• Jamie Dimon thinks he knows why people are so gloomy about the economy

    Jamie Dimon
    JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon.

    • The bottom 20% of American earners have been left out of the economic boom, Jamie Dimon said.
    • Their incomes have hardly budged for 20 years, fueling societal problems, the JPMorgan CEO said.
    • People can't get a mortgage or afford a home, and communities have been hit by drug abuse and crime.

    The US economy may be the envy of the world, but many Americans are deeply discontent. One reason is they've largely missed out on the boom times, Jamie Dimon says.

    "The bottom 20% of America have not done particularly well over the last 20 years," the JPMorgan CEO told The Wall Street Journal this week. "Incomes barely went up."

    "Suicide, fentanyl, crime, inflation — there are a lot of negative effects," he continued. "Some people can't get mortgages, can't buy their home."

    Dimon likely meant that stagnant wages have fueled rates of depression, drug abuse, and crime as people feel they just can't get ahead.

    That may be particularly true when they're paying more for food, energy, and housing due to inflation — and have higher monthly payments on their credit cards and cars due to higher interest rates.

    Those painful issues have translated into widespread disillusionment with the US economy. A full 51% of respondents to a New York Times survey in late February rated the economy as poor, and another 23% described it as only fair. Moreover, 40% or those surveyed said the economy was worse than a year earlier.

    Economic growth has slowed from 3.4% in the fourth quarter of 2023 to 1.6% last quarter, official data showed this week. But a recession is yet to strike, unemployment remains historically low at under 4%, and inflation has dropped from more than 9% two summers ago to below 4% in recent months.

    Record home prices and booming markets are often good news for homeowners with stock portfolios. But they don't benefit others to the same degree — and can even hurt them if rising house prices drive up rents and companies raise prices to bolster profits and boost shares.

    "There's parts of society who's kind of struggling, parts of society who's not," Dimon said. "You can see why that has people upset."

    The billionaire banker also emphasized the current situation isn't as rosy as many think. He warned of stubborn inflation, interest rates staying higher for longer, and a potential recession — echoing comments he made in his annual letter, to analysts, and in recent interviews.

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  • What happens if TikTok is sold without the algorithm that drives the ‘For You’ page? It might not be so bad.

    TikTok logo with a piece erased
    One of the best parts of TikTok could be erased if it gets sold. But maybe that wouldn't be so bad.

    • If ByteDance is actually forced to sell TikTok, it might not include the app's algorithm.
    • But that might not be a huge issue for a new owner. "For You" recommendations could be recreated.
    • TikTok has said it won't sell — and will fight the ban in court.

    The ink is dry on the "TikTok ban" bill, and there's already talk about what a forced sale could look like: Would TikTok's owners agree to sell? And if so, would they strip out the addicting and seemingly all-knowing algorithm first?

    TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, is already considering selling the app without its algorithm, The Information reported Thursday. (ByteDance denied this.)

    The idea of TikTok being sold without the secret sauce that makes its "For You" pages might seem like a disaster for a new owner. Like buying a Ferrari without an engine — you'd just have a red car and some nice leather seats.

    But … what if that's not exactly true? What if the TikTok algorithm doesn't really matter that much?

    The magic of TikTok's 'For You' page

    TikTok's "For You" page seemed mind-blowing and mysterious back in 2020. It showed something radically different from the recommendation feeds of other social platforms like Instagram.

    Instead of relying on you following certain accounts, it quickly tailored a feed to you based on actions other than who you followed. It considered things like how long you lingered on a certain video. Watching a lot of videos with cows eating grass in a field? Expect to be served up a lot more of that. You could have a completely personalized feed without ever following another user.

    Now that we all kind of know how the algorithm works, if a new owner bought TikTok and wanted to build a new version of the "For You" page, perhaps it wouldn't be a completely impossible task. It's kind of like those Bon Appetit videos where chefs would try to recreate junk food like Ruffles potato chips — it's a stroke of genius to invent Ruffles in the first place, but if a talented cook already knows what a Ruffle looks and tastes likes like, they can do an approximation of it.

    Of course, computer engineering isn't quite the same as cooking. As The Information pointed out, a significant hurdle is that a new buyer would be stuck trying to hire machine-learning engineers in a competitive market for talented tech workers.

    And if it's just a matter of spending money to hire new engineers, that would be one thing. But if it were as simple as throwing money at the problem, then why hasn't Meta been able to make Reels as good as TikTok?

    Probably for a million tiny reasons, ranging from luck to company culture. I would posit that a key element that makes TikTok so enjoyable is something that would come with the sale: its user base.

