• Goldman Rolls Back Its Pessimistic Outlook for American Stocks

    Goldman Rolls Back Its Pessimistic Outlook for American Stocks(Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has effectively bowed to pressure from the continuing rally in U.S. stocks and abandoned its call for another steep sell-off.Strategists led by David Kostin have rolled back their prediction that the S&P 500 would slump to the 2,400 level — over 20% below Friday’s 3,044 close — and now see downside risks capped at 2,750. The U.S. equity benchmark could even rally further to 3,200, they wrote in a May 29 note.“The powerful rebound means our previous three-month target of 2,400 is unlikely to be realized,” the strategists wrote. “Monetary and fiscal policy support limit likely downside to roughly 10%. Investor positioning has oscillated between neutral and low and is a possible 5% upside catalyst.”The shift came just after JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s strategists shifted in the other direction — reining in their bullish outlook. JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic warned about rising U.S.-China tensions in a note May 28.JPMorgan’s Kolanovic Dials Back Bullish Stance on EquitiesGoldman’s strategists maintained their year-end target of 3,000 for the benchmark U.S. stock gauge.Goldman continues to argue that short-term returns are skewed to the downside — “or neutral at best” — thanks to the risk of an economic, earnings, trade or political “hiccup” to the normalization trend. A broader participation in the rally would be needed for the S&P 500 to move meaningfully higher.The S&P 500 has climbed 36% from its March 23 low, helped by massive fiscal and monetary support, mega-cap outperformance and optimism about the economy restarting, according to Goldman. Last month it argued fear of missing out was a key driver of the rebound in stocks.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.comSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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  • World stocks rebound after Trump avoids reigniting trade war

    World stocks rebound after Trump avoids reigniting trade warHong Kong’s stock market surged more than 3% and other global markets also gained Monday after President Donald Trump avoided reigniting a trade war with China amid tension over Hong Kong and the coronavirus pandemic. Global markets sank Friday as investors waited for Trump’s response to Beijing’s security law on Hong Kong.

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  • Nordstrom’s Shares Drop 12% on Difficult Quarter

    Nordstrom’s Shares Drop 12% on Difficult QuarterNordstrom (JWN) reported its quarterly earnings on Friday, and the results were grim. Net sales dropped 40%, worse than the 33% decline expected by analysts.The company recorded an operating loss of $521 million for the quarter for a loss per share of $2.23. This represented a decrease from net earnings of $37 million during the same period in fiscal 2019, and fell starkly short of Street expectations of a $0.95 loss per share for the quarter. Its shares closed on Friday at $16.13, down more than 12% for the day.Nordstrom shuttered all of its stores on March 17. Some reopened in early May, while those in its key markets—California, New York and Washington—remain closed. Disappointingly, Nordstrom reported online-sales growth of only 5% in the quarter. As a result, Nordstrom reported that its SG&A expenses ballooned to 55% of net sales, compared with 34% of net sales for the same period in fiscal 2019.The family-run retailer started the year well, experiencing sales growth in the fourth quarter after four consecutive quarters of negative year-over-year sales growth. It seemed that investments in e-commerce and a cautious approach to physical stores had helped Nordstrom stay ahead of the department store pack.Nordstrom Rack — Nordstrom's off-price unit — posted particularly weak numbers, partly because it initially was not able to to fulfill online sales through its stores. That capability was enabled by mid-April. Nordstrom's reported that at the Nordstrom Rack locations that have reopened, sales have exceeded expectations thus far.Even prior to Friday, it had been a brutal year for Nordstrom stock, having already dropped 56% year to date through Thursday. Analysts have a Moderate Sell consensus on Nordstrom and an average price target of $21 a share, although the poor results Nordstrom exhibited in the last quarter has pulled down the most recent price targets.On Friday Jay Sole of UBS pulled down his price target to just $12. Nevertheless, the current price target of $21 represents 30% upside potential over the next 12 months. (See Nordstrom stock analysis on TipRanks).Related News: Papa John’s U.S. Pizza Sales Jump 33.5%; Shares Pop 7% In Pre-Market Boeing Gets No Orders in April, Customers Cancel 737 MAX Jets Alibaba Scores Earnings Beat With Revenue Surging 22% Y/Y More recent articles from Smarter Analyst: * Google Delays Rollout Of Android Beta Version Amid U.S. Protests * Facebook Holds ‘Productive’ Call With Trump, As Social Media War Rages On * Chevron to Make Sweeping Job Cuts as Oil Demand Plummets * Google Mulling Purchase of Stake in Indian Vodafone Idea

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  • Why you might want to own ASX mining shares in 2020

    business men digging up dollar sign

    ASX mining shares – or ASX resources shares in general – are often overlooked by many ASX investors. It’s common to hear protestations like ‘they’re volatile’, or ‘they’re price takers’ when discussing the miners.

