• Cardinal Resources share price rockets 27% on $300 million takeover bid

    takeover offer

    The Cardinal Resources Ltd (ASX: CDV) share price is flying higher today following news that a subsidiary of China’s largest gold producer is making a play for the ASX miner.

    Cardinal Resources is a gold-focused exploration and development company that holds interests in tenements within Ghana, West Africa.

    What’s the deal?

    This morning, Cardinal announced a takeover bid from Shandong Gold at an offer price of 60 cents per share, valuing the company at around $300 million. This represents a 29% premium to Cardinal’s last closing price of 46.5 cents, and a 31.1% premium to a takeover proposal from Nord Gold SE announced in March.

    The offer from Shandong Gold is subject to certain conditions, including 50.1% minimum acceptance by Cardinal shareholders and regulatory approval. On the regulatory front, Shandong Gold will need to obtain approval from the Foreign Investment Review Board, along with various regulatory bodies from the People’s Republic of China.

    Cardinal’s board are in favour of Shandong Gold’s offer, recommending that all Cardinal shareholders accept the offer in the absence of a superior proposal.

    “The Board of Directors of Cardinal has negotiated what we consider a strong offer for our shareholders and one which delivers a significant premium to Cardinal’s market price, at a time of considerable volatility and uncertainty in global markets,” said chief executive Archie Koimtsidis.

    Interim financing

    In conjunction with the transaction, Shandong Gold has also agreed to provide Cardinal with interim funding of $11.96 million by way of a placement. In the absence of a competing proposal, the placement will be completed at an issue price of 46 cents per share and is not subject to shareholder approval.

    The funds will be used to ensure Cardinal continues advancing the Namdini Project towards development. Namdini is a gold project located in Ghana which has a published ore reserve of 5.1 million ounces.

    At the time of writing, the Cardinal Resources share price has soared 27.31% to 59.2 cents after rallying as much as 31% in early trade.

    5 ASX stocks under $5

    One trick to potentially generating life-changing wealth from the stock market is to buy early-stage growth companies when their share prices still look dirt cheap.

    Motley Fool’s resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has identified 5 stocks he thinks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 3 ASX shares I think are super cheap right now

    red sale tag, cheap asx 200 shares, discount shares, cheap stocks

    Cheap ASX shares anyone?

    With the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) on track for another day of gains today, it’s certainly feeling like a good time to own ASX shares. Although we’re still not at the levels the ASX 200 touched last week (over 6,100 points), the momentum seems to have been regained by the bulls out there.

    While this is all well and good for those of us who already own substantial positions, it’s not so rosy for anyone who is looking to add to their investments right now.  It can be very painful looking back on the prices we saw in March and April compared with those on offer today!

    But there’s no point crying over spilt milk, as they say. So here are 3 cheap ASX shares that I think are still offering compelling value today.

    A cheap ASX retailer

    The Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) share price is up more than 3% today after some positive sentiment from a brokering firm earlier this week. Even so, this ASX retailing giant remains substantially below the highs of over $21 we saw in February. Premier Investments is one of my favourite Aussie retailers. It owns the Smiggle, Peter Alexander, Just Jeans, and Jay-Jays chains, all stores with unique and compelling product lines. This company has no doubt been hurt by the coronavirus pandemic and the associated lockdowns and might be hurting for some time yet. But I still think Premier’s future is bright and I believe its current share price is pretty fairly valued.

    An REIT income opportunity

    Scentre Group (ASX: SCG) is another ASX share I think is offering a nice buy price today. Make no mistake, this real estate investment trust (REIT) has been hit hard by the pandemic. Scentre owns the Westfield shopping centre brand across Australia and New Zealand. March and April were dire months for this REIT as shops closed and customers deserted shopping centres. However, there are strong signs of life right now as restrictions are lifting and customers are returning to the shops. For a long-term income opportunity, I think Scentre shares are a great option to examine today.

