Tag: Stock pick

  • Should you buy TechnologyOne shares after they crashed 17%?

    Worried young male investor watches financial charts on computer screen

    TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE) shares have been under significant pressure this week.

    The enterprise software provider’s shares sank 17% on Tuesday despite releasing a record result for FY 2025.

    Has this created a buying opportunity? Let’s see what analysts are saying about the tech stock.

    Should you buy TechnologyOne shares?

    According to a note out of Bell Potter, its analysts have retained their hold rating on the company’s shares with a reduced price target of $33.00.

    Commenting on the result, the broker said:

    FY25 PBT of $181.5m was close to in line with our forecast of $182.4m and VA consensus of $181.8m. The result was still ahead of guidance, however, which was PBT growth of 13-17% and the result was 19% growth.

    Bell Potter advised that it has trimmed its valuation to reflect a re-rating in the tech sector this month. It adds:

    We have reduced the multiples we apply in the PE ratio and EV/EBITDA valuations from 80x and 42.5x to 65x and 35x due to the recent de-rating in the tech sector and the multiples being applied. We have also increased the WACC we apply in the DCF from 7.9% to 8.1% for the same reason.

    The net result is a 13% decrease in our PT to $33.50 which is <15% premium to the share price so we maintain our HOLD recommendation. We note the outlook is little changed and we still forecast strong double digit growth over the medium term but the current FY26 PE ratio of c.60x is still demanding in our view and equates to a PEG ratio of around 3x.

    Over at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG), its analysts are also sitting on the fence with TechnologyOne shares. This morning, they have retained their neutral rating with a $28.20 price target.

    Macquarie is concerned that it may get worse before it gets better for the company. The broker commented:

    Long-term story remains attractive, but it may get worse before it gets better. Valuation rebased post-result, but slowing growth, higher costs, and a lack of clear positive catalysts in the near-term while still trading at ~62x NTM PER suggests there may be further downside risk. Retain Neutral.

    Broker upgrade

    Finally, the team at Morgans doesn’t agree. Its analysts have upgraded TechnologyOne’s shares to an accumulate rating with a $34.50 price target. They said:

    TNE’s FY25 result was largely in line with our expectations with the group delivering, PBT growth of +19% to $181.5m ahead of its 13-17% guidance range, and in line with consensus. The negative share price reaction appears to have been driven by softer than expected ARR/NRR print, which saw a 2% miss to ARR growth expectations vs consensus, despite this, the group continues to deliver, with ARR of $554.6m (+18% YoY), which along with its NRR growth of 115% continues to see TNE Ontrack to achieve its long-term ARR growth aspirations. We modestly pare our EPS forecasts by 1-3% in FY26-28F. and move to an ACCUMULATE rating, with our target price $34.50 now reflecting a TSR of +19% following TNE’s post result share price movement.

    The post Should you buy TechnologyOne shares after they crashed 17%? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Technology One Limited right now?

    Before you buy Technology One Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Technology One Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Technology One. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Technology One. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Here’s the dividend forecast out to 2030 for Fortescue shares

    Person handing out $50 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.

    Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) shares have been one of the best investments over the past several years. However, with the iron ore price not exactly booming, it’s important to know where the dividend is projected to go in the next few years.

    The miner’s key commodity is iron ore; it’s less diversified than BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) because those two are also involved in copper and other commodities.

    Fortescue’s FY25 dividend suffered a significant decline, so let’s take a look at what experts think of the dividend outlook.

    FY26

    The company recently reported its FY26 first-quarter update, and broker UBS analysed the numbers. It said that the three months to September 2025 were “solid” with a “strong” sold price for its commodities.

    UBS said Fortescue’s hematite (iron ore) shipments of 47.6 million tonnes (mt) were in line with expectations, as were production costs. However, the higher-grade Iron Bridge shipments were 11% lower than expected as the ramp-up of that project continues, though the realised price was 9% stronger than expected.

    The business is expecting FY26 shipments to be between 195mt to 205mt, while C1 costs are expected to between US$17.50 to US$18.50 per tonne.

    UBS said that while iron ore fundamentals have been “tighter than expected” on a range of factors, it’s still expecting conditions to weaken as Simandou ramps up over the next three years.

