• EUR/USD Weekly Price Forecast – Euro Smashes Through Barriers

    EUR/USD Weekly Price Forecast – Euro Smashes Through BarriersThe Euro shot through several barriers during the week, as we even managed to threaten 1.19 on Friday. But then it looks like gravity may be returning.

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  • Li Auto electrifies Nasdaq with US$1.1 billion IPO, the largest by a Chinese company in the US since 2018

    Li Auto electrifies Nasdaq with US$1.1 billion IPO, the largest by a Chinese company in the US since 2018Li Auto, a Chinese electric vehicle maker backed by mainland online services delivery giant Meituan Dianping, has priced its American depositary receipts at US$11.5 each in an initial public offering on Nasdaq that will raise about U$1.1 billion for the firm to expand in the world's biggest car market, according to a person familiar with the matter.The IPO by the Beijing-based start-up, which designs and makes electric SUVs, looks set to be the largest fundraising by a Chinese company on US exchanges since December 2018 when Tencent Music Entertainment Group raised US$1.07 billion or NIO's US$1.15 billion offer in September 2018, depending on how much of its overallotment option Li Auto exercises, according to data provided by Refinitiv."Electric vehicles will be the largest opportunity for technology start-ups worldwide after smartphones and mobile internet," said Mingming Huang, founding partner at early-stage venture capital firm Future Capital, who was an angel investor in Li Auto and topped up in multiple funding rounds. "EV plus autonomous driving will change the way people travel … the trillion-dollar companies will come from this sector."Li Auto's SUV. Photo: Handout alt=Li Auto's SUV. Photo: HandoutChina's electric car start-ups are tanking up on capital to fuel an intense fight for market share.Xpeng Motors has made a confidential filing for a listing in the US, while New York-listed NIO shares have tripled so far this year. Elsewhere, Zhejiang-based carmaker Geely Automobile Holdings, which makes the Geometry A electric car, said it plans to list on Shanghai's Nasdaq-style Star Market later this year.Investors are keen to jump on the electric-vehicle bandwagon after watching 17-year-old, California-based Tesla overtake Toyota Motor, Volkswagen and Hyundai Motor this year in terms of combined market value to become the world's most valuable carmaker. Tesla sells its Model 3, Model S and Model X in China.Li Auto, founded by serial entrepreneur Xiang Li, is the first company in China to commercialise what is known as extended-range technology for electric vehicles, which helps solve the problem of a lack of charging infrastructure across China and still developing battery technology. If the car's battery runs down then a combustion engine provides electrical power.More than 80 per cent of Chinese car owners do not have their own car parking space which means they cannot install their own charging point, said Future Capital's Huang. Many consumers are still anxious about their car's charge running low with nowhere to top up."Xiang Li has a deep understanding of the preferences and the pain points of car owners in China," said Huang, who has known Li for more than 15 years.While Li Auto still has negative cash flow, the capital-intensive electric vehicle market is at a very early growth stage, still only around 5 per cent of car sales in China. "Its still at a very fast growing and everybody is trying to grab market share," said Huang.Li also founded car internet platform Autohome, which now has a market capitalisation of over US$10 billion on the New York Stock Exchange, which gave many investors the confidence to back his new venture despite fierce competition in the sector.Li Auto and Xpeng have chosen to list in the US despite rising US-China tensions.Legislation passed by the Senate would kick Chinese companies off US stock exchanges unless their audits are open to inspection by US regulators.However, New York still has a far deeper pool of liquidity for start-ups to tap than Greater China, meaning Xpeng and Li Auto could potentially achieve a higher valuation in the US than they would have done closer to home.The company's offer of 95 million ADRs are priced above the marketed range of US$8 to US$10 each due to strong demand among investors. Bookrunners for the deal included investment bankers at CICC, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and UBS.Li Auto's ADR is expected to begin trading on Nasdaq on July 30. One ADR represents two ordinary shares in the company.Asia-focused private equity firm Hillhouse Capital will buy up to US$300 million of the stock at the offer price, according to its prospectus.With the successful completion of the IPO, Li Auto will also privately place new ordinary shares to existing shareholders totalling US$380 million. These shareholders include Meituan Dianping, which through an affiliate owns about 14.5 per cent in the company before the IPO, and ByteDance, the owner of video-sharing social network operator TikTok.Li Auto plans to use proceeds from the share sale to develop manufacturing facilities, research and development of new products, and as working capital.For the three months ended June this year, Li Auto recorded a net loss of 75.2 million yuan (HK$83 million), narrowing it by 2.5 per cent from a net loss of 77.1 million yuan in the first quarter this year.This article originally appeared in the South China Morning Post (SCMP), the most authoritative voice reporting on China and Asia for more than a century. For more SCMP stories, please explore the SCMP app or visit the SCMP's Facebook and Twitter pages. Copyright © 2020 South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved. Copyright (c) 2020. South China Morning Post Publishers Ltd. All rights reserved.

