019.

More reading

• Scentre share price falls 3% following results update
• ResMed share price lower despite delivering strong growth in FY 2020
• Is the National Storage share price a buy in August?
• ELMO Software share price on watch after delivering more strong growth in FY 2020
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Elmo Software. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Advance NanoTek Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elmo Software, ResMed Inc., and Scentre Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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The Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) share price has fallen lower this morning as the company provided an update regarding its half year results due to be released on 25 August. Scentre also provided an update regarding remuneration in the release. At the time of writing, the Scentre share price is trading 3.54% lower at$1.91.

What does Scentre Group do?

Scentre Group owns and operates a living centre portfolio in Australia and New Zealand. Scentre has retail real estate assets under management valued at $56.0 billion and shopping centre ownership interests valued at $38.2 billion. The company is best known for holding up to 42 Westfield living centres. These centres offer the company strong franchise value and boast some of the world’s leading retail brands.

The Scentre share price has understandably been very hard hit this year by COVID-19 related economic shutdowns. Shopping centre traffic numbers are down, which isn’t good news for the REIT or its tenants. However, the Scentre share price is down 49% this year, so it looks like much of the disappointing news may have already been priced in.

The market update

The Scentre share fell lower this morning as the company provided details ahead of its half yearly results. The company noted that it expects net operating cash flow to be in excess of $250 million. However Scentre explains that this is only a preliminary estimate and so remains subject to an external audit review.

The half year report will also provide some clarity on the value of the company’s property portfolio. Scentre stated that it expects the value to decline by around 10% from the last update on 31 December 2019. This write down is primarily due to the effects of the pandemic. Having said this, the company stated that its available liquidity is steady at $4.4 billion.

In regards to remuneration, the company stated that all board fees and remuneration for the executive team will revert to their previous levels. This means that the board and executives will receive higher levels of pay despite the pandemic continuing to affect operations and, as a result, the Scentre share price.

What now for the Scentre share price?

The Scentre share price is definitely one to watch going into earnings season. Furthermore, Scentre shareholders will be praying that the pandemic is over soon in order to see a strong return for retail.

More reading

• Why Advance NanoTek, ELMO Software, ResMed, & Scentre shares are dropping lower
• Is the National Storage share price a buy in August?
• Super Retail and 2 other ASX retail shares to watch in August
• 2 ASX shares to buy and 2 to avoid as deflation bites
• Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to sell next week

Motley Fool contributor Daniel Ewing has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Scentre Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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In late morning trade the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to bounce back from yesterday’s decline. At the time of writing the benchmark index is up 0.5% to 6,033.3 points.

Four shares that are climbing more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are pushing higher:

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is up 3.5% to $39.31. Investors have been buying the mining giant’s shares after a positive night of trade for some key commodity prices. Copper, oil, and iron ore prices all recorded gains overnight. According to CommSec, the spot iron ore price was up 45 U.S. cents or 0.4% to US$118.45 a tonne.

The Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD) share price has stormed 4.5% higher to $8.95. This could be in response to a broker note out of Morgans on Wednesday. Its analysts upgraded the travel company’s shares to an add rating with a $12.85 price target. This was largely on valuation grounds, but also on the belief that corporate travel markets might be stronger than expected. Morgans’ price target implies potential upside of over 43%.

The Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price is up over 5% to $3.94. This appears to have been driven by the release of a strong full year result by one of its furniture rivals (see below). This appears to indicate that demand for household goods is strong despite the pandemic.

The Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) share price has rocketed 18% higher to $9.06. This follows the release of a very positive full year result from the furniture retailer. Although it posted a 2.1% decline in sales, Nick Scali managed to hold its profits steady at $42.1 million. Looking ahead, management is expecting a very strong first half. It is forecasting its first half profit “to be up by at least 50-60%” compared to the same period last year.

More reading

• Nick Scali share price bolstered by strong outlook and dividend upgrade
• Is the BHP share price a good coronavirus hedge?
• Why I would buy CBA and this ASX dividend share
• Top brokers name 3 ASX 200 shares to buy today
• This is the only ASX sector tipped to report earnings growth this reporting season

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Corporate Travel Management Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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