• This Oil Crisis Will Completely Transform The Industry

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  • Reliance Overtakes Exxon to Become World’s No. 2 Energy Company

    Reliance Overtakes Exxon to Become World’s No. 2 Energy Company(Bloomberg) — Reliance Industries Ltd., controlled by Asia’s richest man, toppled ExxonMobil Corp. to become the world’s largest energy company after Saudi Aramco, as investors piled into the conglomerate lured by the Indian firm’s digital and retail forays.Reliance, which manages the biggest refinery complex, gained 4.3% in Mumbai on Friday adding $8 billion to take its market value to $189 billion, while Exxon Mobil erased about $1 billion. Reliance’s shares have jumped 43% this year compared with a 39% drop in Exxon’s shares as refiners across the globe struggled with a plunge in fuel demand. Aramco with a market capitalization of $1.76 trillion is the world’s biggest energy company.While the energy business accounted for about 80% of Reliance’s revenue in the year ended March 31, Chairman Mukesh Ambani’s plan to expand the company’s digital and retail arms has helped him attract $20 billion into the Jio Platforms Ltd. unit. That in turn helped add $22.3 billion to Ambani’s wealth this year, propelling him to the fifth spot in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Ambani’s dealmaking has lured investments from Google to Facebook Inc. into his digital platform in recent months. The 63-year-old tycoon has identified technology and retail as future growth areas in a pivot away from the energy businesses he inherited from his father who died in 2002.Meanwhile, large scale global oil demand destruction — some 30 million barrels a day, or a third of regular usage, in April — sent energy markets into a second-quarter tailspin, from which they’ve only recently started to recover. Worst-in-a-generation oil prices combined with OPEC production cuts, collapsing refining margins and millions of barrels of unsold crude have hurt big oil companies including Exxon and Chevron Corp.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • 3 ASX dividend shares I like ahead of the August earnings season

    blockletters spelling dividends

    Good value ASX dividend shares are hard to find. With the August earnings season nearly upon us, let’s take a look at which ASX shares are worth considering right now.

    3 ASX dividend shares I like in July

    Right at the top of the list is Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA).

    CommBank has long been a blue-chip ASX dividend share, churning out multi-billion-dollar profits and paying consistent dividends to shareholders.

    All of that has changed thanks to the coronavirus pandemic in 2020.

    The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) wanted banks to reduce their dividend payments amid fears over liquidity and capital adequacy.

    With APRA announcing a review of that advice, and the economy delicately poised for recovery, Commonwealth Bank could maintain its strong ASX dividend status.

    If bad debts remain low and the bank can protect its net interest margin, we could see a small CommBank dividend announced in August.

    Other than the ASX banks, I like the look of JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) right now. The JB Hi-Fi share price is up 16.5% this year despite challenging conditions for Aussie retailers.

    Much of JB Hi-Fi’s share price growth has been due to strong sales in March and April.

    With plenty of cash, and arguably limited internal reinvestment, JB Hi-Fi could be a strong ASX dividend share this year.

    JB Hi-Fi shares are currently yielding 3.4% but I’d be keeping an eye on its 17 August results.

    My final ASX dividend share to watch is Transurban Group (ASX: TCL). In my books, Transurban is more of a medium to long-term prospect.

    Traffic numbers on its toll roads have been hit hard by coronavirus restrictions. However, that is starting to pick up again which could be good news for the Aussie infrastructure group.

    Whilst we’ve seen a shift towards working from home, we’re also seeing a move away from public transport. This means FY2021 and FY2022 could be good ones for Transurban.

    I’d tip Transurban’s distributions to dip lower this year. However, if you’re a buy and hold investor, I still think its a good long-term ASX dividend share.

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    Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Transurban Group. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • These are the 10 most shorted shares on the ASX

    Broker holding red flag in front of bear

    Every Monday I like to look at ASIC’s short position report to find out which shares are being targeted by short sellers.

    This is because I believe it is well worth keeping a close eye on short interest levels as high levels can sometimes be a sign that something isn’t quite right with a company.