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  • Gold Price Futures (GC) Technical Analysis – Protect the Downside, the Upside Will Take Care of Itself

    Gold Price Futures (GC) Technical Analysis – Protect the Downside, the Upside Will Take Care of ItselfIf a top is forming then the market should stair-step down, first taking out $1966.50 then $1952.30.

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  • Bitcoin Ends July at Highest Monthly Close Since 2017 Peak

    Bitcoin Ends July at Highest Monthly Close Since 2017 PeakBitcoin closed July at $11,351, according to Messari.

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  • TikTok Draws Interest From Bidders Other Than Microsoft

    TikTok Draws Interest From Bidders Other Than Microsoft(Bloomberg) — Microsoft Corp. isn’t the only company interested in buying TikTok’s U.S. operations, according to people familiar with the matter.U.S. government officials probing national-security concerns around the Chinese-owned video-sharing app have had talks with at least one other large company as well as investors in TikTok parent ByteDance Ltd. who are interested in taking a stake in TikTok, according to one of the people, who requested anonymity because the discussions are private. This person declined to identify these companies.ByteDance is considering changes to the structure of TikTok because President Donald Trump is weighing ordering a divestiture of TikTok’s U.S. business, a decision that could come at any time.Venture investors in ByteDance have approached Chief Executive Officer Zhang Yiming with a range of proposals to address U.S. concerns that the app, especially popular with teens, is a security threat, people familiar with the matter have said. Any solution would likely have to pass scrutiny from U.S. regulators in the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, as well as U.S. antitrust regulators.The deal provides a rare opportunity to profit off the momentum of the fastest-growing social media app in the U.S. Still, not all companies likely to be attracted to such a deal will even be in the running. TikTok’s valuation is estimated at $20 billion to $40 billion, so few companies would be able to afford it. Most of those that would are likely to find it politically difficult to make the move.The CEOs of Facebook Inc., Alphabet Inc.’s Google, Amazon.com Inc. and Apple Inc. testified this week in the U.S. House of Representatives to answer lawmakers’ questions about their enormous market power. While any one of the four companies could fit TikTok into their product offerings, deals by these giants are already under a microscope.Google, whose YouTube is a competing video offering, is already facing a European Union probe for its much smaller acquisition of Fitbit Inc. Apple doesn’t tend to make acquisitions anywhere near large as TikTok. And Facebook’s years-ago purchases of smaller rivals Instagram and WhatsApp have been brought up anew amid the antitrust scrutiny. The world’s largest social network has already worked to turn lawmakers against TikTok, and is unlikely to court further risk to its already tenuous position on data security. Facebook also looked at purchasing Musical.ly, the predecessor to TikTok, in 2016, and passed.Microsoft, with a market value of $1.55 trillion, is bigger than Google or Facebook, but currently has a better reputation in Washington. The company wasn’t invited to the antitrust hearing on July 29, and has largely escaped recent criticism of Big Tech’s outsize influence. It’s unclear whether Microsoft would seek to integrate TikTok into its own operations, or join with other investors from private equity or venture capital to finance spinning out TikTok as a separate entity based in the U.S. With the second option, investors could seek to gain even more from a TikTok stock listing in the future.Media companies, such as Walt Disney Co. and Verizon Communications Inc., have been interested in purchasing social-media assets in the past. Disney in 2016 considered but ultimately decided against purchasing Twitter Inc., for instance. TikTok’s U.S.-based CEO, Kevin Mayer, was formerly the head of streaming for Disney, and may be better positioned to help broker a deal in the media world.Other social-media companies, such as Twitter and Snapchat parent Snap Inc., have smaller valuations than TikTok and therefore are unlikely bidders. They would need to use stock or outside financial help to complete such a transaction.It’s still not clear how a U.S. divestiture of TikTok would work, and how completely the app would have to separate from its current Chinese ownership. The company hasn’t said how such a move would affect employees, the technology or its product. However the ownership shakes out, there is one group that no potential buyer or investor wants to alienate: TikTok’s 165 million American users.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Nvidia in Advanced Talks to Buy SoftBank’s Chip Company Arm