    The broker believes iron ore low-grade discounts (to the regular grade) are expected to stay narrow, which is promising for the price Fortescue can sell for its production.

    Either way, UBS suggests that China’s economic outlook will be “pivotal” and US trade policy could be “key” for the foreseeable future.

    After taking that into account, UBS predicts Fortescue could pay an annual dividend per share of $1.29 in FY26. At the time of writing, this translates into a potential grossed-up dividend yield of 9.1%, including franking credits.

    FY27

    UBS is currently forecasting that the Fortescue earnings and dividend per share could fall back in the 2027 financial year, which could be its worst output for many years, if the projections come true.

    The broker has predicted that owners of Fortescue shares could receive an annual dividend per share of 72 cents.

    FY28

    It could get slightly better for the business in FY28, though still substantially below what it’s projected to pay in the 2026 financial year.

    UBS projects that Fortescue could pay shareholders an annual dividend per share of 78 cents.

    FY29

    Fortescue could see another improvement in the 2029 financial year based on UBS’ projections for the ASX mining share.

    The iron ore miner is projected to pay an annual dividend per share of 85 cents in FY29.

    FY30

    The 2030 financial year is a long way away, a lot could happen with iron ore prices between now and then.

    If UBS’ projections come true, then the miner could pay owners of Fortescue shares an annual dividend per share of 89 cents.

    The post Here’s the dividend forecast out to 2030 for Fortescue shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Fortescue Metals Group right now?

    Before you buy Fortescue Metals Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Fortescue Metals Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Guess which ASX 200 stock is tipped to plummet 32%?

    A worried man chews his fingers, indicating a share price crash or drop on the ASX 200

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is trading in the red again on Wednesday afternoon. At the time of writing, the index is down another 0.17% for the day, marking a 7% sell-off from its peak in late October.

    The index appears determined to continue its downward trend amid weak earnings expectations, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and growing concerns about uncertainty surrounding rate cuts. However, analysts think this might be a short-term market pullback rather than a significant correction.

    But there are some shares that aren’t expected to perform particularly well over the next 12 months.

    In a recent note to investors, analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) have raised concerns about one ASX 200 stock it thinks will plunge in the next 12 months.

    Helia shares tipped to drop

    At the time of writing, Helia Group Ltd (ASX: HLI) shares are trading 0.51% lower for the day at $5.85 a piece. Over the past month, its share price has increased by 6.36%, and over the year, it’s 32.05% higher.

    But Macquarie thinks the shares are about to start diving.

    In the note, the broker confirmed its underperform rating on Helia shares and reduced its target price to $3.95 per share. At the time of writing, this implies a huge 32.5% downside for investors over the next 12 months.

    “Valuation: We reduce the valuation to $3.95/share (from $4.10/share), driven by our dividend discount model as we slow down capital returns,” the broker said in its note.

    “While conditions are supportive near-term, at current valuations (~1.6x P/NTA), investors are both overpaying for the potential of capital returns, and have priced in favourable conditions indefinitely. Maintain Underperform.”

    “Earnings changes: We raise EPS by +5%/+2%/+3% in FY25-27E, as we lower claims to reflect the 3Q25 trading update and mark-to-market of the yield curves, but there are minor downgrades in outer years as we bring forward reserve releases,” Macquarie said.

    What else did the broker have to say about the ASX 200 stock?

    Macquarie said that Helia continues to deliver large negative claims, which have been driven by reserve releases. It explained that while macro conditions support this, the company’s claims reserves have decreased significantly, and has brought forward earnings. 

    “We forecast the liability for incurred claims (LIC) at FY25 to close at ~$200m (vs ~$270m in FY24). Further negative claims in the near-term is possible, but as the claims reserve decreases, the scope for large reserve releases to continue indefinitely is unlikely. Even with favourable assumptions, reserving on new delinquencies will begin offsetting the reduction in claims reserves on the “back book”. This underpins our view of normalising claims,” the broker said.

    The broker added that cutting costs is not enough to offset long-term revenue headwinds.

    “Our earlier analysis suggested that even with aggressive capital returns and under a run-off scenario, we arrive at a valuation of $5/share (pre-dividends). With HLI announcing its intention to continue writing LMI and hence require capital, we pare back the speed of capital returns, and downgrade our DDM valuation despite earnings upgrades.”