    With that in mind, here are the 10 most shorted shares on the ASX this week according to ASIC:

    • Myer Holdings Ltd (ASX: MYR) continues to be the most shorted share on the Australian share market despite its short interest easing slightly to 12.1%. Short sellers appear to believe the department store operator will struggle because of the accelerating shift to online shopping.
    • Speedcast International Ltd (ASX: SDA) has short interest of 11.7% once again. Short sellers have done very well with this one. The communications satellite technology provider’s shares have been suspended for a few months as it finalises its bankruptcy.
    • Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) has seen its short interest fall week on week to 9.8%. Webjet shares have been among the worst performers on the ASX 200 in 2020 because of the pandemic. Some short sellers don’t appear to believe the worst is over for the company and its shares.
    • Inghams Group Ltd (ASX: ING) has 9.5% of its shares held short, which is down slightly week on week. Last week the poultry company’s shares came under pressure after one of its processing plants in Victoria was closed after five employees tested positive for coronavirus. Outside this, there are concerns that its performance in FY 2020 could be impacted by an unfavourable sales mix.
    • Nearmap Ltd (ASX: NEA) has seen its short interest rise slightly to 8.3%. Nearmap has come onto the radar of short sellers this year after large churn events led to a guidance downgrade. They may be expecting more churn events because of the pandemic.
    • Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) has entered the top ten with 8.1% of its shares held short. Short sellers may be targeting the buy now pay later (BNPL) provider because of its lofty valuation and a recent rise in bad debts.
    • Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals Limited (ASX: CUV) has seen its short interest remain flat at 8%. I suspect that the valuation of this biopharmaceutical company’s shares is the reason for high short interest.
    • FlexiGroup Limited (ASX: FXL) has seen its short interest rise to 7.9%. The financial services company has been reporting strong BNPL growth, but there remain questions over the rest of its business.
    • Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX: BOQ) has seen its short interest fall to 7.9%. Last week the regional bank lifted its coronavirus provisions and warned that there could be more to come.
    • Orocobre Limited (ASX: ORE) has seen its short interest rise again week on week to 7.6%. Short sellers have been going after Orocobre due to ultra-low lithium prices.

    Finally, instead of those most shorted shares, I would be buying the exciting shares recommended below…

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    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

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    James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Nearmap Ltd. and ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended FlexiGroup Limited and Nearmap Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • These were the ASX 200’s biggest share gainers last week

    group of hands all giving thumbs up gesture

    The Australian share market hit a four month high on Tuesday but slid lower towards the end of the week, with the S&P/ASX 200 (ASX:XJO) ending the week down 0.2%. The market was buoyed early in the week on news around a potential COVID-19 vaccine, but economic data put a dampener on exuberance later in the week. The government announced the extension of its stimulus payments which gave the market continued support, but ongoing increases in COVID-19 cases in Victoria is giving rise to caution. 

    The information technology sector finished the week marginally higher with the S&P/ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) up just under 2%. The energy sector also performed well, however industrials and healthcare were down. A number of blue chip shares dropped last week, including CSL Limited (ASX: CSL), which fell 2.3%. But Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) was up 3.6% and Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) was up 5.6%. So now let’s take a look at last week’s biggest ASX 200 share price gainers. 

    Resolute Mining Limited (ASX: RSG)

    The Resolute Mining share price gained 17.2% last week to finish the week at $1.36. The gold miner released its June quarterly report and the gold price was also on the rise, closing the week at $2680 per ounce. Resolute poured 107,183 ounces of gold in the June quarter at an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of US$1,033 per ounce. 

    The miner sold 110,660 ounces of gold during the quarter at an average price of US$1,446 per ounce. Resolute Mining had US$88 million cash and bullion at 30 June 2020 and net debt of US$220 million. The company has provided FY20 guidance of 430,000 ounces of gold at an AISC of US$980 per ounce. 

    AP Eagers Ltd (ASX: APE)

    The AP Eagers share price rose 16.8% last week to close the week at $7.23. AP Eagers is Australia’s oldest listed automotive group. The company represents a diversified portfolio of brands including 19 of the top 20 selling car brands in Australia and 9 of the top 10 selling luxury car brands. The company operates dealerships, many of which are on land it owns, with the balance leased. 

    AP Eagers own $332 million of prime real estate in high profile, main road locations across Brisbane, Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, and Perth. It sold off an ancillary refrigeration business in June for $75 million, allowing it to focus on its core automotive retailing business. The company has engaged with its landlords in an effort to share the economic burden of Covid-19 and taken action to reduce its cost base. There was no news out of the automotive group last week to prompt the price rise, however the extension in the government’s stimulus program and resulting uplift to the economic outlook no doubt contributed. 

    Orocobre Limited (ASX: ORE) 

    The Orocobre share price lifted 13.2% last week to finish the week at $3.17.  Lithium prices are at record lows this year but are expected to rally in coming years as demand for electric vehicles increases. Orocobre shares have been rallying since the start of the month, having been slow to recover from the March market correction. Orocobre shares actually hit their low for the year of $1.84 in May, but have since recovered 72%.

    Sales in the June quarter were impacted by coronavirus restrictions which hindered the ability of the company to complete sales. Total sales volume for the June quarter was approximately 1,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate at US$4,015 per tonne FOB. While most logistical issues have now been addressed, demand has yet to return to normal as customers delay shipments due to lower production and excess inventory. 