    Yes, the magic of the "For You" page is what drew so many people in, to begin with, but TikTok created its own culture that is distinct from Instagram or YouTube, and that's what makes it hard for Reels or Shorts to replicate.

    Just look at what happened with Threads

    For another comparison, consider Threads vs. X, aka Twitter: Threads now has more daily active users than X, but I don't think anyone would say that the vibes are the same on the two apps.

    Plenty would argue they prefer Threads because it has fewer of the toxic qualities of X, but it's undeniable that X still has the crackle and juice that can never be replicated. X is a great example of a company where a change of ownership certainly made the product worse and lost money and users, but you've also got, in Elon Musk, a new owner who has made so many bad decisions about how to run the platform that it would be impossible to replicate that mess.

    There's also another thing that could be a drag on TikTok that doesn't even have to do with the algorithm. It's likely that the next year of waiting for a potential sale of TikTok will cause a talent drain and low morale across all parts of the company, including non-technical roles. There are tons of tiny things that make TikTok so fun to use aside from the next video showing up in your feed — and that means tons of tiny ways for it to get worse.

    Selling TikTok without the algorithm — whatever that actually means — is not ideal, but it might not be the one thing that sends TikTok down a path toward MySpace status.

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  • See inside a Boeing 727 salvaged from an aircraft ‘graveyard’ and converted into a lavish Airbnb that starts at $438 a night

    Inside the 727 with bed, chair, and blue couch.
    A scrapped Boeing 727 has been converted into an Airbnb in England.

    • An entrepreneur has converted a 56-year-old Boeing 727 into an Airbnb in Bristol, England.
    • Named PYTCHAir, the jet was bought without wings, engines, or a tail — but kept its lavish interior.
    • The Airbnb can host at least four people and is about $438 a night with a minimum two-night stay.

    Most commercial airplanes end their life in aircraft "graveyards," where they are disassembled and discarded or recycled.

    Some, however, are rescued by entrepreneurs and repurposed into everything from hotels and restaurants to dive sites and art installations.

    The latest converted airplane is a 56-year-old Boeing 727 in Bristol, England, that's been repurposed as an Airbnb and is now owned by British-Australian businessman Johnny Palmer.

    Known as PYTCHAir, the luxe jet is already getting bookings into May and June.

    Palmer declined to share with BI the cost of the now colorfully painted aircraft but said he got a discount because the 727 didn't have wings, engines, or a tail.

    With or without wings, the magic lives inside the plane, Palmer said. It has a lavish interior previously outfitted by an ultrawealthy owner. Palmer said he has since restored PYTCHAir into a livable space with a kitchen, bathrooms, and bedrooms.

    "We've treated this as a restoration project rather than ripping everything out and changing it — and why would you?" he said. "It's beautiful; it's totally raw 1980s billionaire kitsch."

    The Airbnb requires a minimum two-night stay and starts at 350 British pounds — or about $438 — a night, so at least $876 for a two-night stay.

    PYTCHAir started life as a commercial jet flying for Japan Airlines and defunct German leisure carrier Hapag-Lloyd Flug between 1968 and 1981.
    People gather for the first view of the new Boeing 727 jet airliner, developed for the short-to-medium haul market, on December 01, 1962 at Seattle, Washington.
    People gather for the first view of the new Boeing 727 in Washington, which was developed for the short-to-medium haul market.

    The Boeing 727 tri-jet is a rarity in the skies these days and is mostly used only by world militaries and cargo companies.

    Iran Aseman Airlines was the last passenger carrier to operate a 727 when it flew two hours between the domestic cities of Zahedan and Tehran in 2019.

    The plane was converted into a private jet in 1981 by an unknown owner. Palmer told BI the original cabin has an Arabian flare.
    The lounge with couches, chairs, a mirror, and a table inside the plane.
    The original design as it was before Palmer purchased the plane.

    Palmer said the interior design, including some of the shapes used, suggested that a Saudi family might have originally outfitted the plane.

    The Airbnb listing described the interior as having "walnut paneling, gold details, and crystals" that "adorn this exquisite space ideal for nights away."

    The plane jumped to a few more ultrawealthy owners before ending up wingless in a scrapyard in England, where Palmer bought it.
    Johnny Palmer, with the 727 in 2021,  is wearing a blue jacket and jeans.
    Johnny Palmer with the 727 in 2021.

    The aircraft, which was just a fuselage, was acquired from Cotswold Airport in Kemble, England. The on-site "boneyard" breaks down old airliners and sells off the avionics and engines.

