• Are ASX 200 bank shares too expensive to buy right now?

    Man sitting in front of a laptop and analysing an earnings report.

    ASX 200 bank shares have enjoyed robust shareholder returns ranging from 30% to 45% over the past year.

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) all notched respective gains following a strong show of earnings. Meanwhile, ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) had a similar run.

    Despite this, the big four banks may not have much room to grow into their currently elevated share prices, according to Macquarie analysts.

    And the fact of the matter is the banking majors are all trading at or near six-month highs. So, is now a good time to buy ASX 200 bank shares? Here’s a closer look.

    Macquarie weary on ASX 200 bank growth

    Macquarie analysts caution that ASX 200 bank shares may struggle to grow into their elevated multiples over the next few years.

    According to The Australian, Macquarie says visibility for the sector is low as pressures on earnings mount. According to the reporting, the firm said:

    Looking forward, we do not see a clear path for underlying profitability to improve meaningfully from a top-down and divisional bottom-up perspective.

    We note that banks’ current returns are broadly in the middle of their 10-year average ranges. As a result, we see limited scope for banks to grow into their elevated multiples

    The broker notes that, despite each of the banks delivering double-digit total shareholder returns over the past year, their earnings have declined, while multiples have expanded “to a 15-30% relative premium [in price-to-earnings ratio (P/E)] versus five-year historical averages”.

    Macquarie also observes that banks are currently experiencing one of the lowest bad debt periods on record, which may not support an earnings recovery in the medium term.

    In H1 FY24, the banking majors booked a total of $1.21 billion in impairment charges, a 13% decrease from the prior corresponding period.

    Despite this, bank share prices have continued to rise. But further growth from here could be a challenge, Macquarie says:

    While multiple expansions often precede the earnings growth phase, this is an improbable outcome, in our view. Periods where the earnings subsequently lifted to support rallying share prices were generally characterised by normalising credit losses following an impairment cycle

    Banks were strong in FY24

    ASX 200 banks showed strong returns on the charts, and the fundamentals remained robust throughout the year.

    Commonwealth Bank shares were up 27% in FY24 as the company reported half-yearly profits of $13.7 billion. According to my colleague James, growth softened towards the end of the year, with a 1% decline in earnings reported for its Q3 FY24 numbers.

    Westpac shares gained 30% in FY24, driven by general market strength and positive operating results.

    The bank’s half-year results in May showed a 16% decrease in net profit to $3.3 billion, yet investors welcomed the 7.1% increase in the interim dividend to 75 cents per share, alongside a fully franked special dividend of 15 cents per share.

    Meanwhile, NAB shareholders must have been happy, as the bank delivered a massive return in FY24. According to my colleague Sebastian, NAB shares started the year at $26.37 each and closed at $36.23, a capital gain of 37.39%.

    Including dividends, investors enjoyed a total yield of 6.33%, resulting in a 43.7% total gain.

    Foolish takeaway

    ASX 200 bank shares have delivered impressive returns in the past year, but analysts warn that their current valuations may be too high. Remember to conduct your own research and consider any long-term goals before making any investment decisions.

    The post Are ASX 200 bank shares too expensive to buy right now? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Australia And New Zealand Banking Group right now?

    Before you buy Australia And New Zealand Banking Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Australia And New Zealand Banking Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why DroneShield, GenusPlus, Monadelphous, and Telstra shares are roaring higher today

    In afternoon trade, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is back on form and charging higher. At the time of writing, the benchmark index is up 0.75% to 7,820.8 points.

    Four ASX shares that are rising more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are racing higher:

    DroneShield Ltd (ASX: DRO)

    The DroneShield share price is up a further 7% to a new record high of $2.15. This is despite there being no news out of the counter drone technology company on Tuesday. In fact, it has been almost three weeks since there was meaningful news out of the market darling. Nevertheless, investors appear to believe that DroneShield is perfectly positioned to continue its explosive growth thanks to industry tailwinds and some major contract wins. Its shares are now up over 450% since the start of the year.

    GenusPlus Group Ltd (ASX: GNP)

    The GenusPlus share price is up 5% to $2.04. Investors have been buying the national essential power and communications infrastructure provider’s shares after it announced a major program of maintenance and upgrade works for Western Power. Genus will provide distribution and transmission overhead maintenance services across Western Power’s network. The five-year agreement is expected to generate revenue of approximately $50 million in its first year.