    The post Guess which ASX 200 stock is tipped to plummet 32%? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Helia Group right now?

    Before you buy Helia Group shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Helia Group wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • $10,000 invested in Zip shares in January is now worth…

    People sit in rollercoaster seats with expressions of fear, terror and exhilaration as it goes into a steep downward descent representing the Novonix share price in FY22

    Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) shares have had a rollercoaster of a ride over the past 18 months.

    At the time of writing on early Wednesday afternoon, they’re trading 0.68% lower for the day at $2.92 each. The share price has now fallen nearly 40% from a 4-year peak in early October. The sell-off means the stock is now 36.7% lower over the past month, and down 10.67% over the year. 

    But the good news is that the shares are still a whopping 170.4% higher than their 52-week low of $1.08 per share.

    So if I bought $10,000 of shares in January, how much are they worth now?

    Zip shares are currently trading 1.52% below their value on 2 January. This means $10,000 invested at the beginning of the year would now be worth a total of $9,848.

    What caused Zip’s share price nosedive?

    Zip shares started declining after the company released its Q1 FY26 results on 20 October. At the time, it looked like investors could have sold up and taken profits following the stock’s peak.

    They tumbled further following the company’s annual general meeting (AGM) earlier this month. This was despite Group CEO and Managing Director Cynthia Scott telling investors that the company is on track to achieve its upgraded FY26 guidance. Management also ruled out any possibility of dividends in the near future, stating that the business plans to retain future earnings to finance company growth instead. 

    Is there any upside ahead for Zip shares?

    The past year’s performance might not have earned investors the big bucks, but there is still some opportunity for more momentum ahead.

    The Australian financial technology company has grown its operations in Australia, New Zealand, and the United States to provide customer services in 12 countries. Zip now offers point-of-sale credit and digital payment services to consumers and merchants via interest-free buy-now, pay-later (BNPL) technology. The company has two consumer products: Zip Money and Zip Pay.

    In late October, the company announced that its US segment is expanding its partnership with Stripe, a programmable financial services business. 

    Zip is scaling its US business too, and is considering a dual listing on Nasdaq, which could help it tap into US capital markets and boost its valuation among US-based investors.

    What do brokers think of the stock?

    Macquarie analysts initiated coverage of the Australian financial technology company in late October, saying it expects Zip to deliver rapid growth going forward. It has an outperform rating and $4.85 target price on Zip shares. 

    TradingView data shows some analysts are even more bullish on the stock. Out of 11 analysts, 9 have a buy or strong buy rating and 2 hold a neutral stance. The maximum upside is as high as $6.20, representing a potential 111.97% upside over the next 12 months, at the time of writing. 

    The post $10,000 invested in Zip shares in January is now worth… appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Zip Co right now?

    Before you buy Zip Co shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Zip Co wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • How does Tesla make money?

    A white EV car and an electric vehicle pump with green highlighted swirls representing ASX lithium shares

     

     

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

     

    Key Points

    • Tesla could still have significant long-term growth opportunities in AI and energy storage, along with its flagship electric vehicle business.
    • Competition in the EV space, declining profits, and a high stock valuation have posed challenges for investors of late.
    • Tesla’s large cash balance can help it continue to fund ambitious growth endeavors.

    Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) pioneered long-range electric vehicles (EVs) and for many years benefited from rising demand for its high-end, desirable products. Tesla’s initial strategy focused on a top-down approach, where it developed high-performance, long-range luxury EVs to build the brand’s image and generate capital for the development of more affordable mass-market models. This strategy was very successful and created a strong halo effect around the brand. 

    Tesla effectively dominated the U.S. luxury EV market for years, and at one point was even outselling traditional luxury brands like BMW and Mercedes-Benz. If you want to learn more about how Tesla makes money, its financials, and key recent developments with the business, keep reading. 

    What does Tesla do?

    Tesla designs, manufactures, and sells EVs, along with energy generation and storage systems. It produces a range of electric cars, including the Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, and Cybertruck. It also manufactures the Tesla Semi commercial truck. The company makes clean energy products such as solar panels and solar roof tiles for homes and businesses.