    The airport is also home to a retired British Airways Boeing 747 that has been converted into a "party plane" for birthdays and other private events.

    He was then faced with the task of moving the plane from Cotswold to its home in Bristol.
    The aircraft moving down the motorway.
    The aircraft was transported via motorway to Bristol.

    Palmer said the plane was transported via the M5 motorway and required a police escort.

    "They closed the motorway for us to go down," he said. "That was fine for us but not so good for the motorists stacked up behind."

    Palmer said the high-class interior was left in its original configuration and that he brought in a car detailer to wash, polish, and vacuum.
    The dining room in the 727 with glassware on the table, two yellow armchairs, and a patterned couch. Mostly beige and brown hues.
    This is the same living space previously pictured but after the sprucing up and renovations.

    He said he spent "tens of thousands" of dollars to restore the interior, on top of the cost of the jet itself.

    Palmer said if the aircraft-to-Airbnb conversion proves financially viable, he'd consider adding another converted airplane to his fleet.

    But the lighting, sound, and plumbing needed work, he said.
    Inside the hallway leading from the back of the plane to the main lounge. The walls are brown with windows on the right side.
    Palmer said that a modern Boeing Business Jet of similar stature would cost at least $50 million.

    To get the jet up and running, Palmer said he repaired the lights, fitted the aircraft with a new sound system and high-speed internet, and replaced its 110-volt electrical system with a 240-volt one.

    And he had to create a structure from shipping containers to hold the jet in place.
    PYTCHAir 727 with pink and orange paint on containers in parking lot next to black HQ building.
    PYTCHAir is located at a multi-use facility called Skyline Park, which hosts the Airbnb and other spaces like a film set.

    According to PYTCHAir's website, the containers are stacked high to give the aircraft a sense of flying above the clouds. The company said the structure is "vastly over-engineered" and gets regular safety checks.

    "Taking inspiration from the world of aviation, the tops of the shipping containers have been turned into a runway, and the rear air stairs open out onto a landing pad," PYTCHAir said.

    Once fixed up, the plane operated as a multi-use space for things like parties and meetings before becoming a full-time Airbnb.
    The bedroom next to the hallway in the 727.
    The bedroom inside the 727.

    Palmer said that PYTCHAir has been in operation for three years. Before it was turned into an Airbnb, it was previously used as a film set, a meeting space, and even for sleepovers with his wife and kids.

    Palmer converted the 727 into an Airbnb earlier this year. It has a minimum two-night stay at about $438 per night — or around $876 for a two-night booking.
    Beige armchair facing computer in private jet.
    The nightly rate in British pounds is 350, with a two-night minimum.

    He said he wanted to put the plane on Airbnb to share it with the world.

    "The initial novel and weirdness of the aircraft has kind of worn off a little bit for me," Palmer said. "So, I thought now I can share it with more people and maybe get a few quid in for its running costs, maintenance, and ongoing improvements," he said, using British slang for money.

    According to Palmer, the 727 can comfortably accommodate up to four people, but he said more can hypothetically fit.
    Looking at the lounge from the kitchen.
    Part of the kitchen area in the 727.

    He suggested people max their parties at four people to have the best experience in the space.

    "I'm still refining the offering and getting the experience really, really good," Palmer said, noting that he may tweak the pricing. "This is something I'm passionate about."

    The sleeping options include a separate bedroom with a king bed, a bunk bed, a pull-out couch, and a few sofas.
    King bed, sofa bed, and lower birth stitched together, each with white bedding.
    The main four sleeping areas.

    The main four sleeping options are the king bed, the sofa, and the lower bunk in the crew rest area.

    Aside from those, there's also a pull-out couch in one of the two lounges that's another sleeping option. And there's another couch in the main bedroom that could be slept on, he said.

    However, the upper twin bed is particularly cramped due to the shape of the ceiling.
    The top birth on the 727 with white bedding.
    The curved ceiling obstructs the upper berth.

    The cramped berth, which Palmer said is rarely ever used, is where the crew could sleep during flights when the 727 was still flying commercially.

    The jet also features two main living spaces that can be used for lounging, working, or dining.
    One of the sitting areas with a red patterned couch and three beige chairs by a table.
    The couch doubles as a twin bed.

    The living rooms have couches, tables, chairs, sound equipment, and televisions.

    Palmer said he designed the televisions in the main lounge to double as mirrors.