    An ASX ETF with global exposure

    The Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF (ASX: VGS) is my final cheap ASX share to consider today. This exchange-traded fund (ETF) tracks the largest companies across the advanced economies of the world. Its largest weightings are in United States shares like Apple and Microsoft, but it also has significant exposure to European, United Kingdom, Canadian, and Japanese companies as well. Back in February, units of this ETF would have set you back around $89, but today, they are going for $78.28 (at the time of writing). I believe this ETF is a no-brainer for a long-term, diversified and passive investment. As such, I think today’s price presents a great opportunity to stock up.

    For some more cheap shares you won’t want to miss today, make sure to keep reading!

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Scentre Group and Vanguard MSCI Index International Shares ETF. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Grow your wealth with these 3 ASX fintech shares

    Closeup of a keyboard with a shopping trolley icon and a credit card

    The ASX Fintech shares have been in the spotlight lately due to the recent growth the industry has experienced. This growth has, therefore, resulted in share prices rising.

    ‘Fintech’ is short for financial technology and is thought by many to be the future of finance. This comes as people’s lives are becoming increasingly more digital. But one thing is for sure, and that is fintech shares have made a lot of people huge returns, especially in recent months. People have largely moved towards online alternatives as a result of the coronavirus.

    When analysing fintech companies, we can usually base our findings on customer numbers and revenue. If the company has a substantial number of both, it can become of value to a major company as a takeover target or, it can convert these figures into profits and later pay dividends.

    While fintech solutions have become popular with consumers, it’s possible they are still in their early stages and have a lot of market penetration left to cover. Although the companies below have reached a substantial number of customers, their volumes are small when considering the number of consumers within their operating markets. This leaves room for huge growth.

    The below ASX fintech shares have been stellar performers and show strong potential for further growth:

    Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) 

    Afterpay is likely Australia’s most famous and successful fintech solutions provider. The ASX fintech provides a platform that allows online shoppers to ‘buy now’ and ‘pay later’. Since June last year, the Afterpay share price has returned 182%. This is the kind of annual return that even Warren Buffet would rarely get from a single investment.

    Afterpay’s success has come following its growth in Australia and especially in the US. In May, Afterpay was used by more than 8.4 million active customers internationally with 5 million active customers in the giant US market. The company is now offered by more than 15,000 brands and retailers. In Q3 FY20, Afterpay processed $2.4 billion in transactions, a massive 354% increase from Q3 Fy19.

    Additionally, the Afterpay share price has been boosted by buying from China’s Tencent Holdings Ltd. In April, Tencent bought shares on market and built a 5% holding in Afterpay.

    Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P)

    Zip Co listed on the ASX in 2015 and has seen considerable success since that time. Since its IPO price of $0.20 cents, Zip Co’s share price has increased by 3075%. This means that every dollar invested in Zip Co 5 years ago is worth over $30 today.

    Zip Co is accepted by more than 18,000 retailers in Australia and offers 2 products; Zip Pay and Zip Money. Both of these products allow purchasers to buy now and pay later online and in-store with participating retailers. 

    In May, Zip Co’s monthly revenue was $15.6 million. This was a huge 78% increase year on year from May 2019. Zip Co has 2.1 million customers in Australia and New Zealand and it processed $189.3 million in transactions in May. Further, customers repayment rates were higher or on par with pre coronavirus levels.   

    Zip Co recently entered the US through its acquisition of QuadPay. The company estimates the US retail market to be worth over US$5 trillion per year. At the end of March, QuadPay had more than 1.5 million customers and there were 3,500 merchants accepting payment through its platform. Given that rival Afterpay has seen such significant success in the US, there appears to be huge potential for Zip Co to grow in the US market. 

    Sezzle Inc (ASX: SZL)

    Sezzle is another buy now pay later platform for online shoppers. It is headquartered in the US and has exposure to the giant US retail market. Since April, the Sezzle share price has increased by 859%. This is a huge return over a 3 month period and reflects the recent success of the group as more people have moved towards online shopping. 

    Sezzle has 1.3 million customers and its platform is offered by almost 15,000 merchants. Sezzle is developing innovative products, including online payment cards to attract lucrative Gen Z and millennial generations. It estimates that the Gen Z US consumer population will reach 84 million in 2020 and that the US millennial consumer population will reach 69 million in 2020. Additionally, it estimates that a huge 25% of spending power will belong to Gen Z this year. Further, Sezzle has estimated that 67% of Millenials have a sub or non-prime credit score. This may make Sezzle a great choice for them and provide a sustainable alternative to credit cards.