    It sells and installs battery energy-storage systems, from home-based units to grid-scale storage systems. Tesla builds and maintains a global network of Superchargers for its electric vehicles and offers home-charging products as well. The company also develops and sells its supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, an advanced driver-assistance system that still requires active driver readiness.

    More recently, management has dealt with a range of challenges, including heightened competition, production shipping delays, declining sales in certain markets, and a drop in profits despite record vehicle deliveries. Tesla is also facing multiple recalls and investigations.

    And some investors remain unhappy with the fact that CEO Elon Musk has shifted some of the company’s focus and capital toward artificial intelligence and robotics projects, and recent controversies surrounding Musk’s public comments and political activities have led to protests and calls for Tesla boycotts. Still, its brand recognition and charging infrastructure remain key assets.

    How does Tesla make money?

    Tesla makes money through the sale of its electric vehicles, which remain its largest revenue source. The company also generates revenue from leasing its vehicles and from servicing and repairing them. Its energy and storage segment develops, manufactures, and sells clean energy products for residential, commercial, and utility-scale use. The segment’s products include the residential Powerwall and large-scale Megapack battery systems.

    Tesla has historically earned significant revenue from selling regulatory credits, but as more major automakers develop and sell their own EVs, they may become less reliant on buying credits from Tesla. Changes in government policies could also significantly impact Tesla’s credit revenue in the near future.

    The sale of FSD software upgrades for its self-driving technology is a growing source of revenue. In the past, management has also profited from selling Bitcoin, though this is not a consistent revenue stream. While not yet a major revenue source, the company is positioning itself for earnings from a future robotaxi network and other AI-related opportunities it hopes to leverage.

    Tesla’s financials

    In the third quarter of 2025, the company reported revenue of $28.1 billion, up about 12% year over year. Total automotive revenue rose 6% from one year ago, while energy generation and storage sales skyrocketed by 44%. Free cash flow reached a record high of nearly $4 billion, and the company had nearly $42 billion in cash and investments on its balance sheet, which far exceeded its total debt of about $7.5 billion.

    It delivered 497,000 vehicles in the three-month period, which surpassed its own forecasts and analyst estimates and was up 7% from one year ago. Tesla reported particularly strong growth in European deliveries (up 25% year over year) and record deliveries in South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, and Singapore.

    However, net income came in at $1.4 billion, a sharp decline of 37% from the previous year and the fourth consecutive quarter of a profit drop. Margins have been squeezed as Tesla has lowered prices to stimulate demand and compete with lower-cost EV makers, while it’s also incurring higher operating expenses for AI and robotics projects. The expiration of the U.S. federal EV tax credit in September is expected to weigh on near-term deliveries and sales in the fourth quarter of 2025 and into 2026.

    Recent developments

    Tesla is heavily investing in the development of robotaxis and humanoid robots. Its long-term financial success could significantly hinge on the adoption of these technologies, which are still in early stages of development and not yet contributing significant revenue. The company plans to unveil a new version of its general-purpose AI-driven Optimus robot in the first quarter of 2026, with an ambitious goal of building a production line by the end of 2026 capable of producing up to a million units annually.

    The robotaxi service, which uses a fleet of FSD-enabled Model 3s and Model Ys (some with a human safety monitor, some without), was launched in Austin, Texas, in June 2025. Musk plans a significant expansion of this fleet by the end of 2025, and is aiming for over 1,500 robotaxis in cities including Austin and the San Francisco Bay Area, with potential launches in Arizona, Nevada, and Florida pending regulatory approval.

    The two-seater Cybercab, a vehicle specifically designed for autonomy without a steering wheel or pedals, was unveiled in October 2024 and its mass production is a key part of management’s long-term strategy. It plans to start production of the Cybercab in the second quarter of 2026, but the vehicle’s ultimate release timeline may be affected by factors like self-driving software and regulatory approval.

    Tesla has introduced the six-seat Model Y L in China. It features a 2-2-2 seating configuration with second-row captain’s chairs and an overall length and wheelbase longer than the standard Model Y. Deliveries in China began in September 2025, and the variant has been met with strong demand. Production for a U.S. version might start in late 2026, but this has not been confirmed, and the model might never come to North America.