    There is no shortage of comfortable work and living space.
    The main lounge with TV on, red couch, wood dining table, and beige and red armchairs.
    The main lounge inside the 727 Airbnb.

    The 727 narrowbody offers some 70 feet of cabin length and 12 feet of width to work with, per Boeing specs.

    There's also a kitchen on board, complete with a dishwasher, two ovens, and a small refrigerator.
    The small kitchen inside the 727 with green countertops, sink, fridge, and two ovens.
    The small kitchen comes nearly fully equipped.

    The kitchen is located toward the front of the plane, across from the crew rest beds, and behind the cockpit.

    An ensuite bathroom and two half-baths make for a total of three toilets and one shower.
    The shower and sink in the main bedroom.
    The shower and sink in the main bedroom.

    One communal bathroom is at the front of the aircraft next to the cockpit, one is mid-plane, and the more private third is attached to the bedroom and has a shower.

    There are sinks and mirrors throughout the cabin.

    Among the coolest spaces on the 727 is the cockpit, which Palmer said has some of the original lighting restored.
    The 727 cockpit with fur-covered cockpit chairs.
    The cockpit has been left unchanged other than the restoration done on the lighting and systems.

    PYTCHAir wants to restore as much of the jet as possible, including its systems, avionics, and lights.

    For those who don't want to stay overnight at PYTCHAir, Palmer said he welcomes visitors to see the plane during the day.
    The colorful 727 on the storage containers.
    The plane is perched on storage containers to make it "fly." The fuselage was painted by artists Hasan Kamil, HazardOne, and Curtis Hylton.

    "I want to make it accessible, so anyone interested in seeing planes, especially little kids, can just send us a message, then we'll show them around and let them play and get selfies," he said.

    Palmer's decked-out Boeing jet isn't the world's only scrapped plane given a second life. One 727-turned hotel lives in a jungle in Costa Rica.
    airplane hotel house costa rica fuselage 727 10
    Another 727 turned into a hotel is in Costa Rica.

    A 727 in Quepos, Costa Rica, has been converted into the Hotel Costa Verde and features bedrooms, a kitchenette, a deck, and plenty of sitting space.

    A giant Boeing 747 hostel-hotel complete with four engine rooms sits in Sweden.
    Staying at the Jumbo Stay 747 hotel in Sweden.
    The cockpit room at the JumboStay Hotel in Sweden.

    JumboStay sits next door to Arlanda Airport in Stockholm and features both dorm-style rooms and private rooms in the main cabin, the stairwell, and the engines.

    Meanwhile, at least half a dozen old commercial planes have ended up in a deep grave as man-made diving sites.
    Boeing 737 sunken off the coast of Canada.
    A Boeing 737 sunken off the coast of Canada.

    The sunken planes off the coast of countries including Bahrain, Canada, and Turkey promote diving tourism and include aircraft like an Airbus A300, a Boeing 737-200, and a Boeing 747 jumbo jet.

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  • Ford tapped the brakes on EVs and bet on hybrids. It’s paying off.

    Jim Farley
    Ford boss Jim Farley told investors he is "thankful" the company invested in its hybrid lineup.

    • Ford is reaping the benefits of its bet on hybrids. 
    • The automaker recorded surging hybrid sales in the last quarter, even as demand for EVs slowed.
    • Ford slowed its EV push, postponing investment into manufacturing facilities and delaying new models. 

    Ford's bet on hybrids looks like it's paying off.

    The Detroit automaker announced in its earnings on Wednesday that hybrid sales rose 36% in the first quarter of 2024, with CEO Jim Farley telling investors that the company is now the third largest seller of hybrids in the US behind Toyota and Honda.

    By comparison, the company's pure EV business has struggled.

    Losses at Ford Model e, the company's dedicated electric vehicle unit, grew to $1.3 billion in the first three months of 2024 as demand for electric vehicles slowed and manufacturers engaged in a brutal price war.

    "We made a lot of capacity decisions several years ago on hybrids, and I'm very thankful we did," said Farley in the company's Q1 earnings call.

    Unlike rivals such as General Motors and Volkswagen, Ford continued to invest in its hybrid lineup even as it built up its EV business over the past few years — and now that EV demand is slowing partly because of the lack of affordable models, it looks like that strategy is paying off.

    Hybrids, once dismissed by EV enthusiasts like Elon Musk as a "phase," are experiencing a boom in popularity as US customers seek cheaper options.

    Data from online autos marketplace Edmunds reported by The New York Times found that, on average, buyers were paying $42,500 for hybrids in November 2023 compared with $60,500 for electric vehicles.