    According to Sezzle, 53.7% of its consumers are millenials. 

    This ASX fintech share has experienced triple-digit revenue growth year on year since 2018 and, as reported, continued this trend in the first quarter of 2020. In April, Sezzle achieved underlying merchant sales of US$119.4 million, a record for the company.

    Interested to learn about shares that could take off like these ones have? Click the link below.

    3 “Double Down” Stocks To Ride The Bull Market

    Motley Fool resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has stumbled upon three under-the-radar stock picks he believes could be some of the greatest discoveries of his investing career.

    He’s so confident in their future prospects that he has issued “double down” buy alerts on each of these three stocks to members of his Motley Fool Extreme Opportunities stock picking service.

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Chris Chitty has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Sezzle Inc. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Splitit’s share price surges higher. Up 135% in two days

    hand holding mobile phone about to make credit card payment

    The share price of buy now, pay later (BNPL) provider Splitit Ltd (ASX: SPT) is up by a massive 27% so far in trading today. This follows on from a whopping 108.3% share price rise yesterday.

    The BNPL market has really being heating up over the past year, with rivals Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) and Openpay Group Ltd (ASX: OPY) all vying for a piece of this rapidly expanding market.

    New deal with Mastercard

    So, what has been behind this rapid increase in the Splitit share price over the past two days? It all appears linked to the company’s deal with Mastercard announced yesterday.

    The new agreement will enable Splitit to work in partnership with Mastercard by integrating its instalment solution with Mastercard’s own technology platform. The deal is likely to further assist Splitit in its quest to globally rollout its offering.

    The new solution with Mastercard will provide connected merchants the ability to deliver customers a seamless and secure customer checkout experience, whether in store or via online channels.

    So how does the Splitit instalment solution work?

    Splitit is cleverly carving out a very interesting niche in the BNPL market. Splitit does not extend credit to customers like its main and much larger rival Afterpay. Instead, Splitit’s payment solution enables customers to pay with their existing debit or credit card. It does this by splitting the cost into monthly payments. Also, since the purchase is made with an existing card, approval of the transaction is immediate.

    Previous deal with Visa

    The deal announced with Mastercard yesterday, follows on from another agreement announced with Mastercard‘s rival Visa, back in March.

    Through this deal, Splitit is able to leverage the Visa Developer Platform to further expand into the instalment payments market. Splitit now offers Visa Instalment Solutions to its merchant network.

    A rocky ride for the Splitit share price

    The Splitit share price has been quite volatile over the past 12 months. Although it has shot up significantly over the last two trading days, prior to this it was failing to even reach its early 2019 levels. The Splitit share price grew very strongly in early 2019, shooting over $1.50 at that time, but since lost ground up until two days ago. It fell as low as 24 cents per share in March this year.

    At the time of writing, the Splitit share price is trading at $1.75. Time will tell whether or not it can maintain share price momentum this time around.

    If you’ve missed the boat on Splitit, check out the following report.

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Phil Harpur owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX stock of the day: Nick Scali share price leaps 21% on sales numbers

    shares high

    The Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) share price leapt 21% this morning following stronger than expected sales. Despite the closure of stores during lockdown, sales orders have grown 7% over the second half to date and 20.4% over the quarter to date.

    As a result of continued strong sales despite the coronavirus pandemic, the Nick Scali share price has more than doubled from its March low of $3.08 and is now trading at $7. 

    What does Nick Scali do? 

    Nick Scali is a furniture retailer which has been trading in Australia for over 50 years. Expanding into New Zealand in 2017, Nick Scali imports over 5,000 containers of furniture per year. Prior to the pandemic, the company sold predominantly through physical stores, but has launched an enhanced digital offering as a result of the lockdown. 

    What did Nick Scali report?