    Tesla is also reportedly ramping up work on the second-generation Roadster. Production is still several years away, but the vehicle’s development is progressing, including work on advanced features like the proposed SpaceX package with cold-gas thrusters. The design has been a subject of frequent delays since its initial 2017 unveiling. The most recent estimated time frame for production is around 2027 or later.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    The post How does Tesla make money? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Tesla right now?

    Before you buy Tesla shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Tesla wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

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    Rachel Warren has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin and Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bitcoin. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Superloop vs Aussie Broadband shares: Which has the strongest upside?

    A young woman in a red polka-dot dress holds an old-fashioned green telephone set in one hand and raises the phone to her ear representing the Telstra share price and the opportunity for investors in FY23

    Superloop Ltd (ASX: SLC) and Aussie Broadband Ltd (ASX: ABB) are both Australian telecommunications companies with a lust for growth through acquisitions. Their shares have both seen robust growth over the past 6 months, thanks to solid financial results and expanding customer bases.

    At the time of writing, Aussie Broadband shares are in deficit, down 2.82% for the day at $5 a piece. Today’s decline means the shares are now 14.62% lower over the month and 16% lower than their 3.5-year peak in late October. Thanks to huge gains over the past 6 months, Aussie Broadband shares are still 37.98% higher over the year.

    Superloop shares are also trading in the red this afternoon. At the time of writing, the shares are 5.17% lower for the day, trading at $2.30 each. The decline has pushed the shares 29.82% lower over the month, but they’re still 11.71% higher over the year, again, mostly owing to strong gains since May.

    In a new note to investors this morning, analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) have updated their outlook on the two shares. And there is one clear winner.

    Macquarie’s take on Aussie Broadband shares

    The broker has lowered its outlook on Aussie Broadband shares to neutral, from outperform. It has also cut its 12-month price target on the stock by 20% to $5.10, from $6.35 previously.

    At the time of writing, the revised price target implies a potential 2% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

    “Our ABB target price cut of -20% reflects: 1) EPS Change: Revisions of -3% in FY26E, -7% in FY27E, -9% in FY28E…. 2) DCF: Beta increase from 1 to 1.2, reflecting increased potential volatility from pricing changes if OPT/TPG/Vodafone also lower prices, or TLS continues to lower prices further…. 3) PE-Rel Valuation: P/E Multiple used to value the business reduced from 37x NTM P/E to 30x P/E on NTM earnings, which represents a decrease to only +10% above its historical Long-Run Average P/E Relative to the ASX300,” the broker said in its note.

    “Our rating change to Neutral reflects a lower TSR (0%), given our target price change.”

    Macquarie’s take on Superloop shares

    Macquarie analysts have, however, maintained their outperform rating on Superloop shares, putting the telco as the favourite. The target price was also reduced by 7% to $3.30, down from $3.55 previously.

    At the time of writing, this represents a potential 43.5% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

    “Our SLC target price cut of -7%, reflects: 1) EPS Changes: Our EPS changes (-4% in FY26E & FY27E, -3% in FY28E) reflect a moderation in our estimates for Users growth in SLC’s Consumer business…. 2) DCF: Beta increase from 1.05 to 1.15, reflecting increased potential volatility from competitor pricing moves,” Macquarie analysts explained in the note.

    The post Superloop vs Aussie Broadband shares: Which has the strongest upside? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Superloop Limited right now?

    Before you buy Superloop Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Superloop Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Aussie Broadband and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Aussie Broadband. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Why are Steadfast shares sinking 5% today?

    Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.

    Steadfast Group Ltd (ASX: SDF) shares are having a tough session on Wednesday.

    In afternoon trade, the insurance broker network’s shares are down 5% to $5.10.

    Why are Steadfast shares sinking today?

    Today’s decline appears to have been driven by the release of a broker note out of Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) this morning.

    Macquarie has been looking into the industry and highlights that commission rate cuts are accelerating. It said:

    Our market analysis has uncovered an accelerating pace of commission rate cuts. Although Home and Personal Motor products are generally not profitable for insurance brokers, as these products are pushed into the direct channel, we are concerned customer retention for Business Package could deteriorate.

    In addition, the broker thinks that the weakness in premium rates that Steadfast has been battling could stay for longer than previously expected. It adds:

    We now forecast weakness to last longer than the next 12 months, putting pressure on SDF’s ability to hub their wholly owned insurance brokers, which has not necessarily been successful in the past.

