• Oil Boosted by Demand Rise and Deeper Saudi Arabian Output Cuts

    Oil Boosted by Demand Rise and Deeper Saudi Arabian Output Cuts(Bloomberg) — Oil edged higher as signs of a recovery in demand continued to surface following the easing of virus-led lockdowns in some regions, while Saudi Arabia pledged to cut production further.Futures rose 2.6% in New York after falling Monday. Pockets of fuel demand are starting to emerge in India and China, and while a huge glut remains, global stockpile builds are starting to slow. Saudi Arabia announced a surprise move to deepen daily output cuts by another 1 million barrels, which was followed by smaller reductions from OPEC allies the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait.Oil is still down about 60% this year with little clarity over when global consumption will be back to pre-virus levels. China has seen a steady recovery in air and road travel in its capital city, but in Europe various degrees of lockdown continue to hobble consumption. In the U.S., an OPIS report showed that the volume of fuel sold by retailers across the nation rose just over 7% in the week ended May 2. However, the rebound is still far below 2019 levels and traders remain wary of a resurgence of coronavirus cases.See also: Wuhan to Test Whole City of 11 Million After New Cases Emerge“The road to oil price recovery will likely be choppy and plagued with stop-and-go rallies and selling cycles until some level of price certainty is restored,” said Roger Diwan, vice president of financial services at IHS Markit.Indian fuel consumption in May is expected to be as much as 25% higher than April as planting season begins, requiring tractors and water pumps to burn more diesel, while trucks return to the road as lockdown restrictions ease, according to officials at two state-owned refineries. In China, more people are driving to avoid public transport due to virus fears, boosting gasoline demand.Saudi Arabia aims to pump just under 7.5 million barrels a day in June, compared with an official target of about 8.5 million a day. It’s a sign of the urgency in Riyadh to stabilize the market as rock-bottom prices force the kingdom to impose deep spending cuts. Kuwait and the U.A.E. followed by announcing additional daily curbs of 80,000 barrels and 100,000, respectively.See also: Saudis in ‘Whatever It Takes’ Mode to Fast-Track Recovery: RBCSaudi Aramco reported a 25% year-on-year drop in first-quarter profit after the crash in oil prices. Income declined to 62.48 billion riyals ($16.6 billion) in the first three months of the year, according to a statement. It said it would pay a dividend of $18.75 billion for the quarter, keeping it on track to meet its pledge of a full-year payout to shareholders of $75 billion.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Vodafone Looks Beyond Turbulent Markets With Tower Sale Plan

    Vodafone Looks Beyond Turbulent Markets With Tower Sale Plan(Bloomberg) — Vodafone Group Plc kept its sales growing in the three months to March and pressed ahead with plans to bring in new investors for its wireless towers next year. The shares rose as much as 8.8%.Chief Executive Officer Nick Read said Vodafone’s go-it-alone strategy in the U.K. was still the right one, after rivals Liberty Global Plc and Telefonica SA announced a $39 billion merger of their British operations.The international mobile carrier reported organic service revenue growth of 1.6% in its financial fourth quarter, stronger than the 0.9% consensus of analyst estimates gathered by the company, and kept a final dividend of 4.5 euro cents.Key InsightsRead is trying to streamline the company’s operations and pay down debt after weak sales and heavy costs forced a surprise dividend cut a year ago. The coronavirus pandemic only adds to the challenge.Investors had been waiting to see if the virus might force another cut in shareholder payouts and disrupt Read’s plans to spin out the mast business, which analysts have valued at between 8 billion euros and more than 20 billion euros, depending on factors such as network sharing deals and debt.It said a separate company being created for its roughly 58,000 mobile masts was on track to sell or list a stake in early 2021, as it set out a new goal of 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion) in annual cost savings within three years.The mast sale, and sales growth, might still come unstuck. Vodafone said the economic impact of the pandemic in its markets is “likely to be significant.”“I believe the market remains structurally favorable to us,” Read told reporters on a call.Market ReactionVodafone shares were up 7.8% as of 10:03 a.m. in London, continuing a recovery that began in mid-March when they fell below 1 pound per share to a 23-year low. Until Tuesday’s bounce, the shares have been underperforming their industry peers this year.Of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg, 19 rated the stock a Buy, 5 a Hold and 2 a Sell.Get More“We are preparing for a potential IPO in early calendar 2021, and we are targeting to provide financial information at our interim results in November 2020,” the Newbury, England-based company said in its results statement Tuesday.Organic sales in Italy, Vodafone’s first major market to be hit by the virus, slid 3.7% in the quarter, slightly better than the 4.6% drop forecast by analysts. Spain fell 2.7%, beating the 5.5% forecast decline.The company also revealed writedowns of 1.7 billion euros for the year at its Spanish, Irish, Romanian and automotive units, citing competition in Spain and the economic turbulence caused by Covid-19.StatementNOTE: Vodafone cashflow could benefit from deferral of 5G spectrum auctions: BINOTE, May 7: Telefonica COO Says CTIL Could Still Be ‘Monetized’(Adds more on tower unit in second key insight, opening share gain)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Aramco Plans $75 Billion Dividend as Profit Drops 25%