    Electric vehicle manufacturers are taking a cautious approach to production given the uncertain economic impacts of COVID-19. Nonetheless, the pandemic has accelerated investment in some jurisdictions which will have medium to long-term benefits with many European countries implementing programs to support the manufacture and use of electric vehicles. 

    Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX: SLR) 

    The Silver Lake Resources share price gained 11.6% last week to close the week at $2.59. Another beneficiary of the rising gold price, Silver Lake Resources also revealed record quarterly gold production last week. During the June quarter, Silver Lake Resources produced 71,291 ounces of gold and 494 tonnes of copper. It sold 64,593 ounces of gold and 416 tonnes of copper. 

    Annual group sales were a record 255,533 ounces of gold and 2,175 tonnes of copper, exceeding upgraded sales guidance. The miner reported it held cash and bullion of $269 million at the end of the quarter, an increase of $42 million or 19%, plus no debt. Silver Lake Resources has provided sales guidance for FY21 of 240,000 to 250,000 ounces of gold and 1,100 tonnes of copper. 

    QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE)

    The QBE share price rose 11% last week to close the week at $10.40. The share price rose throughout the week after QBE released a better than expected update on the impact of COVID-19 and its 1H20 result. Covid-19 is expected to have a $335 million underwriting impact over the half. This includes ~$150 million of net incurred claims, ~$115 million of additional risk margin, and ~$50 million of premium concessions. 

    While the landscape remains uncertain, QBE expects total Covid-19 related costs to be around $600 million pre-tax. QBE expects to report a 1H20 net statutory loss after tax of $750 million, reflecting the impact of Covid-19, bushfires, and investment market volatility. CEO Pat Regan said, “despite the impact of Covid-19, I am encouraged by the strong underlying trends evident in the result. Our greatly strengthened capital base positions us well to capitalise on accelerating pricing momentum and emerging organic growth opportunities.”

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    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

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    Motley Fool contributor Kate O’Brien has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • U.S. Says Years of Chinese Spying Led to Consulate Closing

    U.S. Says Years of Chinese Spying Led to Consulate ClosingJul.26 — The Trump administration’s decision to shutter the Chinese consulate in Houston followed years of frustration about what it says were criminal and covert activity directed by Beijing to steal trade secrets and carry out malign influence operations across the U.S. Tom Mackenzie reports on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Australia.”

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  • Perpetual announces $465 million Barrow Hanley acquisition

    M&A Letters

    The Perpetual Limited (ASX: PPT) share price won’t be going anywhere today after the fund manager requested a trading halt.

    Why is the Perpetual share price in a trading halt?

    Perpetual requested a trading halt this morning while it undertakes an equity raising to fund a major acquisition.

    According to the release, Perpetual has entered into an agreement with BrightSphere Investment Group to acquire its 75% interest in Barrow Hanley for US$319 million (A$465 million).

    Barrow Hanley is a diversified investment manager based in Dallas, Texas with funds under management (FUM) of approximately US$44.1 billion (A$63.9 billion) across 21 key strategies.

    Its team invests with a value orientation across US equities, global equities, global emerging markets equities, and fixed income strategies.

    Management notes that the acquisition is consistent with its strategy to build world-class investment and distribution capability and brings together two complementary investment management brands.

    It is expected to more than triple Perpetual’s FUM from A$28.4 billion to A$92.3 billion and add 21 key new strategies across asset classes, strategies, and geographies.

    On a pro forma basis, post the acquisitions of Barrow Hanley and Trillium (which completed on 30 June), Perpetual’s FUM will be comprised of 14% Australian equities, 48% US equities, 11% global equities, and 27% cash & fixed income.

    Perpetual Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Rob Adams, commented: “This is a compelling acquisition. It provides Perpetual with world-class investment teams, diversifies our client base by sector and geography, and presents us with significant growth opportunities in the Australian market and a formidable platform to scale our business internationally.”

    How is Perpetual funding the deal?

    To fund the acquisition, Perpetual is launching a fully underwritten institutional placement of A$225 million at a fixed price of A$30.30 per share. This represents a 9.8% discount to its last close price.