    This comes at a time when the ASX 200 stock has announced a change of leadership, which is something Macquarie notes can weigh on the performance of a share price. The broker explains:

    Our ESG analysts recently reviewed stock price performance for companies undergoing executive changes. 12-month underperformance was witnessed across founder exits, internal replacements and ESG related exits.

    Downgraded

    In light of the above, this morning Macquarie has downgraded Steadfast shares to a neutral rating (from outperform) and slashed its valuation to $4.90 (from $7.00). This is a touch below where its shares are currently trading.

    Commenting on its downgrade and new valuation, the broker said:

    Downgrade to Neutral (from Outperform). As commission rates fall and the premium rate cycle threatens to be softer for longer, we downgrade our recommendation to Neutral (from Outperform).

    Valuation methodology change: In addition to changing our PERel/DCF methodology to PERel only as the premium cycle slows, we now incorporate a 25% discount reflecting: #1) heightened regulatory attention for Strata, ACCC M&A intervention; ASIC insider trading investigation; #2) increased weight applied to cost-out as the premium rate cycle slows, something which has not been successful in the past; and #3) long term succession risk of the Group CEO at the same time as the CFO and Chair have exited.

    The post Why are Steadfast shares sinking 5% today? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Macquarie Group Limited right now?

    Before you buy Macquarie Group Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Macquarie Group Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Steadfast Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group and Steadfast Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • 3 ASX 200 stocks plumbing 52-week lows today

    a group of rockclimbers attached to each other with a rope hang precariously from a steep cliff face with the bottom two climbers not touch the rockface but dangling in midair held only by the rope.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is up a slender 0.05% in early afternoon trade, but it’s not getting any help from these three ASX 200 stocks that are all plumbing 52-week-plus lows today.

    Here’s what’s happening.

    ASX 200 stocks sinking to 52-week-plus lows

    The first company trading at one-year lows today is News Corp (ASX: NWS).

    Shares in the diversified media conglomerate are down 0.3% at the time of writing, trading for $44.10. That’s the lowest price since early November last year, with News Corp shares having closed in the red for the previous six trading days.

    That selling follows a positive response to the ASX 200 stock’s first-quarter (Q1 FY 2025) update, released on 7 November.

    News Corp shares closed up 3% on the day, with the company reporting a 2% increase in revenue for the quarter to US$2.14 billion. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) were up 5% to US$340 million.

    Moving on to the second ASX 200 stock plumbing to one-year lows, we have Guzman Y Gomez (ASX: GYG).

    Shares in the Mexican fast-food restaurant chain are down 4.2% at the time of writing, changing hands for $22 apiece. That’s certainly unwelcome news to shareholders. Though not to the raft of short-sellers betting against the stock. Guzman Y Gomez shares are the sixth most shorted on the ASX this week, with a short interest of 11.8%.

    Guzman Y Gomez began trading on the ASX on 20 June 2024, and shares are now at the lowest level since the company listed.

    Which brings us to…

    Also plunging to new all-time lows

    The third ASX 200 stock marking new 52-week plus lows is TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPG).

    Shares in Australia’s third-largest telecommunications company are down 4% in afternoon trade today, at $3.65 each, after exiting Monday’s trading halt. That marks a new all-time low for the stock.

    TPG Telecom shares are under pressure today after the company announced it had raised $300 million through an Institutional Reinvestment Plan. TPG issued about 83 million new shares for $3.61 each. That’s a 5% discount to last Friday’s closing price of $3.81.

    Speaking of last Friday, the ASX 200 stock closed down a precipitous 31.1% on the day.

    However, as the Motley Fool’s James Mickleboro noted on the day, the sell-down wasn’t nearly as tough for existing shareholders as you might think.

    That’s because TPG Telecom traded ex-dividend on Friday for an outsized capital return. That was comprised of a $1.52 per share capital reduction and a 9-cent per share unfranked dividend.

    That saw investors achieve a whopping 28.8% yield relative to the previous day’s closing price.

    The post 3 ASX 200 stocks plumbing 52-week lows today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Guzman Y Gomez right now?

    Before you buy Guzman Y Gomez shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Guzman Y Gomez wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.