    Monadelphous Group Ltd (ASX: MND)

    The Monadelphous share price is up 2% to $12.88. This morning, the engineering company announced that it has been awarded a major long-term maintenance and minor construction services contract. The contract is associated with Shell Australia’s Prelude Floating Liquefied Natural Gas (FLNG) facility. The seven year contract will commence in November when the company’s existing contract with Shell ends. Management believes that “renewing this significant contract demonstrates Monadelphous’ leadership position in the Australian energy maintenance market, both onshore and offshore.”

    Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS)

    The Telstra Group share price is up almost 3% to $3.75. Investors have been buying the telco giant’s shares after it announced an increase to its mobile prices. The changes will see prices on most Telstra mobile plans increase by between $2 to $4 per month. Management notes that these changes aimed to balance cost of living pressures “with its need to continue to invest to manage technology evolution and continued strong customer demand on its mobile network.” Judging by its share price performance, the market appears to believe the company has got it just right with these increases.

    The post Why DroneShield, GenusPlus, Monadelphous, and Telstra shares are roaring higher today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Droneshield Limited right now?

    Before you buy Droneshield Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Droneshield Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield and GenusPlus Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why Clinuvel, Mesoblast, Red Hill, and Resimac shares are sinking today

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is back on form on Tuesday. In afternoon trade, the benchmark index is up 0.8% to 7,823.6 points.

    Four ASX shares that have failed to follow the market higher today are listed below. Here’s why they are falling:

    Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals Limited (ASX: CUV)

    The Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals share price is down 6.5% to $14.50. This appears to have been driven by a broker note out of Morgans this morning. According to the note, the broker has downgraded the biopharmaceutical company’s shares to a hold rating with a $16.00 price target. Morgans made the move partly on valuation grounds. It also highlights that there are risks around competition that investors should be considering.

    Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB)

    The Mesoblast share price is down 4.5% to $1.07. This is despite the release of a positive announcement this morning from the biotechnology company. Mesoblast revealed that it has now resubmitted its biologic license application (BLA) for the approval of Ryoncil in the treatment of children with steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease (SR-aGVHD). Management expects an answer from the United States Food & Drug Administration (FDA) in two to six months. But with its shares up almost 300% over the past six months, it seems that some investors aren’t sticking around to find out if it will finally be approved.

    Red Hill Minerals Ltd (ASX: RHI)

    The Red Hill Minerals share price is down 21% to $6.19. This has been driven by the iron ore, gold, and base metals explorer’s shares going ex-dividend this morning for a big payout. Last week, the company announced a $1.50 per share fully franked dividend. This was in response to the receipt of $200 million milestone payment from Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN) relating to the Onslow Iron Project. Eligible shareholders can now look forward to receiving this dividend next week on 19 July. Based on yesterday’s close price, this payout represents a sizeable 19.2% dividend yield.

    Resimac Group Ltd (ASX: RMC)

    The Resimac share price is down 4% to 83 cents. Investors have been selling this non-bank lender’s shares today after it announced the sudden exit of its CEO. According to the release, Scott McWilliam has resigned from his employment with Resimac after 21 years of service. This includes six years as its CEO and three years as its joint CEO following the merger with Homeloans Limited. Mr McWilliam will take a period of leave before his employment contract ends on 1 September 2024.

    The post Why Clinuvel, Mesoblast, Red Hill, and Resimac shares are sinking today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals right now?

    Before you buy Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Meet the motorcycle-riding, dog-loving ‘Bachelorette’ star Sam M., who just nabbed Jenn’s first impression rose

    "The Bachelorette" season 21 contestant Sam M.
    "The Bachelorette" season 21 contestant Sam M.

    • Season 21 of "The Bachelorette" starring Jenn Tran premiered Monday.
    • On night one, Jenn gave the first impression rose to Sam McKinney.
    • Sam is a general contractor from Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. 

    Warning: Spoilers ahead for the season 21 premiere of "The Bachelorette."

    Jenn Tran's season of "The Bachelorette" is just getting started, and she's already developing connections with the men vying for her heart.

    Sam McKinney, one of the 25 guys competing on season 21, quickly hit it off with Jenn after stepping out of the limo. At the end of the night, Jenn gave him the first impression rose.

    Here's everything to know about Sam M. and his growing connection with Jenn.

    Sam M. is a general contractor from Myrtle Beach, South Carolina

    Sam, 27, is one of five children. He attended Socastee High School, where he was on the football, baseball, and wrestling teams. After graduating, he attended Wofford College.

    According to his bio on ABC's website, outside his current work as a contractor, Sam enjoys "riding motorcycles, golfing, and watching 'Sons of Anarchy.'" Based on his Instagram profile, he seems to be a dog lover, too.