    It is also aiming to raise a further $40 million via an underwritten share purchase plan and has agreed a new debt facility of A$284 million (US$195 million) to cover the balance.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Gold Futures Touch Record as Haven Demand Builds, Contract Rolls

    Gold Futures Touch Record as Haven Demand Builds, Contract Rolls(Bloomberg) — Gold futures traded at a record high as the dollar plunged and concerns about the global economy boosted demand for havens, while a contract roll provided a further boost to the metal’s rally.Bullion’s move came as a gauge of the dollar fell to the lowest in more than six months amid negative real rates in the U.S. and bets that the Federal Reserve will keep policy accommodative when it meets this week. Inflows into gold-backed exchange traded funds this year have surpassed a record set in 2009, with total holdings at an all-time high of more than 3,300 tons.The contract roll is another fillip to prices. December overtook August as the contract with the highest open interest on Thursday, though final data wasn’t released until the Friday trading session was already underway in Asia. The December contract touched $1,927.10 an ounce Thursday, above the record for the most-active contract of $1,923.70 reached in 2011, and traded at $1,935.10 by 6:25 a.m. in Singapore on Monday.Investors have poured into gold as the coronavirus pandemic’s hit to global growth underpinned its status as a safe haven. But the metal’s getting support from a long list of factors: geopolitical tensions are rising, real rates have tumbled, the dollar is weaker, and government and central banks worldwide have unleashed vast stimulus measures to try and boost economies.The Message Behind Gold’s Rally: The World Economy Is in TroubleThe environment has even raised the specter of stagflation, a rare combination of sluggish growth and rising inflation that erodes the value of fixed-income investments. In the U.S., investor expectations for annual inflation over the next decade, as measured by a bond-market metric known as breakevens, have moved higher the past four months after plunging in March.U.S. bond markets have been a key metric to watch and a driving force behind the rush to gold, which is serving as an attractive hedge as yields on Treasuries that strip out the effects of inflation fall below zero. Traders are again eying record low yields, with dimming hopes for a sharp U.S. growth recovery fueling expectations that the Fed is about to signal more accommodation ahead.Investors are set to get a steer from the Fed this week, with officials meeting July 28-29. Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues are expected to keep interest rates near zero and repeat their guidance they’ll stay that way until the economy has shrugged off the coronavirus and is back on track.While December gold futures are at a record, August, which has the bigger volume, traded at $1,907.10. Spot gold was at $1,907.90.Still, most analysts are bullish on the metal’s outlook. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said the metal could reach $2,000 in the next 12 months, and Citigroup Inc. puts a 30% probability on prices topping that level by the end of this year.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • Why the gold price just stormed to a record high

    Hand holding gold nugget

    Australia’s leading gold miners such as Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) will be on watch on Monday after the gold price raced to a record high on Friday evening.

    According to CNBC, the precious metal’s August futures contract rose 0.4% to settle at US$1,897.50 per ounce. This was the sixth day in a row of gains and means the gold price has now also recorded a seven-week winning streak.

    Since then, according to Bloomberg, the gold price has continued to rise and is now trading comfortably above US$1,900 an ounce at a lofty US$1,929.70.

    Why is the gold price at a record high?

    Traders have been buying gold this year due to the coronavirus pandemic, interest rate cuts, and, most recently, increasing tensions between the United States and China.

    It was the latter that sent the gold price beyond the US$1,900 an ounce mark, much to the delight of shareholders of Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN), Resolute Mining Limited (ASX: RSG), and Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (ASX: SAR).

    Their shares could be on the rise today after the elevated gold price boosted profit margins even further.

    Why are tensions rising between the United States and China?

    CNBC reports that tensions between the two superpowers rose last week after China ordered the U.S. to close its Chengdu-based consulate. This was in response to the U.S. closing the Houston-based Chinese consulate earlier in the week.

    UBS analyst Mark Haefele, commented: “US-China tensions continue to escalate, which prompted a risk-off move in markets on Thursday and Friday.”

    But he doesn’t expect it to stop there and has suggested that the political uncertainty could take the gold price beyond US$2,000 an ounce this year.

    This is likely to be supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, which fell 1% last week and has now recorded declines for five straight weeks.

    “While we think gold will continue to be supported by rising geopolitical tensions, in our view the primary drivers of the gold price are its negative correlation to real interest rates and the dollar,” Haefele added.

    Is it too late to buy gold miners?

    I wouldn’t necessarily go piling into all of the gold miners as I feel a lot of the gold price strength is already priced in, however I still see value in some gold miners.

    The one I would buy is Newcrest. I think it is the best in the industry and could still go higher from here.

    UBS certainly believes this is the case. Last week it slapped a buy rating and $38.40 price target on its shares.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Stock market news live updates: Stock futures little changed with earnings, stimulus talks ahead

    Stock market news live updates: Stock futures little changed with earnings, stimulus talks aheadStock futures were in a holding pattern Sunday evening ahead of a busy week of corporate earnings results, a Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting and plethora of economic data reports.

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