    Nick Scali forecast strong profit growth in the second half, with net profit after tax (NPAT) expected to be up 15% to 20% on 2H FY19. Full year revenue is expected to be in the range of $260 million to $263 million. The retailer is expecting full year underlying NPAT of $39 million to $40 million. 

    The retailer closed showrooms on 30 March 2020, and began reopening in April, with all stores open by the end of the month. Since reopening, all showrooms have traded strongly with positive sales order growth. Nick Scali responded to store closures by improving its digital offering, allowing customers to purchase its entire range of products online. 

    What is the outlook for Nick Scali?

    Nick Scali experienced a significant decline in sales orders during the period of store closures. This means that around $9 million to $11 million of sales were unable to be recorded in the current half of the financial year. Nonetheless, profits are set to increase in 2H FY20 compared to 2H FY19. This is thanks to a range of cost reduction initiatives across marketing, employment, and property, alongside government assistance. 

    The company saw a significant rebound in customer activity in May and the first half of June. Sales orders over May and June are expected to be up 54% on the prior corresponding period. This surge has been driven by the easing of government restrictions and a reallocation of consumer spending toward furnishings and homewares. 

    Nick Scali has benefitted from people spending more time at home. As a result, many consumers are choosing to upgrade their domestic environments with new furniture and accessories. Given the current increase in sales orders, Nick Scali expects sales growth of 30% in Q1 FY21, which will underwrite profit growth for 1H FY21. 

    3 “Double Down” stocks to ride the bull market higher

    Motley Fool resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has identified three stocks he thinks can ride the bull market even higher, potentially supercharging your wealth in 2020 and beyond.

    Doc Mahanti likes them so much he has issued “double down” buy alerts on all three stocks to members of his Motley Fool Extreme Opportunities stock picking service.

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor Kate O’Brien has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Brokers just upgraded these ASX 200 stocks to “buy” today

    Hand writing Time to Buy concept clock with blue marker on transparent wipe board.

    Brokers are still finding stocks to upgrade on the ASX even as the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO) reattempts to break above 6,000.

    That level is a psychologically important mark for the ASX, and if successful, will be a bullish development for our market.

    The ASX 200 jumped 1% in morning trade to 5,998 points as investors brushed aside their COVID-19 fears and focused on the big jump in retail sales for May.

    Shopping for a good buy

    This positive sentiment partially explains the 6.3% jump in the Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV) share price to $17.35 at the time of writing.

    The other reason why the stationery and clothing retailer is outperforming is because Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) upgraded the stock.

    The broker changed its recommendation on Premier to “outperform” from “neutral” with a $20.11 price target.

    The bullish turn comes on the back of the surge in online sales across the sector due to the coronavirus lockdown.

    “Online trends within PMV’s portfolio highlight strength within the key brands despite the recent setback of physical store shutdowns,” said Macquarie.

    The group’s cost base is also likely to fall, which will pad margins. Premier is pushing shopping mall landlords to cut rents and is eligible for wage subsidies in Australia and some of the other countries it operates in.

    However, as Macquarie highlights, quantifying wage subsidies, like JobKeeper, is difficult. There is also a risk that Premier’s aggressive move to force rental cuts can backfire.

    Seeking a bargain

    Another stock that’s outperforming today is the SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK) share price, which rallied 4.5% to $21.74 at the time of writing.

    The jump comes as UBS upgraded the online jobs classifieds group to “buy” from “neutral” today and upped its price target to $23 from $15.25 a share.

    There are four driving the broker’s decision. First, UBS thinks the worst for the jobs market is over with its weekly trackers showing sustained improvement in job volumes.

    Next, Seek is recommencing its dynamic pricing for recruiters and corporates from next month, which could see yield growth reaccelerate.

    Further, the broker thinks the group’s recent temporary cuts to operating costs could be in place for the longer-term.

    Finally, UBS economists have revised up their forecast peak in Australian unemployment to 8% from 10%.

    There is also an additional factor why investors should buy the stock. Seek’s valuation stands favourably when compared to peers like REA Group Limited (ASX: REA) and Carsales.Com Ltd (ASX: CAR).