    Prior to "The Bachelorette," Sam was single for almost a year.

    During the season premiere, he explained that his fiancé, who he had known since middle school, cheated on him and there was "no repairing that relationship."

    "That was definitely the biggest heartbreak I've ever experienced," he said.

    Despite this, Sam is still determined to fulfill his dream of being a husband and father.

    Jenn gave Sam her first impression rose after feeling an 'undeniable connection'

    "The Bachelorette" star Jenn Tran and contestant Sam M. on the season 21 premiere.
    "The Bachelorette" star Jenn Tran and contestant Sam M. on the season 21 premiere.

    Sam doesn't have an over-the-top limo entrance, but Jenn is immediately taken by his looks and "Southern charm."

    During their one-on-one conversation, the first of the evening, Jenn and Sam bond over their similar approaches to dating; they both value being intentional and vulnerable in relationships.

    "Sam M. makes me feel excited," Jenn says. There's an undeniable connection and I don't know what it is. I'm looking at how hot he is and I definitely want to kiss him, but it just doesn't feel right in that moment."

    After chatting with the other men, Jenn decides to give her first impression rose to Sam, whom she says she couldn't stop thinking about all night. They share a passionate kiss, making Jenn even more confident in her choice to give him the rose.

    "I feel like I'm floating on cloud nine," she says. "This kiss is feral. The kiss was really, really good. I feel like I made the right decision in waiting because this was the kiss that had been building up all night. Definitely worth the wait."

    New episodes of season 21 of "The Bachelorette" premiere on Mondays on ABC and stream the next day on Hulu.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • 4 reasons to buy Woodside shares today

    An oil worker assesses productivity at an oil rig as ASX 200 energy shares continue to rise

    Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) shares are in the green today.

    Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) oil and gas stock closed yesterday trading for $28.74. In morning trade on Tuesday, shares are changing hands for $28.88 apiece, up 0.5%.

    For some context the ASX 200 is up 0.7% at this same time.

    That’s today’s price action for you.

    Now, here are four reasons BW Equities’ Tom Bleakley is optimistic on the outlook for Woodside shares (courtesy of The Bull).

    Why Woodside shares could run hot into 2025

    The first reason to buy Woodside shares is the strong outlook for global oil demand and prices.

    Bleakley, who has a ‘buy’ rating on the ASX 200 oil and gas company, noted that “This energy giant has been benefiting from increasing crude oil prices.”

    He added, “Electric vehicle sales growth has been slower than expected in the US.”

    Indeed, while EV adoption is still growing in the world’s biggest economy, the growth rate has slowed significantly. That portends a greater reliance, for longer, on petrol cars. A reliance that certainly remains the case across the fast-growing African continent.

    At the time of writing, Brent crude is trading for US$86 per barrel, up from $78 per barrel on 4 June. And with global crude demand forecast to increase to new record highs in 2025, 4 June could well mark the lows for the year ahead.

    Which brings us to the second reason to buy Woodside shares now, some extra passive income.

    “The company was recently trading on an appealing dividend yield above 7%,” Bleakley said.

    Over the past 12 months, Woodside has paid out a total of $2.16 per share in fully franked dividends. At the current share price, that equates to a fully franked trailing yield of 7.5%.

    Moving on to the third reason to buy the ASX 200 oil and gas company today, Bleakley noted that “Woodside recently announced it had achieved first oil from the Sangomar field in Senegal.”

    Woodside reported that first oil on 11 June.

    As we noted about the project growth potential on the day:

    The deepwater Sangomar Field Development Phase 1 project includes a stand-alone floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) facility. The nameplate capacity stands at 100,000 barrels per day. The project includes subsea infrastructure designed to allow further development phases.

    Rounding off the list, the fourth reason to buy Woodside stock today is that shares are in an uptrend yet remain well below their recent highs.

    “Woodside shares have risen from $26.97 on June 24 to trade at $29.22 on July 4. The shares are still trading well below $39 achieved in August 2023,” Bleakley said.

    Those August 2023 levels represent a potential upside of 35% from current prices.

    The post 4 reasons to buy Woodside shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Woodside Petroleum Ltd right now?

    Before you buy Woodside Petroleum Ltd shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Woodside Petroleum Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why is this ASX mining stock crashing 27% today?

    The market may be pushing higher on Tuesday but the same cannot be said for the Red Hill Minerals Ltd (ASX: RHI) share price.