    Aramco Plans $75 Billion Dividend as Profit Drops 25%(Bloomberg) — Saudi Arabia’s state-controlled oil giant retained its massive dividend despite a 25% plunge in profit, and signaled it would keep spending in check as it braces for deeper damage from the oil crisis.Saudi Aramco, the world’s most valuable company, will pay a dividend of $18.75 billion for the first three months of 2020. That would leave it on track to meet its full-year goal of $75 billion, though the company didn’t specify if it was still committed to that number.The dividend is crucial for the kingdom, which holds about 98% of Aramco and is facing its worst financial turmoil in decades. On Monday, the government tripled value-added tax and cut bureaucrats’ allowances as it looks to rein in a fiscal deficit that could reach 13% of gross domestic product this year.At the time of Aramco’s record initial public offering in December, the dividend was a massive part of its appeal. But even back then, a stress test carried out by JPMorgan Chase & Co. showed that if oil fell to $40 a barrel and production was 9 million barrels a day, Aramco would only remain within its self-imposed borrowing target by cutting its dividend by 30% and slashing spending dramatically.Arab Light crude last month plunged to as little as $13.34 a barrel and the kingdom has pledged to cut output to just 7.5 million barrels a day in June.The price war started just as the first quarter was coming to an end, and the greatest impact of low prices will hit in the second quarter. That’s when benchmark prices turned negative in the U.S. and the OPEC+ alliance and others agreed to rein in production.“We retain significant flexibility to adjust expenditures and have considerable experience in managing the business through times of adversity,” Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser said. “This resilience will enable us to continue delivering on our commitments to our shareholders.”Big Oil’s generous payouts have long been a key attraction for shareholders, but low prices are threatening them. Exxon Mobil Corp. froze its dividend for the first time in 13 years while slashing capital expenditure, and Royal Dutch Shell cut payouts for the first time since the Second World War.Crude TruceAramco’s income declined 25% year-on-year to 62.48 billion riyals ($16.6 billion) between January and March and refining swung to a loss before earnings and tax are included. Aramco continues to forecast between $25 billion and $30 billion of capital spending this year but expenditure for 2021 is under review, it said.It could generate about $133 billion for the government this year across royalties, taxes and dividends, according to Credit Suisse Group AG analyst Thomas Adolff. That’s “a far cry from what it had expected originally and insufficient to cover the original government budget,” he said in a research note.Saudi Arabia and Russia have called a truce in a crude-price war that erupted in March, with the former announcing a surprise cut on Monday that will see its output in June fall to the lowest in 18 years. Aramco also moved to prop up energy markets last week by raising prices for its customers.Even so, efforts to contain the pandemic by shuttering swaths of the world economy continue to weigh on crude, which has crashed more than 50% this year.Aramco has slashed spending as it focuses on protecting the promised shareholder payouts this year. The Dhahran-based company said in March that it would limit capital expenditure to $30 billion in 2020, down from previous plans to spend as much as $40 billion. As well as the dividend, major spending commitments include the first installment of a $69.1 billion acquisition of a stake in Saudi Basic Industries Corp. Aramco is buying 70% of the chemicals maker from the kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund.“Looking ahead to the remainder of 2020, we expect the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on global energy demand and oil prices to weigh on our earnings,” Nasser said. “We continue to reinforce the business during this period by reducing our capex and driving operational excellence. Longer term we remain confident that demand for energy will rebound as global economies recover.”Aramco’s stock rose 0.5% to 31.05 riyals by 10:54 a.m. in Riyadh. It is down 12% this year, compared with a 55% drop in benchmark Brent crude. The company’s market value has declined from a peak of over $2 trillion to about $1.6 trillion, still almost $200 billion above that of Microsoft Corp., the second-biggest firm globally.(Updates throughout.)For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Vodafone keeps dividend as pandemic hits roaming, but boosts data