    5 stocks under $5

    We hear it over and over from investors, “I wish I had bought Altium or Afterpay when they were first recommended by The Motley Fool. I’d be sitting on a gold mine!” And it’s true.

    And while Altium and Afterpay have had a good run, we think these 5 other stocks are screaming buys. And you can buy them now for less than $5 a share!

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Macquarie Group Limited and Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended carsales.com Limited, REA Group Limited, and SEEK Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Brokers name 3 ASX 200 shares to buy today

    Buy ASX shares

    Australia’s top brokers have been busy adjusting their estimates and recommendations again, leading to the release of a large number of broker notes this week.

    Three broker buy ratings that have caught my eye are summarised below. Here’s why brokers think these ASX shares are in the buy zone:

    Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT)

    According to a note out of Ord Minnett, its analysts have retained their buy rating and lifted their price target materially on this payments company’s shares to $64.70. The broker has been looking through recent data and has made positive revisions. It now believes Afterpay could report almost 10 million active customers by the end of FY 2020. This will be more than double the 4.6 million active customers it had at the end of FY 2019. While it is a high risk option due to its valuation, I agree that Afterpay is a buy.

    SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK)

    A note out of UBS reveals that its analysts have upgraded this job listings company’s shares to a buy rating with a $23.00 price target. UBS made the move on the belief that the worst is now behind the company and that job volumes have started their recovery. The broker also notes that SEEK’s shares look good value in comparison to other online listings companies. I agree with UBS and feel SEEK would be a great buy and hold investment.

    Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL)

    Analysts at Goldman Sachs have reaffirmed their buy rating and $33.85 price target on this energy producer’s shares. According to the note, the broker believes that Woodside is well-positioned in this low oil price environment due to its low cost operations and its strong balance sheet. Based on its last close price, Goldman’s price target implies potential upside of 55.6% for its shares over the next 12 months. I think this could certainly make it worth considering.

    And here are more top shares which analysts have just given buy ratings to…

    3 “Double Down” Stocks To Ride The Bull Market

    Motley Fool resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has stumbled upon three under-the-radar stock picks he believes could be some of the greatest discoveries of his investing career.

    He’s so confident in their future prospects that he has issued “double down” buy alerts on each of these three stocks to members of his Motley Fool Extreme Opportunities stock picking service.

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX 200 up 0.9%: Big four banks rebound, Appen hits record high

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    At lunch on Friday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to finish the week on a very positive note. The benchmark index is currently up 0.9% to 5,989.5 points.

    Here’s what has been happening on the market today:

    Big four banks back on form.

    The big four banks are back on form and are helping drive the ASX 200 higher. All four banks are pushing higher today, but the Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is the best performer with a 1.5% gain. Incidentally, earlier this week Citi put a buy rating and $26.00 price target on the bank’s shares. This could be lending some support to the buy side.

    Orora goes ex-dividend.

    The Orora Ltd (ASX: ORA) share price has failed to follow the market higher and crashed 16% lower today. The majority of this decline is due to the packaging company’s shares trading ex-dividend this morning for its massive special dividend. Eligible shareholders can look forward to receiving the 37.3 cents per share dividend in their bank accounts in 10 days on 29 June 2020. This was the equivalent of a 15% yield based on its last close price.

    Appen hits record high.

    A number of shares have been hitting record highs this week. One that has achieved this feat on Friday has been the Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price. This morning the artificial intelligence company’s shares rose over 3% to $33.49. This latest gain means that Appen’s shares are now up over 50% since the start of the year. Earlier this week analysts at Macquarie initiated coverage on Appen with an outperform rating and $38.00 price target.

    Best and worst ASX 200 shares.

    The best performer on the ASX 200 on Friday has been the Estia Health Ltd (ASX: EHE) share price with an 8.5% gain. This is despite there being no news out of the aged care operator. The worst performer by some distance today has been the Orora share price with its 16% decline. This was triggered by its shares going ex-dividend this morning.

    3 “Double Down” Stocks To Ride The Bull Market

    Motley Fool resident tech stock expert Dr. Anirban Mahanti has stumbled upon three under-the-radar stock picks he believes could be some of the greatest discoveries of his investing career.