    Toyota, which has been famously wary of the EV transition, has reported surging sales of its majority-hybrid US lineup, with the Japanese carmaker's hybrid and EV sales growing by 84% in February.

    Ford's crosstown rival General Motors, meanwhile, has reversed its "all-in" electric vehicle strategy and pledged to bring back hybrids into its North American vehicle lineup.

    Not to be outdone, Ford is also doubling down on hybrids, even as it cuts back on some EV investments.

    The company announced earlier this month that it would delay the release of its new electric SUV from 2025 to 2027 and instead focus on expanding its hybrid lineup in North America by the end of the decade.

    Ford vice president Jim Baumbick previously told Business Insider that hybrids would continue to play a role in the company's strategy for "an extended time," saying Ford's mixed approach gave customers "freedom of choice."

    One company that is not thrilled about the hybrid renaissance is Tesla.

    In its most recent earnings presentation, the Elon Musk-run EV giant, which famously shuns hybrids, blamed the enthusiasm for partially battery-powered cars for depressing global sales of pure EVs.

    "The EV adoption rate globally is under pressure, and a lot of other auto manufacturers are pulling back on EVs and pursuing plug-in hybrids instead," said Musk in the company's earnings call.

    "We believe this is not the right strategy, and electric vehicles will ultimately dominate the market," he added.

    Ford did not immediately respond to a request for comment made outside normal working hours.

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  • Chipotle says its service is much faster now, and it means fewer people are bothering to order ahead

    Workers help a customer at a Chipotle restaurant on April 01, 2024 in San Rafael, California
    A key metric for Chipotle is how many entrées each restaurant makes in its peak 15 minutes.

    • Chipotle's CFO said that says that fewer customers are ordering ahead as its service speeds up.
    • "When the lines are moving well … people like to come in and select their meal along the front line," he said.
    • A key metric for the chain is how many entrées each restaurant makes in its peak 15 minutes.

    Chipotle says that its service is becoming so much speedier that fewer customers are bothering to order ahead on its app.

    During the pandemic, many fast-food and fast-casual chains rolled out ways for customers to order ahead so that customers could skip the line. For diners, this means less time waiting around in the restaurant. For companies, this means less labor is needed for taking orders.

    But a big part of the experience of getting food from Chipotle is moving down the counter and customizing your burrito or bowl as you go.

    When lines at its restaurants are moving more quickly, customers opt to do this rather than ordering ahead on its app or website, CFO Jack Hartung told investors.

    "We're actually also seeing a little bit of shift from some of the order-ahead," he said. "Those folks are shifting into the … in-store channel as well. Again, when the lines are moving well, when the restaurant is running well, people like to come in and select their meal along the front line."

    Digital sales — those placed via the Chipotle website, app, or third-party delivery services — made up 36.5% of total food and drink revenue in the quarter.

    Digital sales have hoovered around this point since the third quarter of 2023 but are down from 39.3% and 38% in the first and second quarters of 2023, respectively. This figure is impacted by a number of other trends that influence customer dining behavior, however.

    CEO Brian Niccol told analysts at the company's third-quarter earnings call on Wednesday that its restaurants were, on average, making close to 25 entrées during the peak 15 minutes of the day, a key metric for the chain.

    This was up by nearly two entrées compared to 2023, "with each month showing an acceleration," Niccol said. Hartung told BI that its restaurants were "approaching the mid-to-high 20s."

    Niccol on Wednesday attributed it to improvements in staffing and scheduling as well as new software that the company rolled out in January that gives restaurants real-time visibility on how fast their service is.

    But the number of entrées made varies massively by restaurant. Hartung said that some lower-volume restaurants made about 15 entrées on average during their peak 15 minutes, while Niccol said that its restaurant in Boston's financial district made more than 40 entrées, sometimes reaching as high as 80, during its peak 15 minutes. Chipotle didn't respond to a request for comment from Business Insider about whether the Boston restaurant had a higher staff ratio than its other locations.

    As well as speeding up the assembly of burritos and bowls, Chipotle has also invested in technology to make some food preparation quicker, such as its Autocado, which cuts, cores, and peels avocados. 

    Chipotle is also testing an automated kitchen line to prepare burrito bowls for digital orders. It plans to bring both pieces of tech to some of its restaurants later this year, Niccol said.

    Is fast food getting too expensive? Email this reporter at gdean@insider.com.

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  • It isn’t just Boeing that’s bleeding billions — major US airlines are hemorrhaging cash too

    A Boeing manufacturing plant.
    A Boeing manufacturing plant.

