• Should you be an ASX bull or bear right now?

    Bear and bull colliding over man holding an umbrella, asx 200 bull market

    It’s hard to know whether to be an ASX bull or bear in the market right now. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (INDEXASX: XJO) has had a wild start to the year. The benchmark Aussie index hit a new record high in mid-February and things were looking up. The index breached the 7,000 point mark and looked to be heading higher.

    Then we saw the coronavirus pandemic change everything. Countries locked their borders and economies went into hibernation. Record government stimulus and a favourable monetary policy were designed to prop up economic growth.

    There was the oil price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia which sent ASX energy shares tumbling. We saw an ASX bear market in February as the market was briefly in freefall.

    However, ASX 200 shares have been rebounding strongly in April and May. In fact, the S&P/ASX 200 Index is up more than 30% since 23 March.

    So, with all that’s going on in the share market, should you be an ASX bull or bear right now?

    Should you be an ASX market bull or bear today?

    There’s a saying from Jim Cramer that goes, “bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered“.

    What it really means is that investors who take a strong view on either direction of the market, generally, do well, while indecisive investors lose out. If you’re an ASX bull, you could have netted a tidy return in the current market recovery. Likewise, a bear market investor could have made money in the February and March downturn.

    But the “pigs”, being those investors trying to time the market and unsure of their positions, are the ones that lost out. I think the easiest way to avoid that is to remember that you’re investing for the long-term.

    Whether a bull or bear market, what happens today or tomorrow won’t affect your portfolio in 30 year’s time. I’m an ASX bull on a long-term timeframe which makes buying ASX shares easier.

    In fact, I just view a downturn as a fire sale of my top ASX shares.

    Here are a few of my favourite undervalued companies that might be worth adding to your buy list in 2020.

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    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    As of 2/6/2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Hong Kong Bull Market Found Dead in a Posh Flat

    Hong Kong Bull Market Found Dead in a Posh Flat(Bloomberg Opinion) — Hong Kong’s finance industry is thriving from the great divorce between the U.S. and China. Billion-dollar initial public offerings are on the horizon again, as New York-listed mainland companies seek a second home. The city’s blue-chip index has even revised its weighting rules so tech stocks can feature more prominently. But is this enough to rouse a sleepy stock market? While Hong Kong is on par with Shanghai in terms of total market capitalization, turnover pales in comparison, and it's practically a stagnant pool compared with the very liquid Shenzhen bourse. While mega IPOs are exciting, they are one-time events. Once bankers earn their fees and wave goodbye, trading could languish again.South Korea may offer some insights. One year ago, Seoul was still in a deep bear market, plagued by steep conglomerate discounts and historically low turnover. Now, it’s teeming with life. Since global markets started turning around in late March, the benchmark Kospi index has soared more than 40%, making it one of the world’s best performers.All of a sudden, Koreans, who dabbled in cryptocurrencies and all sorts of structured products, are frantically buying cash equities. Retail investors have single-handedly supported the main stock index as foreigners and domestic institutional investors sold.CLSA Ltd. recently conducted a fascinating study explaining what’s become one of the Kospi’s largest ownership changes in history. Survey data show a few usual suspects: historically low deposit rates, cheap valuations, and blow-ups in popular alternative investments, such as mezzanine convertible bonds and equity-linked securities. A liquidity crisis and global market meltdown have tamed Koreans’ taste for exotic products.But the most interesting finding is that investors are swapping their real estate holdings for stocks. This comes as President Moon Jae-in’s administration has made it harder to invest in residential property, with a recent ban on mortgage lending for anything valued over 1.5 billion won ($1.2 million). In the past few years, a series of tightening measures has worked: A flattening of home prices, along with dwindling sales volumes, dented investor sentiment.Apartments in Seoul were once considered one of Korea's best performing long-term assets. They registered a capital gain of 80.9% over the past 15 years, with flats in the affluent Gangnam district returning more than 200%, data provided by CLSA show. Yet property restrictions look set to remain as long as Moon’s around — and he’s not required to leave office until 2022. So people with money to invest have to look elsewhere. Samsung Electronics Co., which gained 443% over the same period, is a good alternative. Retail investors have poured $7.2 billion into the company’s shares this year. Many of the catalysts that drove Koreans to stocks are present in Hong Kong, too. Interest rates are even lower and high-profile stocks are landing, including NetEase Inc., while Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. completed its secondary listing last year. Meanwhile, local investors can no longer count on HSBC Holdings Plc for reliable dividend payouts, forcing them to look at tech companies instead. It’s no coincidence that the retail portion of NetEase’s Hong Kong listing was met with brisk demand on the first day, enabling the company to increase its allotment to local investors. The missing piece, however, is real estate. As soon as Hong Kong loosened its social distancing rules in May, secondary home-sales prices ticked up, along with transaction volume. The Land Registry recorded 6,885 property deals in May, a 12-month high. The faith that this sector can outperform stocks hasn’t broken yet.  For an equity market to shine, local retail participation is essential. Overseas institutional investors, the biggest contributors to Hong Kong’s turnover, come and go. Those from the mainland, now active players through the stock connect, are equally fickle, given they’re so used to liquidity-driven markets back home. So unless Hong Kong moms and pops can learn from the Koreans — trading away their flats in Gangnam for a slice of Samsung — the Hang Seng will remain asleep.  This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Shuli Ren is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering Asian markets. She previously wrote on markets for Barron's, following a career as an investment banker, and is a CFA charterholder.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinionSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • 2020’s Dividend Aristocrats List: All 66 Stocks

