• ASX 200 up 1.7%: Flight Centre and Webjet rocket, Afterpay hits record high

    ASX share

    At lunch on Monday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to record a very strong gain. The benchmark index is currently up 1.7% to 5,589.3 points.

    Here’s what has been happening on the market today:

    Bank shares storm higher.

    The big four banks have started the week very strongly and are helping drive the ASX 200 higher. All four banks are in the black at lunch, but the standout performer has been the National Australia Bank Ltd. (ASX: NAB) share price. Its shares are up by a solid 2.75% at the time of writing as investors pile back into the sector.

    Travel shares charge higher.

    One of the best performing areas of the market on Monday has been the travel sector. The prospect of New Zealand opening its borders to Australian tourists appears to have given the sector a boost. The likes of Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) and Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) are up 12.5% and 10%, respectively, at the time of writing.

    Afterpay hits a record high.

    The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price has stormed to a record high of $47.48 on Monday. This appears to have been driven by positive investor sentiment and news that it has appointed a permanent Chair. Elana Rubin will has become the payments company’s Chair with immediate effect. She will retire from the ME Bank board in June, but remain as a Non-Executive Director for Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) and Slater & Gordon Limited (ASX: SGH).

    Best and worst ASX 200 performers.

    The best performer on the ASX 200 on Monday has been the Flight Centre share price with its 12.5% gain. Going the other way, the worst performer on the index on Monday has been the TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) share price with a 3.5% decline. The enterprise software company’s shares have come under pressure since the release of its half year update last week.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited and Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Telstra share price down 21% since February. Is it now in the buy zone?

    Man with mobile phone standing over modem, telecommunications, telco. Telstra shares

    Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) has seen a significant correction to its share price over the past few months, declining by around 21% since early February. Does this now place Australia’s largest telecommunications provider in the buy zone?

    Strong continued demand for telco services

    Although Telstra’s share price fall has been in line with many other S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) listed shares, I don’t believe the sharp sell-off was fully justified.

    While many ASX listed companies have seen a decline in demand for their products or services, over the past few months, Telstra’s broadband and mobile services are proving to be essential to both businesses and consumers throughout the coronavirus crisis. This has helped with strong continued demand. There has been a sharp increase in fixed broadband bandwidth with more Aussies working from home, people keeping in touch with family and friends online and staying entertained through streaming media services like Netflix.

    T22 strategy still on track

    In a market update in March, Telstra revealed that it still appears to be on track to achieve most of the goals it had put in place as part of its T22 strategy, which includes reducing underlying fixed costs by $2.5 billion annually by the end of FY22. Telstra also announced that it would move forward capital expenditure initiatives, from the second half of FY 2021 into the calendar year 2020, to increase its overall network capacity and to accelerate the rollout of its 5G network.

    In fact, Telstra was actually part of a small group of ASX 200 companies which were recently able to reaffirm their guidance in light of the coronavirus impact. However, the telco provider did acknowledge in its March update, that it expects both free cash flow and EBITDA for FY2020 to be at the bottom end of its guidance range.

    In addition, the defensive nature of Telstra’s telecommunications business model, the continued demand for its services throughout the crisis and its strong free cash flow positions it well to maintain its current dividend of 16 cents per share. On current prices, Telstra pays a trailing fully franked dividend yield of 3.24%.

    Foolish takeaway

    I believe that Telstra was, to some degree, unfairly caught up in the wider market sell-off triggered by the coronavirus crisis. I feel that long-term, focused investors are presented with a fairly good buying opportunity after its recent market correction. Telstra’s fundamentals remain solid and Australia’s largest telecommunications provider appears reasonably placed for long-term growth over the next five to 10 years, driven by its market-leading position in the rollout of 5G services. I currently prefer it over its other rivals such as Optus, Vodafone-TPG and Vocus Group Ltd (ASX: VOC).