    Vodafone keeps dividend as pandemic hits roaming, but boosts dataVodafone kept its dividend on Tuesday, bucking a corporate trend to cut or scrap payouts due to the coronavirus crisis, as the world’s second-biggest mobile operator met expectations with a 2.6% rise in full-year core earnings. The British company said a drop in international travel due to the virus pandemic had hit its revenues from roaming calls and that it expected customer spending to suffer from the economic downturn caused by the health crisis. Core earnings reached 14.9 billion euros ($16.1 billion) in the year ended March 31, with group revenue up 3% to 45.0 billion euros, driven by business in Europe.

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  • ASX 200 drops over 1% at the market close

    ASX 200

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dropped over 1% today by market close. The ASX 200 fell to 5,403 points.

    The coronavirus continues to dominate news headlines, but there’s growing concern about China hurting Australia’s exports of barley and beef.

    Here’s what happened in the ASX 200 today

    There was a full year result and a few interesting updates.

    CSR Limited (ASX: CSR) reports

    The ASX 200 construction business announced its FY20 report today. The CSR share price went up by over 10%.

    CSR reported that net profit after tax (NPAT) of $125.3 million rose from $78 million in the prior year which included an impairment last year.

    NPAT from continuing operations (before significant items) of $134.8 million was down from $181.7 million in FY19.

    CSR decided not to pay a final dividend.

    Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) update

    The ASX 200 electronic PCB software business announced another coronavirus update earlier today.

    It’s starting to feel some of the effects of the coronavirus, causing it to lower prices and extend payment terms. It doesn’t think it can reach its US$200 million revenue target this year. May and June are typically important months for sales for the company and things are only getting tougher rather than easier. 

    However, it said that it has a cash balance of US$77 million and it’s working hard to invest in cloud offering Altium 365.

    The ASX 200 software business fell by around 4% today.

    Premier Investments Ltd (ASX: PMV) says stores to re-open

    The major retailer said that store closures had significantly impacted global sales with total sales down 74% for the six weeks to 6 May 2020 compared to the prior period. The global retail store network sales were down 99%, but online sales have risen 99%.

    Premier Investments has announced that the balance of its stores in Australia will reopen from 15 May 2020, although airports and some CBD stores will remain closed. All New Zealand stores will reopen from 14 May 2020.

    The company said it will pay rent in arrears for all stores at a gross percentage of sales.

    The Premier Investments share price was essentially flat today for the ASX 200 retailer.

    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes is the #1 Top “Buy Alert” after stumbling upon a little-owned opportunity he believes could be one of the greatest discoveries of his 25 years as a professional investor.

    This under-the-radar ASX recommendation is virtually unknown among individual investors, and no wonder.

    What it offers is an utterly unique strategy to position yourself to potentially profit alongside some of the world’s biggest and most powerful tech companies.

    Potential returns of 1X, 2X and even 3X are all in play. Best of all, you could hold onto this little-known equity for DECADES to come

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison owns shares of Altium. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Altium. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Forget the ASX banks! Here are 3 ETFs I would buy for income instead

    money bag surrounded by gold coins

    2020 is shaping up to be a year to forget when it comes to dividends. We have seen ASX companies cut dividends across the board this year, including from some ASX income heavyweights.

    Dividends from ASX banks like Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) have gone up in smoke. It’s the same with distributions from real estate investment trusts (REITs) like Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) and would-be dividend aristocrat Ramsay Health Care Limited (ASX: RHC).

    It’s a brave new world for income investors, that’s for sure.

    That’s why I think a great strategy for investors seeking dividend income in 2020 is to go for diversification. With an exchange-traded fund (ETF), you can buy dozens (if not hundreds) of income-paying companies within one share!

    Here are 3 ideas to get you started:

    Vanguard Australian Shares High Yield ETF (ASX: VHY)

    This ETF from Vanguard aims to hold a large basket of ASX dividend-paying shares. It currently holds 62 ASX-listed companies, which include the big banks, BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) and Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES).