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  • Will the HomeBuilder stimulus boost ASX 200 building shares?

    model construction workers working on increasing pile of coins, asx 200 building shares

    ASX 200 building and construction shares could receive a boost with the federal government announcing a planned $688 million HomeBuilder stimulus package. The income tested program is expected to last 6 months and aims to support jobs and activity in the construction sector.

    Under the program, eligible individuals will receive a $25,000 cash grant to spend on constructing a new home or on renovations to their existing property. The stimulus package comes amid a projected decline in housing construction activity as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.

    Here are 2 ASX 200 building shares that could get a boost following the roll out of the HomeBuilder stimulus package.

    Brickworks Limited (ASX :BKW)

    Brickworks is a leading supplier of bricks, masonry and roof tiles across Australia and North America. The ASX 200 company boasts 26 manufacturing sites and over 40 design centres throughout Australia. It is one of the world’s largest building materials manufacturers and has a highly diverse product portfolio.

    Brickworks recently provided a trading update which highlighted the impact of coronavirus on the construction sector. The company reported a 10% decline in sales revenue in Australia for the 4 months to May 2020. In addition, Brickworks reported a 30% decline in sales activity for its US operations during April and May.

    Despite this bad news, the Brickworks share price has jumped more than 38% from its lows in April. It could also be poised to surge further following execution of the government’s stimulus package. 

    CSR Limited (ASX: CSR)

    CSR offers a wide range of products used in the later stages of home construction and renovation. The company produces notable brands such as Gyprock plasterboard, PGH bricks, Hebel concrete blocks and Bradford insulation.

    CSR released its annual report in mid-May for its financial year ending 31 March. The ASX 200 company reported a 6% fall in building products revenue for the year. It also reported a 3% decline in revenue from building products for the first 6 weeks of its 2021 financial year compared to the prior corresponding period.

    Furthermore, CSR scrapped its final dividend in response to the coronavirus crisis in order to conserve capital. Due to the uncertain and tough economic conditions, CSR has not provided profit forecasts for the current financial year. Notwithstanding the uncertainty, the CSR share price has rebounded more than 57% from its March low.

    Are these ASX 200 building shares in the buy zone?