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    Motley Fool contributor Phil Harpur owns shares of Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Hong Kong Protests Reignite Over Beijing Security Laws

    Hong Kong Protests Reignite Over Beijing Security LawsPolice fired tear gas on protesters for the first time in weeks after thousands took to the streets in Hong Kong Sunday to vent their anger at security laws Beijing announced it plans to impose. Photo: Kin Cheung/Associated Press

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  • If you invested $10,000 in the Appen IPO, this is how much you’d have now

    dollar sign growth concept

    This month I have been looking at what would have happened if you had invested $10,000 into the IPOs of some of the most popular ASX shares.

    The last one I wrote about, which can be found here, was the Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) IPO.

    Spoiler alert. The ecommerce company’s shares have been very strong performers since their IPO in June 2016.

    Today I thought I would turn my attention to the Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) IPO.

    The Appen IPO.

    Appen is a leading provider of language technology data and services. It provides or improves data that is then used for the development of machine learning and artificial intelligence products

    Its shares landed on the ASX boards just over five years ago in January 2015. The company raised $15 million at an offer price of 50 cents per share, which gave it a market capitalisation of approximately $47.3 million. This means that a $10,000 investment would have got you $20,000 shares at its IPO.

    Management told investors that the funds raised would help it “take advantage of, and grow with, the recent acceleration of devices and technology that interact with humans on human terms and advances in mobile communications and social media that are driving unified communication in any language and across languages.”

    Stellar growth.

    Well, management certainly delivered on its prospectus promises and more.

    Since its IPO Appen has gone from strength to strength, culminating in the company delivering revenue of $536 million and earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) of $101 million in FY 2019.

    But it isn’t stopping there. Last month Appen released a market update which revealed that it remains on course to achieve its FY 2020 guidance despite the pandemic. It expects underlying EBITDA in the range $125 million to $130 million, which represents a year on year increase of 23.8% to 28.7%.

    The high end of its EBITDA guidance is a massive 175% greater than its market capitalisation at listing. I believe this demonstrates just how quickly the company has grown.

    Unsurprisingly, this has led to its shares rising very strongly since its IPO. At the time of writing they are changing hands for $30.59, which is within sight of their all-time high of $32.00. This gives it a market capitalisation of almost $3.75 billion.

    Which means that the 20,000 shares you would have picked up at Appen’s IPO now have a market value of approximately $612,000.

    Overall, I believe this demonstrates how rewarding it can be to invest in shares with quality business models, strong growth potential, and talented management teams.

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    One is a diversified conglomerate trading 40% off it’s all-time high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield of over 3%…

    Another is a former stock market darling that is one of Australia’s most popular and iconic businesses. Trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high, not only does this stock offer massive upside potential, but it also trades on an attractive fully franked dividend yield of almost 4%.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Appen Ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why Leigh Creek, Lynas, Monadelphous, & TechnologyOne are dropping lower

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has started the week very strongly. In late morning trade the benchmark index is up 1.6% to 5,583.9 points.

    Four shares that have failed to follow the market higher today are listed below. Here’s why they are dropping lower:

    The Leigh Creek Energy Ltd (ASX: LCK) share price is down 5.5% to 8.3 cents. On Thursday the gas producer put its shares in a trading halt pending a material announcement in relation to a proposed capital raising. This morning the company launched an underwritten share purchase plan to raise just $1 million. It is raising the funds at a 20% discount to the five-day volume weighted average price on June 15.

    The Lynas Corporation Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price is down 2% to $2.07. Investors have been selling the rare earths producer’s shares after it revealed doubts over its U.S. activities. Last month the U.S. Department of Defense revealed that it plans to award a Phase I contract for a U.S. based Heavy Rare Earth separation facility to Lynas. Since then there have been objections to its construction. So much so, Lynas understands that plans are now on hold while political issues are addressed.

    The Monadelphous Group Limited (ASX: MND) share price has fallen 3.5% to $10.35. This decline appears to have been driven by a broker note out of Ord Minnett. This morning the broker retained its lighten rating on the engineering company’s shares and slashed the price target on them to $10.00. It has concerns over the impact of the pandemic on its operations.