    Nvidia in Advanced Talks to Buy SoftBank’s Chip Company Arm(Bloomberg) — Nvidia Corp. is in advanced talks to acquire Arm Ltd., the chip designer that SoftBank Group Corp. bought for $32 billion four years ago, according to people familiar with the matter.The two parties aim to reach a deal in the next few weeks, the people said, asking not to be identified because the information is private. Nvidia is the only suitor in concrete discussions with SoftBank, according to the people.A deal for Arm could be the largest ever in the semiconductor industry, which has been consolidating in recent years as companies seek to diversify and add scale. But any deal with Nvidia, which is a customer of Arm, would likely trigger regulatory scrutiny as well as a wave of opposition from other users.Cambridge, England-based Arm’s technology underpins chips that are crucial to most modern electronics, including those that dominate the smartphone market, an area in which Nvidia has failed to gain a foothold. Customers including Apple Inc., Qualcomm Inc., Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Intel Corp., could demand assurances that a new owner would continue providing equal access to Arm’s instruction set. Such concerns resulted in SoftBank, a neutral company, buying Arm the last time it was for sale.No final decisions have been made, and the negotiations could drag on longer or fall apart, the people said. SoftBank may gauge interest from other suitors if it can’t reach an agreement with Nvidia, the people said. Representatives for Nvidia, SoftBank and Arm declined to comment.Divestment Drive“With Nvidia’s low-cost fabless model enabling it to focus on R&D, engineering and programming, the fit with Arm would be perfect,” said Neil Campling, an analyst at Mirabaud Securities.Nvidia is the largest maker of graphics processors and it’s spreading the use of the gaming component into new areas such as artificial intelligence processing in data centers and self-driving cars. Marrying its own capabilities with central processor units designed by Arm may enable it to take on Intel and Advanced Micro Devices in a more comprehensive way, according to Rosenblatt Securities analyst Hans Mosesmann. He estimates Nvidia would have to pay about $55 billion for Arm.“You need control of BOTH CPU and GPU roadmaps and this, of course, includes data centers,” he wrote in a note Friday, referring to central processing units and graphic processing units. “Strategically, Nvidia needs a scalable CPU that can be integrated into its GPU roadmap, as is the case with AMD and Intel.”Billionaire Masayoshi Son has been selling some of SoftBank’s trophy assets as the company seeks to pay down debt at the Japanese conglomerate. SoftBank has offloaded part of its stake in Chinese internet giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and a chunk of its holdings in wireless carrier T-Mobile US Inc.SoftBank has been exploring options to exit part or all of its stake in Arm through a sale or public stock listing, Bloomberg News has reported. The chip-design company could go public as soon as next year if SoftBank decides to proceed with that option, people with knowledge of the matter have said.Arm has become more valuable as it pushes its architecture into smart cars, data centers and networking gear. The company could be worth $44 billion if it pursues an initial public offering next year, a valuation that may rise to $68 billion by 2025, according to New Street Research LLP.Nvidia, based in Santa Clara, California, is the world’s largest graphics chipmaker. The stock has surged more than twenty-fold in the past five years, giving the company more firepower to do large deals. Nvidia’s market value has increased to more than $260 billion in that time, surpassing Intel. The stock was little changed Friday in New York.(Updates with analyst comment in eighth paragraph)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • 3 ASX LICs offering big dividend yields over 7%

    Woman holding up wads of cash

    Listed investment companies (LICs) are a great option to invest in for big dividend yields in my opinion.

    What’s a LIC?

    A LIC is a company just like any other. LICs provide half-year and annual reports, they have boards of directors and so on.

    Normal operating companies might be a retailer, a bank, a tech company or something like that. The main difference is that LICs invest in other businesses on behalf of shareholders.

    LICs make profit from investment returns. That’s a combination of capital growth and the dividends the LICs receives from its investments.

    The boards of LICs can choose to pay a smoothed dividend for investors with its total returns.

    Here are three ideas with big dividend yields of more than 7%:

    WAM Leaders Ltd (ASX: WLE)

    WAM Leaders is a LIC run by Wilson Asset Management (WAM). The LIC targets large cap ASX shares. But you shouldn’t think of it as a passive investment vehicle like an exchange-traded fund (ETF). It’s quite active, switching between positions to try to make the best profit it can.