    In my opinion, ASX 200 building and construction share prices could experience a short-term boost. However, I feel the long-term outlook remains extremely uncertain. Due to the nature of contract life cycles in the sector, impacts of coronavirus could still be felt in 6 to 12 months’ time. In addition, with the Australian economy facing a recession, it’s unknown how long the government’s cash grant will be able to help support the building and construction industry.

    If you don’t feel building and construction shares are poised for growth, here are 5 shares that could be.

    5 “Bounce Back” Stocks To Tame The Bear Market (FREE REPORT)

    Master investor Scott Phillips has sifted through the wreckage and identified the 5 stocks he thinks could bounce back the hardest once the coronavirus is contained.

    Given how far some of them have fallen, the upside potential could be enormous.

    The report is called 5 Stocks For Building Wealth after 50, and you can grab a copy for FREE for a limited time only.

    But you will have to hurry — history has shown the market could bounce significantly higher before the virus is contained, meaning the cheap prices on offer today might not last for long.

    See the 5 stocks

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    Motley Fool contributor Nikhil Gangaram has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Brickworks. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • These ASX healthcare shares could be long term market beaters

    asx healthcare shares

    Due to the favourable tailwinds that it is experiencing, I believe the healthcare sector is a great place to invest with a long term view.

    But with so many options for investors to choose from, which ones should you be buying?

    Below are three ASX healthcare shares I think could provide stellar returns for investors over the long term:

    Avita Medical Ltd (ASX: AVH)

    The first healthcare share to look at is Avita Medical. It is a global regenerative medicine company which I think has a lot of potential. It is best known for its Recell system, which is a spray-on skin treatment used for burns victims. Demand for its offering has been growing very strongly over the last couple of years. This led to the company recently revealing an 84% increase in revenue for the 9 months ending 31 March 2020. While the company has a huge market opportunity already, it is seeking to extend Recell’s use to treat vitiligo. Combined, the company has a significant runway for growth over the next decade.

    Pro Medicus Limited (ASX: PME)

    Another ASX healthcare share to consider buying is Pro Medicus. It provides a full range of radiology IT software and services to hospitals, imaging centres, and healthcare groups. The key product in its portfolio is the increasingly popular Visage 7 Enterprise Imaging Platform. This platform delivers fast, multi-dimensional images streamed via an intelligent thin-client viewer. Demand for Visage 7 has been growing strongly in recent years and continues to this day. In fact, on Monday Pro Medicus announced a major new contract with one of the highest rated hospitals in the United States. I believe this is a testament to the quality of its offering. It also revealed that it has a number of other sales opportunities in its pipeline that it is working on.

    Ramsay Health Care Limited (ASX: RHC)

    A final healthcare share to look at is Ramsay Health Care. It is a global private hospital operator with 480 facilities across 11 countries. The next 12 months are not going to be easy for Ramsay due to both the pandemic and overall tough trading conditions in the private hospital space. However, I believe these headwinds will ease over the medium term and Ramsay’s growth will accelerate. Especially given how well-placed the company is to capture the expected increase in demand for healthcare services due to ageing populations.

    And here are more top shares to consider. All five recommendations below look like future market beaters…

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    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

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    As of 2/6/2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Pro Medicus Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Avita Medical Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Avita Medical Limited, Pro Medicus Ltd., and Ramsay Health Care Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Top brokers name 3 ASX 200 shares to sell today

    ASX shares to avoid

    On Wednesday I looked at three ASX shares that brokers have given buy ratings to this week.

    Unfortunately, not all shares are in favour with them right now. Three ASX 200 shares that have just been given sell ratings by brokers are listed below.

    Here’s why these brokers are bearish on them:

    Australia and New Zealand Banking GrpLtd (ASX: ANZ)

    According to a note out of the Macquarie equities desk, its analysts have retained their underperform rating and $18.50 price target on this banking giant’s shares. Although the broker believes ANZ’s divestment of its New Zealand-based UDC Finance business was a positive, it isn’t enough for a change of rating. It continues with its bearish view of the bank and retains its underperform rating. The ANZ share price is trading at $19.10 this afternoon.

    Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH)

    Analysts at UBS have retained their sell rating but lifted the price target on this hearing solutions company’s shares to $160.50. According to the note, the broker has revised its earnings estimates higher to reflect its belief that Cochlear unit sales will recover a touch quicker than expected. Nevertheless, with its shares trading well ahead of its price target, the broker is holding firm with its sell rating for the time being. Cochlear’s shares are changing hands for $197.89 on Thursday.

    Nufarm Limited (ASX: NUF)

    Another note out of Macquarie reveals that its analysts have downgraded this agricultural chemical company’s shares to an underperform rating and cut the price target on them to $4.85. The broker was left underwhelmed by Nufarm’s recent trading update and has concerns over its prospects in the fourth quarter. Given the importance of this quarter to its overall result, this could mean a disappointing full year result in September. The Nufarm share price has fallen heavily today and is now trading at $4.79.

    Those may be the shares to sell, but these are the shares that analysts have given buy ratings to…

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    One is a diversified conglomerate trading over 30% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

    Plus, this free report highlights 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit in 2020 and beyond.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares.

    But you will have to hurry because the cheap share prices on offer today might not last for long.

    As of 2/6/2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Cochlear Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Cochlear Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 hits 6,000 points: Westpac provide AUSTRAC update, Vocus reaffirms guidance

    abstract technology chart graphic

    At lunch on Thursday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record another strong gain. The benchmark index is currently up 1% to 6,000.9 points.

    Here’s what has been happening:

    ASX 200 hits 6,000 points.

    The ASX 200 index has shaken off the recession news and stormed higher again on Thursday. So much so, the index has broken through the symbolic 6,000 points mark. This is the first time the ASX 200 has traded above this level in almost three months. The big four banks have played a key role in driving it through this level today. All four are trading higher at lunch.

    Westpac AUSTRAC update.

    The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is pushing higher today despite the release of an update on its Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorism Financing (AML/CTF) compliance issues. Australia’s oldest bank has been investigating its compliance issues and believes three primary factors led to the breaches. These include some areas of AML/CTF risk not being sufficiently understood within the bank.

    Vocus reaffirms guidance.

    The Vocus Group Ltd (ASX: VOC) share price is charging higher today after the release of a positive announcement. The specialist fibre and network solutions provider revealed that it has refinanced its debt and remains on course to achieve its guidance for FY 2020. Vocus expects its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) to be in the range of $359 million to $369 million. This compares to the EBITDA of $360.1 million it posted in FY 2019. The core Vocus network services business is expected to deliver EBITDA growth of 10% this year.

    Best and worst ASX 200 performers.

    The best performer on the ASX 200 on Thursday has been the Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (ASX: URW) share price with a 15% gain. Investors may believe the shopping centre operator’s shares have bottomed now. The worst performer has been the Nufarm Limited (ASX: NUF) share price with a decline of almost 11%. This morning analysts at Macquarie downgraded its shares to an underperform rating with a $4.85 price target.

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    One stock is an Australian internet darling with a rock solid reputation and an exciting new business line that promises years (or even decades) of growth… while trading at an ultra-low price…

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    Plus 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit over the next 12 months!

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Buru Energy share price jumps 15% as the ASX small-cap benefits from firming oil prices

    Oil stocks

    The Buru Energy Limited (ASX: BRU) share price is charging higher today after the small-cap ASX energy share provided an operations update. At the time of writing, Buru shares have rallied 15% to 11.5 cents per share, taking the company’s current market capitalisation to around $50 million.

    Buru Energy is an oil and gas exploration and production company. It is focused on exploring and developing the petroleum resources of the Canning Basin in the Kimberley region of Western Australia. With this, the company holds interests in a portfolio of exploration permits covering around 5.5 million gross acres in the Canning Basin. It also has a 50% operating interest in the currently producing Ungani Oilfield.

    What did Buru Energy announce?