    The ASX mining stock is the worst performer on the All Ordinaries index today by some distance.

    In fact, at one stage today the Red Hill Minerals share price was down as much as 27% to $5.68.

    It has recovered a touch since then but remains down 22% to $6.19 at the time of writing.

    Why is this ASX mining stock crashing?

    The good news for shareholders of Red Hill Minerals is that this decline isn’t anything to be worried about. Rather, it could be something to get very excited about.

    That’s because the ASX mining stock is crashing today after trading ex-dividend for an upcoming special dividend.

    When a share trades ex-dividend, it means the rights to an upcoming dividend are now settled and new buyers will not be entitled to receive the payout on pay day.

    A dividend forms part of a company’s valuation. And if you’re not going to receive it, then you don’t want to pay for it when buying shares. This means that a share price tends to drop to reflect this.

    But why such a big decline? Well, that’s simply because the company is paying out an extremely large dividend.

    Big dividend

    This West Pilbara-based iron ore, gold, and base metals explorer recently announced the sale of a 40% interest in the Onslow Iron Project via the Red Hill Iron Ore joint venture to Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN).

    And with the Onslow Iron Project recently reporting its first shipment of ore to China Baowu Steel Group, this triggered the second payment of $200 million to the ASX mining stock from Mineral Resources.

    Last week, the company revealed that it would be returning proceeds from the sale to shareholders. It said:

    The Board of Directors of Red Hill Minerals Limited is pleased to advise that it has resolved to pay a special dividend of $1.50 per ordinary share, fully franked at 25%. The dividend will be sourced from the second of two $200 million payments received from Mineral Resources Limited for the sale of the Company’s 40% interest in the Red Hill Iron Ore Joint Venture.

    Based on its share price at the close of play on Monday, this represents a sizeable 19.2% dividend yield.

    Eligible shareholders can now look forward to receiving this dividend next week on 19 July.

    The post Why is this ASX mining stock crashing 27% today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Red Hill Iron Limited right now?

    Before you buy Red Hill Iron Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Red Hill Iron Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • South32 shares whipsawed in FY24. Here’s the FY25 outlook

    two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.

    South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) shares had a cyclical year in FY24.

    The stock began the year trading at $3.76 apiece before consolidating to its yearly low of $2.89 by February.

    Then, as commodity prices began to lift again, so too did South32 shares, reclaiming all of the prior losses from earlier in the year.

    They now trade at $3.71 apiece just after market open on Tuesday, after finishing FY24 at $3.66.

    Given the volatility in commodities – which has seen significant price fluctuations impact the metals and mining sector in the past 12 months – here’s a look at what’s in store for South32 in FY25.

    South32 shares whipsaw in FY24

    Investors saw their South32 shares trade in a range of 87 cents across the last financial year.

    As February rolled around, investors started buying South32 en masse. This can largely be attributed to favourable market conditions for its primary commodities.

    For instance, in the past year, South32 has benefitted from increased demand for materials like aluminium and manganese, which are crucial for green technologies and electric vehicles.

    The aluminium price is up from US$2,170 per tonne in February to US$2,528 per tonne currently.

    This is the highest aluminium price range since 2018, except for 2021-2022, when prices briefly rocketed to US$3,838 per tonne as economies reopened from COVID-19.

    In its quarterly update from April, South32 reported reasonably strong output from its aluminium and manganese operations.

    Aluminium production was up 1% year over year, underscored by record production at its Hillside Aluminium project. Meanwhile, the company’s manganese production in South Africa achieved an 8% growth production, equating to a record production run for the quarter.

    These results, combined with stronger pricing for the underlying metals, saw South32 shares rally from April to their 6-month highs of $3.96 apiece on 4 June.

    What’s in store for South32 in FY25?

    Analysts have reacted positively to South32’s recent developments. UBS, for instance, upgraded the miner to a buy, adjusting its price target to $4.15, which represents a 12% upside potential from the current price.

    The upgrade comes as UBS forecasts a rise in South32’s earnings by 13% to 34% over the next three years, driven by higher expected prices for manganese and alumina.

    Goldman Sachs rates South32 shares a buy, projecting $4.00 per share for the miner in the coming 12 months. The company forecasts up to US$550 million in free cash flow from South32 in its full-year results.

    Macquarie is also on this list of brokers positive on the stock with its $4.25 per share valuation.

    According to CommSec, South32 shares are rated a buy from 9 of the 15 brokers covering the stock. The remainder say it’s a hold.