    • It's not just Boeing. Airlines are facing big losses as well.
    • Southwest Airlines and American Airlines posted losses in the first quarter of 2024.
    • Southwest CEO Bob Jordan said Boeing's aircraft delivery delays "are very painful."

    Boeing isn't the only company grappling with turmoil in the aviation industry.

    On Thursday, Southwest Airlines and American Airlines reported losses in their quarterly earnings call.

    Southwest Airlines said it would be ceasing flights to four airports —Bellingham International Airport, Cozumel International Airport, George Bush Intercontinental Airport, and Syracuse Hancock International Airport — from early August after a $231 million loss in the first quarter of 2024.

    Southwest Airlines CEO Bob Jordan told CNBC the decision to cease flights had "nothing to do" with Boeing's aircraft delivery delays. But the delays, Jordan said, did hurt Southwest in other ways.

    "Now the Boeing delays are very painful. They cause us to replan, they hurt us on the revenue front, they cause us to be inefficient, and we're working all of that," he told CNBC on Thursday.

    Besides reducing flights, Southwest also said it would cut down on hiring. The airline said it expects to end this year with about 2,000 fewer employees than at the end of 2023.

    American Airlines, meanwhile, posted a loss of $312 million in its first quarter amid growing labor costs.

    American Airlines CEO Robert Isom told CNBC on Thursday that while they will receive about seven fewer aircraft from Boeing due to the delays, the reduction in capacity will not have a "material impact" on the airline.

    But Isom did express his disappointment at Boeing during his company's earnings call.

    "I've talked to everyone at Boeing that I can possibly address and the message is the same: Get your act together," Isom told investors on Thursday.

    When asked about Isom's remarks, Boeing pointed BI to a comment made by its CFO Brian West on March 20 at the Bank of America Global Industrials Conference. West told conference attendees then that Boeing was "in regular, very transparent communications" with their clients.

    "The most important thing we do is communicate with them. And they have been supportive of everything we're trying to do to enhance safety and quality for the industry," West said.

    Representatives for Southwest Airlines and American Airlines didn't immediately respond to a request for comment from BI sent outside regular business hours.

    Boeing has come under fire recently following repeated quality control lapses. On January 5, a plug door flew off a two-month-old Boeing 737 Max 9 during an Alaskan Airlines flight from Oregon to California.

    On Wednesday, Boeing said during its earnings call that it had burned through $3.9 billion in cash in the first quarter of 2024. The company also posted a net loss of $355 million in its latest quarter.

    "Near term, yes, we are in a tough moment," Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun said in a letter to employees on the same day.

    "Lower deliveries can be difficult for our customers and for our financials. But safety and quality must and will come above all else," he continued.

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  • Your latte could get even more expensive, thanks to a drought in Vietnam that’s strangling coffee bean production

    Vietnamese worker sorts coffee beans in central highlands
    Vietnam produces more than a third of the world's robusta coffee – but drought threatens production and prices.

    • Robusta coffee futures hit a 16-year high because of a prolonged drought in Vietnam.
    • Vietnam and Brazil, the top robusta producers, face climate issues affecting harvest and supply.
    • Vietnamese farmers are also holding onto their beans, hoping to sell them for higher prices.

    Lattes may get pricier, as a key indicator for the price of the bean in espresso just hit a record high.

    The robusta coffee variety is the basis for both espresso and instant coffee. Vietnam makes the most robusta, followed by Brazil.

    A long, El Niño-induced drought in Vietnam pushed up the price of robusta futures on Wednesday to the highest in at least 16 years, Bloomberg reported.

    Vietnam produces more than a third of the world's robusta, per the US Department of Agriculture. In December, the agency predicted Brazil would harvest less robusta this year because of climate issues, while Vietnam would export less because of lower total supplies from last year. This year's drought in Vietnam could continue the low-supply cycle, hurting next year's production.

    Last month, Vietnam's coffee association said exports could decline as much as 20% in the 12 months ending in September, compared with the same period last year.

    "We can't tell when prices will peak," Tran Thi Lan Anh, deputy director of Vietnamese exporter Vinh Hiep Co., told Bloomberg. She said farmers and brokers think the cost of the beans could rise 15% per kilogram from current prices.

    Robusta's price has also been pushed up by hoarding. Some Vietnamese farmers aren't selling their coffee beans, holding onto as much as 13% of this year's harvest in hopes of selling the beans for more later, Bloomberg reported.

    Vietnam is increasingly importing cheaper robusta from Brazil to satisfy soaring local demand from coffee drinkers, Bloomberg reported in March.