    Over the past year its portfolio returned 2.7% before fees, expenses and taxes, outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index by 10.4%. That’s impressive in my opinion.

    In FY20 the LIC increased its dividend by 15% to 6.5 cents per share. That equates to a grossed-up dividend yield of 8.1% at the current WAM Leaders share price. It has increased its dividend each year since FY17 when it started paying one – it was only formed in 2016.

    At the end of June 2020 it had a portfolio well suited to ride through any COVID-19 problems. Some of its biggest holdings were: BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), CSL Limited (ASX: CSL), Goodman Group (ASX: GMG), Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM), OZ Minerals Limited (ASX: OZL), Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO), Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) and Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW).   

    NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company Ltd (ASX: NSC)

    This LIC is run by Naos Asset Management, a manager which focuses on smaller ASX shares. 

    Naos generally has a portfolio around 10 names which it aims to be invested in for at least five years. That’s a high-conviction portfolio.

    Over FY20 NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company outperformed the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index by 8.26% before fees, taxes and interest.

    The LIC seems committed to paying a quarterly dividend of 1 cent per share. That equates to an annual grossed-up dividend yield of 11.3% at the current NAOS Small Cap Opportunities Company share price.

    Using the pre-tax net tangible assets (NTA) per share of $0.68 at 30 June 2020, it’s trading at 26% discount to last month’s NTA. We’ll have to wait a week or two to see July’s NTA.

    At the moment some of its positions are: Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: EGH), MNF Group Ltd (ASX: MNF) and Over The Wire Holdings Ltd (ASX: OTW).

    Future Generation Investment Company Ltd (ASX: FGX)

    Future Generation is a LIC with a twist. It doesn’t invest in individual ASX shares. It invests in funds of fund managers that invest in ASX shares. But neither Future Generation or the fund managers charge any management fees. That enables Future Generation to donate 1% of its net assets per year to youth charities.

    At the current Future Generation share price it offers a grossed-up dividend yield of 7.1%. It has increased its dividend each year since 2015.

    It’s invested in around 20 fund managers at the moment. I think that provides a lot of attractive diversification. Bennelong is the fund manager with the biggest allocation right now.

    Future Generation is trading at a 13% discount to the NTA at the end of June 2020.

    Foolish takeaway

    I like all three of these LICs for dividend income potential. The Naos LIC clearly has the biggest yield and it’s trading at a big discount to its NTA. But Future Generation offers very attractive diversification, a good discount and a good yield too. It’s hard to pick between these two.

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Tristan Harrison owns shares of FUTURE GEN FPO and NAO SMLCAP FPO. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of CSL Ltd. and Over The Wire Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended MNF Group Limited and Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Over The Wire Holdings Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 1 ASX share to take advantage of the strong FAANG shares

    dice on top of piles of coins spelling the word nasdaq

    There’s one ASX share in-particular that I think is a good option to get exposure to the US FAANG tech shares. I’m talking about BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ).

    For people that don’t know, the FAANG shares are a group of technology stocks in America. It stands for Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google. Google is now called Alphabet, so perhaps it should be called FAANA. Or FAAAN.  

    Over the past decade there are few shares that have performed as well as this tech group have.

    When you look at the recent profit updates you can see that the FAANG shares can perform strongly (perhaps even stronger) during a global pandemic.

    More people are staying inside. They may watch more Netflix or Youtube. They may go on one of Facebook’s platforms more often. Perhaps they’re more likely to order things on Amazon. Maybe they’ll decide to buy a new Apple device.

    The FAANG shares mostly deliver their services digitally, so they were well suited to keep thriving during the COVID-19 restrictions.

    Facebook, Apple and Amazon all reported impressive numbers:

    Amazon said its sales jumped 40% for the three months to US$88.9 billion with profit doubling to US$5.2 billion.

    Apple reported its quarterly revenue increased 11% year on year to US$59.7 billion with remote work and school contributing to higher sales and iPads and Mac computers. Apple’s profit increased 12.5% to US$11.25 billion.

    Facebook announced that its revenue increased by 11% to US$18.7 billion and net profit rose by 98% to US$5.18 billion.

    Alphabet revealed that its revenue fell 2% to US$38.3 billion and net profit dropped around 30% over the corresponding period as many companies reduced their advertising spending.