    Now both of these statements are true (and we’ll go over why in a minute). But in my view, they don’t preclude these shares from making good investments as a part of a well-balanced portfolio.

    What are the benefits of owning ASX mining shares?

    A well-run ASX miner can bring many benefits to a well-balanced portfolio – most importantly, diversification.

    Many commodity markets operate quite independently of the broader economy. How else can you explain the iron ore price today – trading at multi-year highs above US$100 a tonne? Or the gold price – not too far from all-time highs at prices above US$1,700 an ounce?

    Most ASX companies are facing significant short-term headwinds as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. But this economic pain has yet to extend to the iron or gold mining sector. That’s partly why the Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) reached a new all-time high just today, for example. Ditto with Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN).

    Large iron miners like Fortescue will probably spend 2020 dishing out record dividend payments to shareholders in a year where most companies are facing pressure to even keep their dividend steady.

    As such, anyone with these kinds of shares in their portfolio (especially dividend investors) would be feeling incredibly grateful today.

    What to watch out for in an ASX miner

    As I touched on earlier, there are a couple of ‘Achilles heels’ that can make mining a treacherous field to plough.

    Mining companies are price takers – meaning they have to accept the sale of their resources at whatever price the market is dictating at the time. This is why mining shares can be so volatile – they rise or die on the back of what the market is willing to pay for their products.

    This gives them little control over their profits from year to year.

    The best way to counter these inbuilt disadvantages in my view is to invest in the largest, most established miners with the lowest cost-bases.

    Take Fortescue for instance. It mines its iron ore with a cost basis of around US$12–13 a tonne. That means it can keep its head above water if the iron price ever plunges – while its higher-cost competitors drown. And when prices are good? It can virtually print money for its shareholders.

    Foolish takeaway

    Mining shares can be highly volatile and also face structural disadvantages that don’t plague most other ASX shares. However, they can also provide invaluable diversification to a portfolio, and so I think any investor (dividend investors in particular) should consider at least some mining exposure.

    For some more shares you won’t want to miss, make sure to keep reading!

    NEW. The Motley Fool AU Releases Five Cheap and Good Stocks to Buy for 2020 and beyond!….

    Our experts here at The Motley Fool Australia have just released a fantastic report, detailing 5 dirt cheap shares that you can buy in 2020.

    One stock is an Australian internet darling with a rock solid reputation and an exciting new business line that promises years (or even decades) of growth… while trading at an ultra-low price…

    Another is a diversified conglomerate trading over 40% off its high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield over 3%…

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    Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is Pushpay a millionaire maker share?

    pushpay, mobile banking, charity, payment,

    Is Pushpay Holdings Ltd (ASX: PPH) a millionaire maker share? It has already been a solid grower since it listed on the ASX a few years ago.

    Indeed, since the market crash caused by the coronavirus pandemic, the Pushpay share price has rocketed 163% from that low.

    Pushpay is a software business that facilitates electronic donations. It provides tools and a community app for its clients. It’s particularly focused on the large and medium US church sector – there is large amount of money donated each year in this area.

    What was driving Pushpay before COVID-19?

    The company was steadily winning over churches before the pandemic. It’s always a good idea for organisations to make it as easy as possible for people to donate (or pay). Electronic donations are rising in popularity, just like electric payments in general are.

    You can see this growth from the increase of total processing volume by 39% to US$5 billion in FY20.

    The company also recently acquired Church Community Builder for US$87.5 million that helps churches connect with their community members, record member service history, track online giving and perform a range of administrative functions. In April 2020 Pushpay and Church Community Builder launched a joint product. They can sell to each of the client bases, plus the combined offering will be more compelling for potential new clients.

    Pushpay’s business model is attractive because of the growing operating leverage of the business. In FY20, the company’s revenue (excluding Church Community Builder) rose by 28% to US$123.1 million. The gross margin improved by five percentage points from 60% to 65%, excluding the acquisition it improved to 64%.

    One of the main pleasing things is that the combined business is expecting further gross margin improvement. 

    Total operating expenses only increased by 5%. Excluding the acquisition, operating expenses actually decreased by 8%.

    It was the above factors that caused earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and foreign currency (EBITDAF) to rise by US$23.5 million to US$25.1 million. It also helps that it’s now generating solid operating cashflow. 

    Why it could be a millionaire maker share

    I think Pushpay could be a great share to own because the current pandemic is causing many more people to donate electronically than they otherwise would have, bringing forward the shift to electronic giving.