    The TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) share price has continued its slide and is down a further 4% to $9.53. The enterprise software company’s shares have come under pressure since the release of its half year update. Investors appear underwhelmed by its 6% lift in sales and profits during the six months ending March 31. Especially given the significant premium that its shares trade at.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Should you invest $1,000 in Altium shares today?

    Circuit board, Altium shares

    Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) shares have edged 5.41% higher this year, but is the Aussie tech company in the buy zone?

    What’s happened to Altium shares in 2020?

    The Aussie tech share started the year in typically strong fashion. In fact, Altium hit a new 52-week high of $42.76 as recently as February 17. There’s been quite a bit of downhill from there with Altium shares bottoming at a 52-week low of $23.11 on March 23.

    Unsurprisingly, Altium was not the only WAAAX share to fall lower in March. Even Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) shares fell to $8.90 but have since bounced back to over $46 per share. 

    The Aussie-American software business focuses on electronic design systems for 3D printed circuit boards (PCBs). However, many of the company’s small and medium enterprise (SME) business customers have been short on cash amid the pandemic.

    Altium shares have made a recovery since their March lows, and are trading at $36.60 per share right now. That’s despite the recent business update announcing some headwinds for the tech group.

    Altium has launched ‘attractive pricing’ and extended payment terms to drive volume. This means that while volume should increase, the price component is likely to drive down revenue and cash flow in the short-term.

    However, it’s not all doom and gloom for the software company. Altium’s push for more volume could drive market share and position it as a clear market leader in the medium to long-term.

    With a strong cash balance and clear strategic goals, Altium shares could be on the move again in 2020.

    There’s also something to be said for a strong US presence. The nature of the pandemic has forced many countries to look internally for business growth.

    Altium could be well-placed to drive further change in both Australia and the United States thanks to its unique market positioning.

    Foolish takeaway

    No one knows where Altium shares are headed in 2020, but I feel the company’s long-term outlook still looks good. I think it could be a good value ASX tech share to buy if you want to boost your portfolio growth potential.

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    One “All In” ASX Buy Alert, that could be one of our greatest discoveries

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes is the #1 Top “Buy Alert” after stumbling upon a little-owned opportunity he believes could be one of the greatest discoveries of his 25 years as a professional investor.

    This under-the-radar ASX recommendation is virtually unknown among individual investors, and no wonder.

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    Motley Fool contributor Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO and Altium. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Europe’s Debt Reckoning May Mean Tough Choices on Who to Tax