    Foolish takeaway

    South32 shares whipsawed in a wide range throughout FY24. This is typical for an ASX mining stock, given the sensitivity of sales and earnings to the prices of commodities it mines and produces.

    Brokers nonetheless remain bullish on the company for FY25. Time will tell if their estimates are right. As always, consider current market conditions and perform your own due diligence.

    The post South32 shares whipsawed in FY24. Here’s the FY25 outlook appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in South32 Limited right now?

    Before you buy South32 Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and South32 Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Is Nvidia stock a buy now?

    A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Rockstar artificial-intelligence (AI) stock Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) likely has many investors tied in knots right now. Those who have thus far avoided shares of the company, which makes computer chips critical in AI’s development, have missed out on 200% returns over the past year alone. Now, shares have fallen a bit from their highs, which may leave investors wondering if the run is over or if this is just a pause before the stock’s next leg higher.

    Unfortunately, nobody can tell you the answer. However, this Fool has done the due diligence to prepare you for what might happen. Is Nvidia a stock to buy now? Here is what you need to know.

    Nvidia stock remains cheap at first glance

    The investment thesis for Nvidia is straightforward. Technology companies building massive data centers to run powerful artificial intelligence (AI) models are choosing Nvidia’s chips — so much so that experts estimate Nvidia’s market share for AI chips is as high as 90%. Nvidia has won this war with a quality product and proprietary software that helps developers easily configure the chips for AI applications.

    The result has been eye-popping growth that has fueled the stock’s meteoric rise over the past few years:

    NVDA Revenue (TTM) Chart

    NVDA Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts

    Money could continue flowing into AI. Experts predict that America’s data center footprint could double by 2030. Lisa Su, CEO of rival company AMD, expects the AI chip market to grow to over $400 billion over the next few years. Better AI models may require increasingly better chips. CEO Jensen Huang has stated that Nvidia is aiming for annual AI chip releases.

    Analysts believe continued AI chip demand will drive Nvidia’s earnings growth by an average of 38% annually for the next three to five years. The stock’s forward P/E is 48 today. That’s a steep price tag, but it is one that Nvidia could easily grow into if it performed up to analysts’ expectations.

    There are potential risks in this promising tale

    It’s a hopeful story, but things could get ugly if it doesn’t go according to plan. Nvidia has grown remarkably fast; total revenue has more than doubled in short order. Maintaining that revenue (and growing it) requires that AI chip demand lives up to the hype and that Nvidia continues owning the lion’s share of that market.

    There are several realistic scenarios in which this might not happen. Nvidia gets a large chunk of its AI sales from a few large technology companies. What if those companies decide to design custom in-house chips instead? Or, what if these companies reach a point where they’re not getting a good enough return on investment on these chips? This isn’t for fun; AI must make these companies a ton of money to justify spending billions of dollars.

    None of these questions even factor in the reality that AMD, Intel, and others will all be gunning for Nvidia’s market share. Nvidia could retain its market share but face pricing pressure if competitors dramatically undercut its pricing with comparable chips.

    How should investors approach Nvidia stock?

    Everyone buying Nvidia stock now is banking on future growth, not what has already happened. Ultimately, the risk to investors is that Nvidia fails to deliver for whatever reason. And because of how giant Nvidia’s leap has been so far, going backward could be especially painful.

    That doesn’t mean investors should avoid the stock entirely. As shown above, the stock could still perform well if the company’s growth continues. The key is not chasing the stock, and keeping Nvidia to a small percentage of a diversified portfolio.

    Nvidia is the perfect opportunity for dollar-cost averaging, building an investment with small, repeated purchases. Slowly accumulating shares means you won’t be all-in to the stock too soon. You can steadily increase your investment as Nvidia shows it can maintain its growth. Let the company earn your investment dollars. It also would be less costly to pull your investment and move on if Nvidia gets in trouble.

    In this scenario, it’s heads-you-win, tails-you-win. That’s smart investing.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post Is Nvidia stock a buy now? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Nvidia right now?

    Before you buy Nvidia shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Nvidia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 24 June 2024

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    Justin Pope has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Advanced Micro Devices and Nvidia. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Intel and has recommended the following options: long January 2025 $45 calls on Intel and short August 2024 $35 calls on Intel. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Advanced Micro Devices and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • What’s going on with the Mesoblast share price today?

    The Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB) share price is having a disappointing session on Tuesday.

    In morning trade, the biotechnology company’s shares are down 4.5% to $1.07.

    As a comparison, the ASX 200 index is up 0.65% at the time of writing.