    Management expect the company to achieve EBITDAF of between US$48 million to US$52 million, which would be approximately doubling the operating profit. That would be a very strong result. 

    Over the long-term, the business is targeting market share of over 50% of the medium and large church segments, which would be an opportunity of over US$1 billion of revenue. Obviously this would come with higher profit margins.

    The US church segment is only one opportunity. There are plenty of other not-for-profit areas for Pushpay to grow over the long-term. I’d very happily buy shares for the long-term today.

    I’d also love to buy some other growth shares for my portfolio like these…

    NEW. The Motley Fool AU Releases Five Cheap and Good Stocks to Buy for 2020 and beyond!….

    Our experts here at The Motley Fool Australia have just released a fantastic report, detailing 5 dirt cheap shares that you can buy in 2020.

    One stock is an Australian internet darling with a rock solid reputation and an exciting new business line that promises years (or even decades) of growth… while trading at an ultra-low price…

    Another is a diversified conglomerate trading over 40% off its high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield over 3%…

    Plus 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit over the next 12 months!

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended PUSHPAY FPO NZX. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Buy these ASX growth shares for monster returns

    Australian growth investors are a lucky bunch. Right now, there are a large number of companies on the ASX that are growing their earnings at a rapid rate.

    Three which I believe can continue this trend for some time to come are listed below. Here’s why I think they are top options for growth investors:

    a2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M)

    The first ASX growth share to buy is a2 Milk Company. As I covered here last week, a2 Milk Company has been an exceptionally strong performer since its listing on the ASX in 2015. Over this time the company has gone from running loss-making operations to having an extremely profitable business. The catalyst for this has been the insatiable demand for its infant formula in China. The good news is that it still only has a modest market share in the lucrative market. In light of this, I believe it has a long runway for growth and further strong returns await investors over the coming years.

    Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN)

    Another company which I believe has the potential to grow materially in the future is Kogan. It is benefiting greatly from the structural change that is happening in the retail industry and has been accelerated by the pandemic. I expect more and more retail spending to be made online over the next few decades, which bodes well for its increasingly popular website. In addition to this, the launch of Kogan Marketplace appears to have been a huge success and looks likely to underpin strong growth in the coming years.

    Xero Limited (ASX: XRO)

    A final ASX growth share to consider buying is Xero. It is a leading cloud-based business and accounting software provider. It has been growing its recurring revenues at a very strong rate over the last few years thanks to the increasing popularity of its platform with small businesses across the world. Xero now has ~2.3 million subscribers globally, which may seem like a large number, but is actually only a small portion of a massive global market opportunity. 

    And here are more top shares to buy right now. All five recommendations below look like future market beaters…

    NEW. The Motley Fool AU Releases Five Cheap and Good Stocks to Buy for 2020 and beyond!….

    Our experts here at The Motley Fool Australia have just released a fantastic report, detailing 5 dirt cheap shares that you can buy in 2020.

    One stock is an Australian internet darling with a rock solid reputation and an exciting new business line that promises years (or even decades) of growth… while trading at an ultra-low price…

    Another is a diversified conglomerate trading over 40% off its high, all while offering a fully franked dividend yield over 3%…

    Plus 3 more cheap bets that could position you to profit over the next 12 months!

    See for yourself now. Simply click here or the link below to scoop up your FREE copy and discover all 5 shares. But you will want to hurry – this free report is available for a brief time only.

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk and Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Saudi Arabia may raise July oil prices to Asia – survey

    Saudi Arabia may raise July oil prices to Asia - surveyTop oil exporter Saudi Arabia is expected to raise its official selling price (OSP) for all grades it sells to Asia in July, to track a jump in Middle East benchmarks although overall weak refining margins could cap price gains, industry sources said. Saudi Arabia is expected to increase the July OSP for Arab Light crude by $3.80 a barrel on average, a survey of five refinery sources showed. Forecasts ranged from an increase of $2-$3 a barrel to as much as $5 a barrel, as refiners’ margins weakened in May while a stronger DME Oman crude price, one of two underlying benchmarks for Saudi crude in Asia, has increased refiners’ feedstock costs, they said.

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  • 3 ASX 200 tech shares to buy and hold beyond 2025

    Woman standing in front of computerised images, ASX tech shares

    Australia has a small but fast-growing ASX tech sector. Some of these listed companies have already made it to the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

    Here we look at 3 of those companies, all of which I believe are good options to buy and hold for the long term.

    WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC)

    WiseTech Global is the leading global developer of software solutions to the logistics industry. The company has a strong and entrenched position in this market.

    The WiseTech share price fell heavily from mid-February to mid-March by more than 60%. The company’s supply chains were significantly impacted during the early phase of the coronavirus crisis. As a result, the company downgraded its earnings projections for FY2020 back in February to between 5% and 22% year-over-year growth.  