    Although many of these holdings will be pulling back on their dividends in 2020, many will not as well. All in all, I see this ETF as a collection of some of the best yielders on the ASX.

    SPDR S&P Global Dividend Fund (ASX: WDIV)

    This ETF can be used as a great compliment to VHY as it invests in top-notch dividend payers from around the world.

    WDIV only holds stocks that have maintained or increased their dividends over the past 10 years – which is a great filter in my view. There are many defensive companies here, ranging from the utilities sector to energy, REITs and ‘sin stocks’.

    WDIV has a trailing dividend yield of 6.33%, which isn’t bad at all and will provide a solid stream of passive income. Such diversity can do wonders for an ASX-dominated dividend portfolio in my view and as such, I think this ETF is one that any income investors should consider.

    iShares S&P/ASX 20 ETF (ASX: ILC)

    This ETF from BlackRock is very simple – it simply holds the top 20 companies on the ASX. CSL Limited (ASX: CSL) is, of course, the top holding, followed by the big 4 banks, BHP and Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW).

    So why this ETF over VHY? Well, it’s a more conservative choice in that it is defined by holding the largest companies on the ASX – all of which pay dividends. It is a little concentrated in the banking and resources sectors, but the largest holding, CSL, is a notable exception. ILC boasts a trailing dividend yield of 5.52%, which also comes with some franking credits.

    I would also suggest you check out of the Foolish dividend pick named below!

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

    When our resident dividend expert Edward Vesely has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, he’s the investing genius that runs Motley Fool Dividend Investor, the newsletter service that has picked huge winners like Dicker Data (+92%), SDI Limited (+53%) and National Storage (+35%).*

    Edward has just named what he believes is the number one ASX dividend stock to buy for 2020.

    This fully franked “under the radar” company is currently trading more than 24% below its all-time high and paying a 6.7% grossed up dividend

    The name of this dividend dynamo and the full investment case is revealed in this brand new free report.

    But you will have to hurry – history has shown it can pay dividends to get in early to some of Edward’s stock picks, and this dividend stock is already on the move.

    See the top dividend stock for 2020

    *Returns as of 7/4/20

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen owns shares of SPDR S&P Global Dividend Fund and Vanguard Australian Shares High Yield Etf. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Allianz first-quarter net profit drops 29% as coronavirus outbreak dampens business

    Allianz first-quarter net profit drops 29% as coronavirus outbreak dampens businessGerman insurer Allianz on Tuesday posted a 29% fall in net profit in the first quarter from a year earlier as the coronavirus outbreak slows business. The insurer had last month flagged the drop when it published preliminary figures, and it abandoned its profit target for the full year, blaming economic uncertainty amid the pandemic. Allianz is among a host of European insurers warning about their prospects as they face claims for business disruptions, canceled events and a lack of demand for car and travel insurance.

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  • Short sellers are going after Afterpay’s rivals and these ASX shares

    Short-sellers are stepping up their attack on ASX shares over the past month even as the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) recovers from the coronavirus fallout.

    The total number of shares short-sold jumped by 3% over the past month and is close to 4% more than at the start of this calendar year.

    It’s usually a good idea to keep an eye on what these bearish traders are doing as they tend to be more sophisticated than the average investor.

    Short-sellers are those who borrow a stock to sell on-market with the aim of buying it back at a lower price later to profit from the difference.

    Shorting the BNPL sector

    One of the interesting things short-sellers appear to be betting against are the rivals to Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) even as they stepped back from shorting the buy now pay later (BNPL) industry leader.

    Those who shorted Afterpay are probably nursing big losses as the stock hit a record high on Monday.

    This might have convinced them to go after its weaker rivals instead as the sector, which is linked to discretionary spending, is under a cloud. The ones most likely to use such services are more likely to be impacted by job losses.

    Targeting the weaker players

    Based on the latest ASIC short-selling data that runs to May 5 (the data is always a week old), short-interest in Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) and FlexiGroup Limited (ASX: FXL) jumped.

    Zip Co’s short-interest, which is the percentage of Zip shares in the hands of short-sellers, rose 165 basis points (1.65 percentage points) to 8.9%.

    Flexigroup isn’t far behind. The proportion of its shares being shorted increased 136 basis points to 1.9%.

    It looks like Zip Co is the more popular short target with close to 10% of its shares being shorted. That’s a relatively high percentage.