    Alphabet’s revenue was better than expected, so I suppose that counts as a win as well.

    Technology juggernauts

    The FAANG group have incredibly strong economic moats. You don’t see the same sort of strength with ASX shares. 

    Imagine how much you’d need to spend to create a better phone company (and app store) than Apple. Think how much you’d have to spend on software development and advertising to be people’s preferred internet search engine over Google. Would it even be possible to dislodge any them? The FAANG shares are powerful. 

    There’s more growth to come. More advertising will probably shift to digital, particularly when it comes to advertising on online video – good for Facebook and Alphabet’s Youtube. Virtual reality will be good for Facebook’s Oculus. A shift to automated cars should be very good for Waymo. Quite a few of the NASDAQ giants are helping the world shift to cloud computing.

    NASDAQ ETF

    There’s more to BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF than just the FAANG shares. The ETF owns 100 shares. There are other very important holdings like Microsoft, Nvidia, PayPal, Cisco, Intel, Broadcom and so on. But Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and Facebook make up almost half of the ETF’s holdings.

    The ETF offers good diversification for a pretty cheap fee. Its annual management fee is 0.48%. There are ETFs that cost less, but you get targeted exposure to some of the best technology businesses in the world. It’s the net returns that count the most. 

    It has performed very well after fees. Over the past year the ETF has returned 35.5%. Over the past three years it has returned 26.6% per annum and over the past five years it has returned 21.5% per annum. You can’t argue with those types of returns. That’s much better than the ASX in my opinion.

    The FAANG shares are powering ahead. But there are a couple of potential problems ahead. One is that they are coming under increased scrutiny by politicians in the US who claim they are being anticompetitive and bias. In other places around the world, the companies face slightly lower profit margins – Australia wants the FAANG shares to pay for news and Europe is challenging them on competition and tax.

    But I don’t think those issues will stop the FAANG shares. The US wouldn’t want to break them up into pieces – otherwise the Chinese giants may gain an advantage.   

    I think BetaShares NASDAQ 100 ETF is a great investment idea for the long-term, though I think the US election could cause some volatility. Sometime in the next six months could prove to be a good buying opportunity. But you should be able to do well from today’s price. 

    Where to invest $1,000 right now

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for more than eight years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    Scott just revealed what he believes are the five best ASX stocks for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they are great buys right now.

    *Returns as of June 30th

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    Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of BETANASDAQ ETF UNITS. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BETANASDAQ ETF UNITS. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Smart investors should buy these ASX growth shares

    thinking

    I believe Australian investors are spoilt for choice when it comes to growth shares.

    But with so many high quality and fast-growing shares to choose from, it can be hard to decide which ones to buy.

    To give investors a hand, I thought I would pick out three fast-growing companies which I believe could be great investments in August. Here’s why I would buy these shares:

    Altium Limited (ASX: ALU)

    The first growth share I would suggest investors consider buying is Altium. It is an electronic design software platform provider. The rapidly growing Internet of Things (IoT) and artificial intelligence (AI) markets are causing a proliferation of electronic devices globally. Altium is perfectly positioned to benefit from this due to its leadership position in the electronic design market. Overall, I believe this will allow Altium to deliver on its revenue target of US$500 million in FY 2025. This compares to its FY 2020 revenue of ~US$189 million.

    Nanosonics Ltd (ASX: NAN)

    Another growth share to consider buying is Nanosonics. I think the infection prevention company is a fantastic long term investment. This is due to the strength and growth potential of its trophon EPR disinfection system for ultrasound probes and upcoming product launches. While not a lot is known about these secretive new products, they are understood to have similar market opportunities to the trophon EPR system. And if they are anywhere near as successful, the sky could be the limit for the Nanosonics share price.

    Pro Medicus Limited (ASX: PME)

    A final growth share that I would buy is Pro Medicus. It is a leading provider of radiology IT software and services to hospitals, imaging centres, and healthcare companies. Demand for its offering from major healthcare institutions has been growing strongly over the last few years. This has led to stellar earnings growth. For example, in FY 2019 Pro Medicus delivered a massive 91.9% increase in full year profit to $19.1 million. It then backed this up with a 32.7% increase in net profit after tax to $12.1 million during the first half of FY 2020. I suspect the pandemic may stifle its second half growth, but I expect it to rebound strongly once the crisis passes.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Altium. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Nanosonics Limited. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. recommends Pro Medicus Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Pro Medicus Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Nanosonics Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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