    Since then, the WiseTech share price has rallied strongly and regained about half of those losses. Global markets are now beginning to open up, especially the Chinese market. This should hopefully lead to further uplift in sales.

    More challenges in the months ahead may lead to additional share price volatility for WiseTech. However, I believe that its long-term growth prospects remain strong, driven by the growing demand for logistics solutions.

    Appen Ltd (ASX: APX)

    Appen provides data for use in machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) and is the global leader in this field.

    In a market update last week, Appen commented that its earnings base continues to be resilient. This is in spite of challenging market conditions. So far, there has been negligible impact on its customer base, except for some smaller customers.

    Appen further revealed that its balance sheet continues to be strong with cash in excess of $100 million. It will also continue to invest in technology areas that will help achieve its long-term growth trajectory.

    I think that Appen remains well placed for strong growth over the next 5 years. This will be driven by the rapidly rising demand for AI products and machine learning solutions.

    Altium Limited (ASX: ALU)

    Altium designs software that enables engineers to manufacture printed circuit boards for a broad range of devices. This includes everything from computers to cars and the growing number of interconnected devices that make up the ‘internet of things’ (IoT).

    Altium has recently experienced challenges to sales, especially at the smaller end of its target market. It recently noticed signs of distress amongst some start-ups and other smaller customers.

    Despite these short-term challenges, I believe that Altium’s long-term future still remains bright. It has a strong balance sheet and has continued to grow its margins over the past few years.

    In particular, IoT is a rapidly growing sector. This provides Altium with plenty of scope to grow strongly over the next 5 to 10 years.

    For more lucrative long-term investment opportunities, don’t miss the report below.

    5 “Bounce Back” Stocks To Tame The Bear Market (FREE REPORT)

    Master investor Scott Phillips has sifted through the wreckage and identified the 5 stocks he thinks could bounce back the hardest once the coronavirus is contained.

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    Motley Fool contributor Phil Harpur owns shares of Altium, Appen Ltd, and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Altium, Appen Ltd, and WiseTech Global. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Why this global share is great for investors older than 50

    I think that WAM Global Limited (ASX: WGB) is a great share for those investors who are older than 50.  

    If you’re in retirement, or getting closer to retirement, I think it becomes more important to have good diversification in your portfolio.

    I also believe that most Aussie investors should have some exposure to shares that are listed overseas. The ASX only makes up 2% of the global share market.

    Why WAM Global is a great share for investors older than 50

    WAM Global is a listed investment company (LIC). That means the job of the investment team at Wilson Asset Management (WAM) is to invest in shares on your behalf.

    Investors older than 50 may not have the time or desire to continually manage their investment portfolio. WAM Global can do the investing decisions for you.

    As the name might suggest, this LIC invests in global shares.

    What are some of the shares it owns right now? At the end of April 2020 it owned shares like Tencent, Amazon, Aon, Activision, CME Group, Costco, Doller General, Hasbro, Hello Fresh, Intuit, Logitech, Lowe’s, Microsoft and Nomad Foods. That’s a defensive group of names that’s suited to no matter what happens with the coronavirus.

    What about the dividend?

    LICs have the ability to turn capital gains made and investment income received into a smoothed dividend to investors older than 50 (and all other shareholders). WAM Global has been steadily growing its dividend since it started paying one. Keep in mind it only listed in June 2018.

    It currently offers an annualised fully franked dividend of 6 cents per share. This amounts to a grossed-up dividend yield of 4.2%.

    For investors older than 50 that’s not a huge yield. But it will probably keep growing over time. Just like the other WAM LICs have done.

    Is it a good time to buy right now?

    WAM Global’s share price has recovered strongly since 23 March 2020 – it’s up 47%. In March would have been the best time to buy. The share price discount to the net tangible asset (NTA) isn’t as big as it used to be. Australia’s dollar has continued to strengthen. 

    At the end of April 2020 it had a pre-tax NTA of $2.25, so today’s share price is an 8.5% discount to the NTA last month. Many share prices have been rising throughout May 2020, so the discount could be somewhere in the mid-teens.

    I think it’s a good price today to buy for the long-term for investors older than 50, though be aware there could be another market fall later this year.

    WAM Global isn’t the only great dividend share on the ASX. I’d also look into this top defensive income stock…

    NEW: Expert names top dividend stock for 2020 (free report)

    When our resident dividend expert Edward Vesely has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, he’s the investing genius that runs Motley Fool Dividend Investor, the newsletter service that has picked huge winners like Dicker Data (+92%), SDI Limited (+53%) and National Storage (+35%).*

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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