    This morning, Buru provided an operations update regarding Ungani oil sales and production. Notably, the company revealed it has been buoyed by the improving crude market, with increases in the Brent oil price during May resulting in additional revenue from the May lifting of around US$200,000.

    The company also announced that the next lifting of Ungani crude from Wyndham Port, which is expected to be in mid-July, has been sold on a spot basis.

    The Ungani joint venture plans to continue to sell crude on a spot basis while it reviews the potential for entering into another longer-term offtake agreement.

    The received price of the July lifting will be based on the average dated Brent oil price for the month of July, less an agreed discount to reflect an increase in marine transport charges to a refinery in Asia.

    Meanwhile, Ungani field production is currently 1,250 barrels of oil per day and a series of well optimisation activities have been planned.

    Buru also noted that its current farm-out process is progressing well. Various parties have accessed the virtual data room and with COVID-19 restrictions easing, locally-based interested parties are now able to physically attend Buru’s office to access the geophysical database.

    Commenting on today’s update, executive chair Eric Streitberg said:

    “We are very pleased and relieved to see the firming oil price that gives us a healthier return from our oil sales. Although we are facing higher shipping charges and tightening refinery terms, there is still a good market for our particular high quality crude from Ungani.

    Our strong cash position and our high quality exploration portfolio puts us in a good position to weather the current storms and it has also been very pleasing to see the share price improving. Although like many other companies our share price is still near historic lows, it is at least now reflecting a value greater than our cash position.”

    If you’re after some larger-cap ASX share ideas that aren’t reliant on underlying commodity prices, be sure to check out the free report below.

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    One stock is an Australian internet darling with a rock solid reputation and an exciting new business line that promises years (or even decades) of growth… while trading at an ultra-low price…

    Another is a diversified conglomerate trading over 40% off its high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield over 3%…

    Plus 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit over the next 12 months!

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    Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Got $5,000 for a dividend yield over 10%?

    Pile of $100 notes, asx 200 shares

    Finding shares with a dividend yield over 10% requires looking in a few odd places and sometimes making a few sacrifices. Income investing requires a bit more initial capital and a bit more time.

    The practice of dividend harvesting is still popular; where you buy high-yielding shares prior to the ex-dividend date and then sell them off again shortly afterwards. However, I personally have found that to be fraught with risks. 

     The truly great income investing opportunities were around 23 March when the market bottomed out. But there are still very good investments available if you look for them.

    High-confidence dividend yield, short duration

    Orora Ltd (ASX: ORA) goes ex-dividend on 19 June. At Wednesday’s closing price it would produce a special dividend payout of 13.6%. Moreover, the company also received a windfall from the sale of one of its businesses. This means it is going to distribute an additional payment to shareholders. At yesterday’s closing price this means a total payment of 18.1% to be paid on 29 June. 

    Orora has consistently grown its dividend by about 13.8% over the past 6 years. While this is a special dividend, the company’s current low share price increases the yield of future payments. The Orora share price is down by 12.9% YTD.

    Out-of-favour shares

    Yancoal Australia Ltd (ASX: YAL) is one of those shares that some people may well refuse to own. Despite this, it is a very well run company and has positioned itself for further production growth. It currently trades at a very low price-to-earnings ratio of 3.95. Its present twelve-month trailing dividend is 14.68%. Which is an almighty yield from a company worth $2.8 billion.

    The company has only been paying dividends for the past 2 years. However, its policy statement reads “…Yancoal will target a dividend payout of (A) 50% of net profit after tax (pre-Abnormal Items); or (B) 50% of the free cash flow (pre-Abnormal Items), whichever is higher.”

    Foolish takeaway

    Presuming you split $5,000 evenly between these two options, and that the Yancoal dividend remained the same or higher, the return would be at least $818 (16.4%) a year from now. 

    Finding reliable high-yielding dividends can be very tricky. Make sure to download our free expert report before you go.

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

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    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all-time high and paying a 6.7% grossed-up dividend.

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    Motley Fool contributor Daryl Mather has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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