    And as disposable income rises across Asia, consumers are buying more coffee, too. Asian countries consumed 15% more coffee last year than in 2018 — the largest jump of any region — but still much less than Europe consumed, per data from the International Coffee Organization.

    Higher bean prices will take a while to reach consumers — so the cost of your mocha is safe for now.

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  • An Oklahoma tourist says he faces 12 years in prison in the Caribbean after he mistakenly left 4 bullets from a hunting trip in his carry-on duffel bag

    Motorboat pulling an inflatable seat over the turquoise waters of the Caribbean Sea in front of a busy beach. Grand Turk Island, Turks and Caicos Islands.
    Motorboat pulling an inflatable seat over the turquoise waters of the Caribbean Sea in front of a busy beach. Grand Turk Island, Turks and Caicos Islands.

    • Ryan Watson was on vacation when he was charged with illegally carrying ammo into Turks and Caicos.
    • He and his wife, Valerie, say the four bullets in their duffel bag were unknowingly left there from a hunting trip.
    • Watson now faces 12 years in prison, alongside several US tourists who say they made the same mistake.

    An Oklahoma man traveling with his wife in the Caribbean territory of Turks and Caicos faces 12 years in prison after four rounds of ammunition were found in his luggage.

    Ryan and Valerie Watson arrived in Turks and Caicos earlier this month to celebrate his 40th birthday with several other couples, their families said in a GoFundMe. NBC Boston reported that the Watsons arrived on April 7.

    But the pair, who have two young children, were arrested in the self-governed British territory after airport security found the four bullets in their carry-on duffel bag.

    Their families' GoFundMe said the ammo had been left in the bag unintentionally, and was from a prior deer hunting trip.

    "They were hunting ammunition rounds that I use for white-tailed deer, and I recognized them, and I thought: 'Oh, what a mistake.' I had no idea that they were in there," Ryan Watson told NBC News.

    Valerie Watson was released from the charges on Tuesday and flew back to Oklahoma to reunite with her children.

    But her husband remains in Turks and Caicos, and was granted $15,000 bail the day after by the local supreme court, according to a police statement.

    He now faces 12 years in prison, which is the minimum custodial sentence for bringing firearms or ammunition into Turks and Caicos.

    Ryan Watson must stay on the islands and report twice a week to a local police station while waiting for his hearing, which is set for June 7.

    Meanwhile, his family is trying to raise $300,000 for his legal fees and housing in the Caribbean.

    "Isolated from their family, friends, and children, they face mounting legal fees, living expenses, and the overwhelming stress of their situation," their GoFundMe reads. "The emotional and financial toll is immense, and they are at risk of losing everything."

    "We were trying to pack board shorts and flip flops," Valerie Watson told CBS News. "Packing ammunition was not at all our intent."

    The Watsons did not immediately respond to a request for comment sent outside regular business hours by Business Insider through their GoFundMe.

    Eight US tourists prosecuted since February

    It is illegal to bring firearms or ammunition into Turks and Caicos, and penalties apply regardless of the offender's status or country of origin, according to the local attorney general's chambers.

    Several tourists caught under this law were previously let off with just a fine, while at least one was given a prison sentence under the minimum limit.

    But in February, a court of appeal ordered that all offenders be given at least the minimum sentence of 12 years in prison.

    At least eight tourists from the US have since been prosecuted under this rule, per the attorney general's chambers.

    Another American tourist, 31-year-old Tyler Wenrich, was charged on Tuesday with possessing ammunition after he arrived in Turks and Caicos on a cruise ship, according to local police.

    "While going through a security checkpoint, it was discovered Mr Wenrich allegedly had ammunition in his possession," a police statement said.

    Amid the recent spate of tourist arrests, the US State Department published a September advisory warning US citizens that it wouldn't be able to secure their release if they brought firearms and ammo into Turks and Caicos.

    "We strongly encourage you to carefully check your luggage for stray ammunition or forgotten weapons before departing for TCI," the advisory said.

    The US State Department did not immediately respond to a request for comment sent outside regular business hours by Business Insider.

    Tourism is a key revenue for Turks and Caicos, and in 2019 provided about $787 million, or 65% of the island's GDP, to the territory, per a 2023 report by the Commonwealth Chamber of Commerce.

    The Caribbean archipelago is a popular port of call for US cruise ships, and this year has seen a 127% jump in tourist arrivals — the largest increase in the world — compared to 2019, the United Nations World Tourism Organization said in February.