    He’s so confident in their future prospects that he has issued “double down” buy alerts on each of these three stocks to members of his Motley Fool Extreme Opportunities stock picking service.

    *Extreme Opportunities returns as of June 5th 2020

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Appen Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the Downer EDI share price in the buy zone?

    digger placing coin on growing pile of coins, boral share price

    Shares in the ‘jack of all trades’ engineering contractor Downer EDI Limited (ASX: DOW) are up by 1.27% in morning trade today to $4.79, following the performance of the S&P/ASX200 Index (ASX: XJO) more broadly.

    An often forgotten company that features widespread operations across multiple industries, Downer’s share price remains approximately 50% lower than its peak at $8.94 in January.

    Let’s break down why the market has fallen out of favour with this blue-chip powerhouse, and why I see the company as a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors.

    What are the current headwinds facing Downer EDI?

    As one of the largest companies in Australia with some 53,000 employees, Downer has been a profound victim of the COVID-19 pandemic and its restrictive impacts.

    One of the biggest laggards on its operations has been the Spotless Group, an integrated services company in which Downer maintains an 88% stake. Spotless has come to a virtual standstill due to its formidable exposure to catering, hospitality and laundry services.

    According to a presentation delivered by Downer at the 2020 Macquarie Australia Conference last month, hospitality revenue for Spotless had been slashed to zero and up to 6,000 employees had been stood down without the JobKeeper stimulus due to the pandemic. This revenue hole was further expanded by the news Spotless was dealing with vastly reduced volumes of laundry from private hospitals due to the decline of elective surgeries.

    Apart from the Spotless shortfall, the presentation also revealed that the Downer brand was facing a mine closure in South Africa, and a 70% reduction in productivity spurred by severe lockdowns for New Zealand activities.

    Overall, it appears as though the impressive breadth of the company’s operations across several industries has been deeply challenged by the unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic, forcing the share price to bottom out at $2.58 in March. This would have been an agonising period for existing shareholders, who were also hit with the news of Downer deferring its dividend until September this year.

    Future outlook – what I like about Downer EDI  

    Notwithstanding these challenges, I remain optimistic about the company’s financial performance in FY21 and beyond. Firstly, its balance sheet is bursting at the seams. This has been aided by its financing of a $500 million syndicated bank facility, adding to the already half billion in cash and $1.14 billion of undrawn debt the company held at the end of 2019.

    Secondly, coupled with its supreme liquidity, Downer’s longstanding government customer base also ensures it is a likely beneficiary of government stimulus and new infrastructure projects under the JobMaker program. The expertise of the company to deliver high-level transport projects and general urban services likely puts them in good stead to benefit from new government contracts under JobMaker and beyond.

    Thirdly, the company’s earnings hit in FY20 will likely be short-lived. Spotless will likely revive its capacity at some point in the coming months, albeit under the caveat of greater social-distancing and hygiene restrictions, and the incidence of elective surgeries already appears to be recovering.

    Notably, Downer announced in May that its relationship with Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) had been extended through a confirmed $450 million agreement at the Eliwana iron ore mine in Western Australia. This 5-year arrangement is the second transaction between the pair, and represents Downer’s broader strategy of utilising existing contracts to expand on subsequent work for its clients.

    The Fortescue deal adds to Downer’s impressive current project portfolio, which includes the delivery of the Auckland City Rail Link, railway vehicles including the Sydney Waratah and Melbourne Metro train fleets, and light-rail projects in Parramatta and the Gold Coast.

    With plenty of new and existing work on the horizon and a historical dividend yield of 5.8%, I believe the current Downer share price provides prospective investors with significant upside over the medium to long-term.

    Foolish takeaway

    This company has been equally helped and harmed by its unique exposure to such a wide array of industries throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, although its ownership of Spotless continues to be a thorn in Downer’s side, I remain optimistic that the company’s exposure to substantial government and private-sector infrastructure projects bodes well for the continued resurgence of the Downer share price.

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    Motley Fool contributor Toby Thomas has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

    The post Is the Downer EDI share price in the buy zone? appeared first on Motley Fool Australia.

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