    What’s going on with the Mesoblast share price?

    Investors have been selling the allogeneic cellular medicines developer’s shares this morning despite the release of an announcement relating to its Ryoncil (remestemcel-L) product.

    According to the release, the company has resubmitted its biologic license application (BLA) for the approval of Ryoncil in the treatment of children with steroid-refractory acute graft-versus-host disease (SR-aGVHD).

    Management notes that the filing of this resubmission comes after Mesoblast was informed by the United States Food & Drug Administration (FDA) at the end of March that, following additional consideration, the available clinical data from the Phase 3 study MSB-GVHD001 appears sufficient to support submission of the proposed BLA for remestemcel-L for treatment of paediatric patients with SRaGVHD.

    It also highlights that the new filing addresses remaining CMC (Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Control) items.

    Commenting on the resubmission, Mesoblast’s CEO, Dr. Silviu Itescu, said:

    We have worked closely with the agency and thank them for their ongoing guidance, facilitating the potential approval of RYONCIL and addressing the urgent need for a therapy that improves the dismal survival outcome in children with SR-aGVHD.

    What now?

    The US FDA previously granted remestemcel-L Fast Track designation. This is a process to facilitate the development and expedited review of therapies for serious conditions that fill unmet medical needs.

    In addition, it has been granted Priority Review designation, which is given to drugs that treat a serious condition and provide a significant improvement in safety or effectiveness over existing treatments.

    As a result, the BLA resubmission is expected to have a review period of between two and six months from receipt once accepted.

    Why are its shares falling?

    Today’s weakness in the Mesoblast share price could be a case of buy the rumour and sell the news.

    In addition, there could be some profit taking going on from some investors that aren’t keen to stick around for up to six months to get a response from the US FDA.

    After all, over the past six months the Mesoblast share price has risen an enormous 285%. This means that investors buying in January would have almost quadrupled their money.

    Here’s hoping for good news in the coming months for its remaining shareholders.

    The post What’s going on with the Mesoblast share price today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Mesoblast Limited right now?

    Before you buy Mesoblast Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Mesoblast Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Telstra share price lifts off alongside its mobile pricing plans

    A female executive smiles as she carries out business on her mobile phone.

    The Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price is marching higher today.

    Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) telco closed flat yesterday at $3.65. In morning trade on Wednesday, shares are swapping hands for $3.72 apiece, up 1.8%.

    For some context, the ASX 200 is up 0.6% at this same time.

    This comes as the company announces a boost to its mobile pricing plans.

    Telstra share price gains on mobile pricing increase

    ASX 200 investors are bidding up the Telstra share price after the telco said it will be amending the prices of its postpaid mobile plans commencing on 27 August and its pre-paid mobile plans as of 22 October.

    Most customers can expect to see their Telstra mobile plans go up between $2 and $4 a month.

    The company said the price increases reflect an approach that attempts to balance customer cost of living pressures with its own need to invest in evolving technologies and support continued strong customer demand on its mobile network.

    Telstra noted that over the past five years, network traffic on its mobile network has increased by around 3.5 times and continues to grow by 20% a year. To help manage this demand growth, the company invested $1.3 billion in mobile spectrum in FY 2024 to support more data and faster speeds.

    As the company announced on 21 May, its mobile plan will no longer be linked to an inflation-linked annual review.

    Why the move away from CPI-linked price increases?

    The market had mixed reactions to the telco’s move away from inflation-linked mobile pricing reviews.

    In fact, the Telstra share price closed down 2.7% on the day of the announcement. Although that announcement also involved the reduction of its workforce by some 2,800 employees as part of its cost-cutting program.

    Commenting on the move away from CPI-linked pricing on the day, CEO Vicki Brady said, “This approach reflects there are a range of factors that go into any pricing decision and will provide greater flexibility to adjust prices at different times and across different plans based on their value propositions and customer needs.”

    Brady added:

    We will continue to review our pricing and any changes will be communicated to customers in a timely and transparent way.

    Our mobiles business continues to perform strongly, with growth in subscriber numbers for the first four months of this half consistent with the first half of FY24. This success has underpinned our EBITDA growth in FY24 … and reflects the high demand for our products and the value customers place on our differentiated network, its reliability and our flexible plans.

    With today’s intraday moves factored in, the Telstra share price is down 6% in 2024.

    The post Telstra share price lifts off alongside its mobile pricing plans appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Telstra Corporation Limited right now?

    Before you buy Telstra Corporation Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Telstra Corporation Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of 24 June 2024

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.