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  • Microsoft’s going to keep spending big as AI continues to boom

    Satya Nadella standing in front of a Microsoft logo.
    Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella

    • Microsoft plans to boost spending on AI and cloud services as demand rises.
    • The company made $26.7 billion in revenue this quarter from cloud products, including Azure.
    • Microsoft's spending commitment follows leaked plans to acquire 1.8 million AI chips in 2024.

    Microsoft won't slow down its artificial intelligence spending spree anytime soon.

    In its third-quarter earnings call on Thursday, the tech giant said it will continue to invest in AI and cloud services because of growing demand and a rise in average spending on its cloud platform, Azure.

    Capital expenditure — what a company spends on buying or maintaining assets — will increase "materially," Amy Hood, Microsoft's chief financial officer, said on the call.

    "Currently, near-term AI demand is a bit higher than our available capacity," Hood said.

    The company spent nearly $11 billion on property and equipment in the third quarter — 66% more than it spent in the same period a year ago.

    Microsoft booked $26.7 billion in revenue in the third quarter from its cloud products, including Azure, according to the earnings statement.

    AI assistant Copilot grew its paid subscribers by 35% this quarter, to 1.8 million, CEO Satya Nadella said on the call.

    Microsoft's better-than-expected earnings sent stock up 4% in after-hours trading. Both revenue and earnings per share beat Wall Street estimates.

    The company's plans to spend more come on the heels of other big commitments to developing AI. Last week, BI reported on leaked documents showing the company plans to obtain 1.8 million AI chips by the end of 2024 and ramp up its data center capacity.

    The explosive interest in generative AI and foundation models is fueling a need for more data centers, including from Microsoft partner OpenAI, the startup behind ChatGPT and GPT-4.

    AI models need to be trained on mountains of data, which requires thousands of graphics processing units produced by companies like Nvidia. Microsoft is designing its own chips to reduce its reliance on Nvidia.

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  • Newly minted RNC chair Lara Trump says they’ve got lawsuits cooking in 81 states. There are 50 states.

    Lara Trump.
    Lara Trump was elected cochair of the Republican National Committee in March 2024. The former TV-news producer is married to former President Donald Trump's son, Eric.

    • Lara Trump says the RNC has been working hard to tackle voter fraud ahead of the upcoming elections.
    • "We have lawsuits in 81 states right now," Lara told Newsmax on Tuesday.
    • The gaffe drew multiple jokes from social media as well as from late-night host Jimmy Kimmel.

    Lara Trump may have had a little slip-up when announcing the Republican National Committee's approach to tackling voter fraud.

    The newly elected RNC cochair — who's married to former President Donald Trump's son, Eric — said in a Newsmax interview on Tuesday that the RNC has engaged poll watchers and lawyers to oversee and monitor the upcoming elections.

    "So in addition to these poll workers, we're gonna have lawyers in all the major polling locations across the country," she told Newsmax host Eric Bolling.

    During the interview, she also referenced the lawsuits the RNC has filed, questioning election integrity. Last month, the RNC filed a lawsuit against Michigan's secretary of state, Jocelyn Benson, claiming that the state's voter rolls are inflated.

    "We have lawsuits in 81 states right now," Trump told Bolling.

    The US, however, only has 50 states.

    https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

    Trump's gaffe prompted multiple jokes on social media, with some even throwing out comical explanations for how the US may actually have an additional 31 states no one knows about yet.

    "Maybe there are 81 states in the future,e and she's a time traveler," an X user named Mike Freeman said in a post.

    Late-night host Jimmy Kimmel couldn't resist mocking Lara Trump either when he referenced the moment in his monologue on Wednesday night.

    "In 81 states! Not just Tennessee, eleven-essee, twelve-essee. West Dakota, South Virginia. Indiana, Out-diana, you name it, they're suing," Kimmel joked.

    This isn't the first time the new RNC chair has been criticized for her remarks.

    Earlier in April, she also claimed on Newsmax that no other president has been treated as badly as Donald Trump.

    The former TV news producer was elected cochair of the RNC in March, along with former North Carolina GOP chair Michael Whatley. She received a glowing endorsement from Donald Trump, who tapped her for the position.

    "Lara is an extremely talented communicator and is dedicated to all that MAGA stands for," the former president said of his "very talented daughter-in-law" in February.

    That hasn't stopped Lara Trump's critics from slamming her. Last week, she fired back when a viewer questioned her intellect on her podcast, "The Right View with Lara Trump."

    "Nothing stupid over here; I've done my research," Lara said.

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