    Europe’s Debt Reckoning May Mean Tough Choices on Who to Tax(Bloomberg) — Europe’s leaders may be united on the need to throw money at economies during the coronavirus crisis, but they have yet to confront how to pay for it all.That reckoning could force governments across the region into tough choices about where to lay the burden among voters already disillusioned with political establishments — a decade after the global financial crisis presented them with previous bills to settle.Europe’s austerity experiments since then, from Greece to the U.K., provide cautionary tales of either the economic damage or electoral fatigue that spending cuts can cause. With those bitter experiences in mind, politicians are already fielding questions about tax hikes on either wealth or income — even if they too might threaten to hurt growth.Alternatives include tolerating higher debts such as Japan does, or perhaps trying to inflict a dose of inflation to erode them away — itself a tax of sorts. With sovereign borrowing costs historically low, such approaches may look tempting as the bills rack up fast. Debt ratios in the euro area and U.K. may top the 100% milestone this year.“There are very few easy or politically attractive ways to deal with this,” said James Athey, a money manager at Aberdeen Standard Investments. “The ideal way to pay for this is to generate growth that’s higher than your cost of funding. Unfortunately, I think that’s going to be very difficult.”As European governments rapidly ramp up borrowing to aid economies, the region’s experience of austerity is framing the debate on how to tackle debt. Applying such medicine too forcefully in Greece in 2010 led the International Monetary Fund to conclude that it had caused more harm than good to public finances and growth.In the U.K., whose 2010 deficit also ballooned to a Greek-like level, austerity under former Prime Minister David Cameron coincided with years of negligible growth. Whether or not that followed from spending cuts, it did fuel discontent that contributed to his political demise when the country voted to leave the European Union.“European governments got worried about the large increase in debt and shifted to fiscal austerity, probably excessively slowing the recovery,” said former IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard.One discussion in Europe is whether taxes should rise when the recovery takes hold. Switzerland’s Social Democrats want higher income taxes, and the U.K. media is also awash with speculation about potential tax increases.A further argument is focused on wealth taxes. The minority partner in Spain’s coalition is mulling such a proposal, while in France, where the government recently reduced wealth tax, economist Thomas Piketty says history shows such measures are the best way of bringing down huge public debt. Camille Landais, a professor of economics at the London School of Economics, even suggests a time-limited, Europe-wide wealth tax.“If there needs to be some form of mild rebalancing of public finances it must be in a way that is fair, and essentially targets individuals that are most able to weather this,” said Landais.German Chancellor Angela Merkel has already been forced to deny any plans for higher taxes for now, while French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said he doesn’t want to reapply the country’s levy on wealth. Athey says such reactions are understandable.“The notion of raising taxes that don’t retard growth is very difficult,” he said.The crisis may also reignite calls to change the mindset in the euro zone at least, where German-stipulated limits on deficits and debt were cemented into its monetary union. In Japan and the U.S., higher outright debt loads are accepted for longer while governments stabilize spending and curb borrowings through economic growth, conveniently shifting some of the burden to future generations of politicians too.Helping governments to keep debt costs under control are the actions of central banks. Their hoovering up of bonds has largely removed concerns over spiralling borrowing costs which dominated the early 2010s, and provide a foundation for public finances to start fixing themselves.“The only sensible way out of over-indebtedness or high debts is more economic dynamism,” Marcel Fratzscher, President of DIW German Institute for Economic Research, said this month. “That’s the lesson after the global financial crisis.”Central banks may also face pressure from governments to keep monetary policy loose for longer, tolerating inflation that erodes the value of government debts — a tactic that helped the U.K. to bring its borrowings under control in the era after World War II.Inflation, while long craved by monetary authorities since the financial crisis, would also hurt savings and evoke painful memories for some countries, from Germany in the 1930s to the U.K. in the 1970s. Fratzscher says that as a policy to reduce debt, it’s “damaging.”But what if debt just can’t be brought under control? William White, a senior fellow at the C.D. Howe Institute in Toronto and a former chief economist at the Bank for International Settlements, says that outcome is a real possibility.“We’re on a bad path here of debt accumulation,” he said. “Thinking much more seriously about debt restructuring in an orderly way is required.”For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • 3 commodity trends to watch this week

    ASX share

    In a country like ours it pays to be aware of the underlying commodity trends. This is more true today than at any other time as the world awakes from the coronavirus pandemic to a world fraught with tension. I have found that if you pay attention, and understand the way things are moving there is always a chance to profit. 

    Gold miners

    The gold price is the king of all commodity trends. It remains at an all time high in Australian dollars. Recent falls have been more influenced by the exchange rate with the US dollar than giant swings in the gold price. The easy analysis is to say gold is a hedge against uncertainty. An asset that rises when equities fall. However, there is more to it than that. 

    Record low interest rates, even negative interest rates, around the world have combined with immense levels of quantitative easing. This means more available cash. Where there is a high demand, like investment assets, we see inflationary pressures. 

    Within this space there are still S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) shares selling at reasonable prices. The Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL) share price fell by 5.5% last week for no discernible reason. The company has maintained a 9-year compound annual growth rate for sales at 22%. An 8-year earnings per share CAGR at 17.2% and a share price CAGR at 22.9%.