    Biggest increase in shorts

    However, these shares aren’t the flavour of the month as short-sellers have been more aggressively increasing their bearish bets against other ASX stocks.

    Top of the list is gold miner KIRKLAND/IDR UNRESTR (ASX: KLA) with short-interest in the stock surging 758 basis points over the month from nothing. Short-sellers may be using it as a hedge against the rallying gold price.

    Retailers are a moving target

    Second on the list is embattled department store group Myer Holdings Ltd (ASX: MYR). Short-interest in the stock jumped 437 basis points to just over 14%.

    I suspect the sudden and sharp rally in Myer shares on Monday may be due to short-covering where short-sellers rush to buy back the stock to close their position.

    The reopening of Myer stores and the easing of social restrictions is triggering a re-rating in ASX retail stocks.

    Holding a large short position in Myer must be causing pain with the stock surging 44% over the past month.

    The short trade in the sector could become a widow maker if short-sellers don’t go after the right candidates.

    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes is the #1 Top “Buy Alert” after stumbling upon a little-owned opportunity he believes could be one of the greatest discoveries of his 25 years as a professional investor.

    This under-the-radar ASX recommendation is virtually unknown among individual investors, and no wonder.

    What it offers is an utterly unique strategy to position yourself to potentially profit alongside some of the world’s biggest and most powerful tech companies.

    Potential returns of 1X, 2X and even 3X are all in play. Best of all, you could hold onto this little-known equity for DECADES to come

    Simply click here to see how you can find out the name of this ‘all in’ buy alert… before the next stock market rally.

    Find out the name of Scott’s ‘All in’ Buy Alert

    Returns as of 6/5/2020

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    Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended FlexiGroup Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How many ASX shares should you have in your portfolio?

    Portfolio, Diversification

    How many ASX shares should you have in your portfolio?

    It’s a tricky question, to be sure! That’s partly because everyone has a different answer. Some people are happy with 4, others have more than 40.

    Some experts will tell you to have as many as you can for diversification’s sake, others like Warren Buffett will tell you that “diversification is protection against ignorance. It makes little sense if you know what you are doing.”

    So what is one to do?

    What does diversification bring to a portfolio?

    Diversification is a term bandied around a little much these days, in my opinion. But the basic idea is that diversification helps you reduce risk. The more companies, industries, and even countries you are invested across, the less likely a significant event in any one of these will derail your returns.

    Take the recent shocks we’ve seen in the oil markets as an example. If someone just had Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL), Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Caltex Australia Limited (ASX: CTX) in their portfolio, they would have been smashed by the descent of oil prices into negative territory. Having shares outside the oil sector would have helped insulate this portfolio considerably.

    Of course, if you diversify too much, you will just end up with a return similar to what a broad market index fund will give you.

    How many shares are enough?

    Keeping all this in mind, having a share portfolio of 15 shares would be ideal (in my opinion), but anywhere between 10-20 is probably the right balance for most investors.

    But just having 15 isn’t enough. If you had 15 oil companies or 15 banks, it wouldn’t be a diversified portfolio at all.

    So a further caveat: having 15 companies could be considered ideal, but so is making sure this stable covers a broad swathe of at least the Australian economy is also important.

    And if you still feel your portfolio is still too concentrated, you can easily bump up your diversification with an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or two.

    But don’t let an arbitrary share limit dictate how you choose to invest if you don’t wish. There’s nothing wrong with owning one company just like Warren Buffett (provided you know it inside out). Equally, there’s nothing wrong with owning 40 if it helps you sleep better at night. Investing is a personal journey and one that you have to do your own way!

    Before you go, you might want to check out the share below as well! We Fools think it has a great place in a diversified portfolio!

    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes is the #1 Top “Buy Alert” after stumbling upon a little-owned opportunity he believes could be one of the greatest discoveries of his 25 years as a professional investor.

    This under-the-radar ASX recommendation is virtually unknown among individual investors, and no wonder.

    What it offers is an utterly unique strategy to position yourself to potentially profit alongside some of the world’s biggest and most powerful tech companies.

    Potential returns of 1X, 2X and even 3X are all in play. Best of all, you could hold onto this little-known equity for DECADES to come

    Simply click here to see how you can find out the name of this ‘all in’ buy alert… before the next stock market rally.

    Find out the name of Scott’s ‘All in’ Buy Alert

    Returns as of 6/5/2020

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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