    Battery Metals

    Rumours this week that Tesla Inc (NYSE: TSLA) had developed a million mile battery caused a lot of speculation.  Including a claim from General Motors Company (NYSE: GMC) that they too had almost completed a million mile battery. This means a renewed upward commodity trend for future facing metals such as nickel, silver, and copper in particular. Companies like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR) are ASX 200 shares that may benefit from any rise in the copper price, with BHP also heavily involved in global nickel production.

    South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) is a large scale player in the nickel industry. It is also a high volume producer of silver from the Cannington mine in Queensland. Both of these are used on battery manufacture as well as across the board in the renewables sector. 

    Grain industry

    The upward commodity trend in grain has continued despite the Chinese 80% tariffs. The share price of Australian producer Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) has continued its upward momentum. GrainCorp is not very exposed to the tariffs imposed thus far.

    Food security is quietly becoming a very important issue. Over the past three months we have seen the worst locust plagues for a generation across Africa, The Middle East and South Asia. Ukraine, the food bowl of Europe, is also expecting a markedly lower harvest in 20/21 after a record crop in 19/20. Moreover, the UN has raised the spectre of starvation at “biblical” levels.

    Download our expert report on 5 shares likely to be big winners after Covid-19.

    5 cheap stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes are the 5 cheapest and best stocks to buy right now.

    Courtesy of the crashing stock market, these 5 companies are suddenly trading at significant discounts to their recent highs… creating what could be incredible opportunities for bargain-hungry investors.

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    Daryl Mather has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Spotify, Amazon, Apple, and Barstool Sports are all betting big on podcasts

    Spotify, Amazon, Apple, and Barstool Sports are all betting big on podcastsDigital media companies have understood podcasts for years. Now tech giants are getting in late, but bringing big dollars to buy instant footholds.

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  • Why Afterpay, Flight Centre, TPG Telecom, & Western Areas are charging higher

    Upward Trending Data Image

    In late morning trade the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is on course to start the week on a positive note. At the time of writing the benchmark index is up a sizeable 1.6% to 5,583.4 points.

    Four shares that are climbing more than most today are listed below. Here’s why they are charging higher:

    The Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) share price has jumped 6% higher to $47.24. This morning the payments company announced that Elana Rubin will become its permanent Chair with immediate effect. Rubin intends to retire from the ME Bank board following its June 2020 meeting, but will remain as a Non-Executive Director on the boards of Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) and Slater & Gordon Limited (ASX: SGH).

    The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price has climbed 5.5% higher to $11.92. The prospect of New Zealand opening up its borders to Australian tourists could be behind this gain. It isn’t just Flight Centre on the rise. A number of travel shares have started the week in a very positive fashion.

    The TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPM) share price is up 3% to $8.04. The catalyst for this gain appears to have been a broker note out of Morgans this morning. According to the note, the broker has upgraded TPG Telecom’s shares to an add rating with an improved price target of $9.14. It sees a lot of positives in its merger with Vodafone Australia.

    The Western Areas Ltd (ASX: WSA) share price has pushed 2.5% higher to $2.28. This morning the nickel producer announced that it has entered into a subscription agreement with Panoramic Resources Limited (ASX: PAN) to acquire up to 19.9% of its rival. Western Areas will pay cash of $28.6 million for the stake in the junior nickel producer. This investment provides Western Areas with exposure to the future restart of the promising Savannah Project.

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    5 cheap stocks that could be the biggest winners of the stock market crash

    Investing expert Scott Phillips has just named what he believes are the 5 cheapest and best stocks to buy right now.

    Courtesy of the crashing stock market, these 5 companies are suddenly trading at significant discounts to their recent highs… creating what could be incredible opportunities for bargain-hungry investors.

    Simply click here to scoop up your FREE copy and discover the names of all 5 cheap shares to buy now… before the next stock market rally.

    See the 5 stocks

    More reading

    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Telstra Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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