• Why has the De Grey share price leapt 36% in a month?

    jump in asx share price represented by man leaping up from one wooden pillar to the nextjump in asx share price represented by man leaping up from one wooden pillar to the next

    The De Grey Mining Ltd (ASX: DEG) share price has turned a corner since 12 July having bounced from a low of 73.5 cents.

    It now rests at $1 per share before the open on Friday, having stretched up 36% in that time.

    Comparatively, the S&P/ASX 300 Metals and Mining Index (ASX: XMM) has gained around 6.5% in the same time, and the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) around 6%.

    Series of fortunate events

    The company has released 5 price-sensitive updates in the last month of trade, starting with its quarterly cash flow and activities reports on 29 July.

    Following on just 4 days later, it posted the slide deck of its presentation at the 2022 Diggers and Dealers conference.

    Aside from that, ASX mining shares have also caught a bid over the past month, as explained above.

    And how could we forget gold, the beloved yellow metal has spiked 6% from 20 July, after plunging to 52-week lows. The question is, can gold now retrace the losses from its previous high, as seen below?

    TradingView Chart

    It would be terrific for the company if it did – on August 1 De Grey announced a “major gold intersection” at its Diucon site extending its previous mineral resource estimate by 200 metres.

    Hence with these factors combined it’s been a bullish 30 days of trading for the company’s shares.

    Zooming out, and De Grey’s share price has followed a similar trajectory to gold over the past 12 months, all the way up until this point.

    Note that it is down almost 17% in that time or more than 16% this year to date.

    The post Why has the De Grey share price leapt 36% in a month? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • How big is the CBA dividend yield right now?

    A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.

    A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.

    Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) will soon be paying out its final dividend for the 2022 financial year.

    CBA reported its FY22 result earlier this week for the 12 months to June 2022. It included profit growth, which enabled dividend growth from the big four ASX bank share.

    Reporting season is a great way for investors to get an insight into how a business has been performing. For the income-focused investors, we also get to find out how many dollars are headed our way.

    CBA dividend yield for FY22

    The big four ASX bank declared a final dividend of $2.10 per share, which was an increase of around 5% compared to the prior corresponding period.

    Based on just this half-year dividend payment, shareholders will be getting a grossed-up dividend yield of around 3%.

    But, CBA’s annual yield is made up of more than just one dividend. The full-year dividend was $3.85 per share, which was an increase of 10% over FY21.

    Using the full-year payout, the FY22 dividend yield for CBA shares is 5.4%.

    The dividend payout ratio was 68% of the bank’s cash earnings, or 75% after normalising for long run loan loss rates. It’s targeting a full year payout ratio of 70% to 80% of cash net profit after tax (NPAT) and an interim payout of around 70% of cash NPAT.

    Profit growth

    CBA said that the bank’s capital position and disciplined execution continue to support strong and sustainable returns to shareholders.

    The big four ASX bank reported that its cash NPAT went up 11% to $9.6 billion and statutory NPAT grew by 9% to $9.67 billion. Profit generation can have a key influence on the CBA share price.

    CBA said its profit was supported by operational performance and volume growth in core businesses as well as “sound” credit quality and the reduction of provisions related to the uncertainties associated with the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Interestingly, the bank’s business lending and business deposits grew faster than the consumer side.

    The pre-provision profit, which excludes one-off items, grew by 3.1% to $13.2 billion.

    One thing that detracted from profit growth was the net interest margin (NIM) which fell 18 basis points to 1.9%. This decline occurred due to a “large increase in low yielding liquid assets and lower home loan margins.” The bank said its medium-term outlook remains unchanged, with margins expected to increase in a rising rate environment.

    Expected FY23 dividend yield

    FY22 has already finished. We’re more than a month into FY23. So, a worthwhile question is what the yield will be for the new financial year.

    According to CMC Markets, CBA is projected to pay a dividend of $4.25 per share in FY23. That payout would translate into a grossed-up dividend yield of 6%.

    CBA share price snapshot

    Over the last month, CBA shares have risen by 7.7%.

    The post How big is the CBA dividend yield right now? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Commonwealth Bank Of Australia right now?

    Before you consider Commonwealth Bank Of Australia, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Commonwealth Bank Of Australia wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Better ASX travel buy: Flight Centre or Webjet?

    A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.

    With international borders well and truly open, two years of pent-up demand and a desire to escape the winter has seen droves of Aussies pack their bags and take off to warmer climates. 

    Two popular ASX travel shares riding this recovery are Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) and Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB).

    These companies go head to head in the Australian leisure market. But while Flight Centre has a strong presence in corporate travel, Webjet is a big player in the business-to-business (B2B) hotel accommodation space. 

    Fresh off an overseas trip, I’m keen to put these ASX travel shares under the spotlight to see which company might be the better buy.

    The case to upgrade Flight Centre shares

    For months now, Flight Centre has been the most heavily shorted share on the ASX. But it might not be all doom and gloom.

    While borders were shut and revenue shrivelled up, Flight Centre acted swiftly to significantly reduce its cost base, realign and modernise its brands, and accelerate its investment in technology.

    Most notably, the company cut its Australian brick-and-mortar store network in half, meaning it’s now emerged from COVID a much leaner business. Importantly, the company believes it’s still able to reach 95% of its customers despite these store closures. All the while, competing travel agents have shuttered up shop and exited the market for good.

    With the travel environment more complex now than ever before, travellers are turning to experts – like those at Flight Centre – to navigate the complexity and provide peace of mind.

    Flight Centre’s corporate travel business has also been making inroads since the pandemic, growing market share organically through new big account wins and high retention. The company’s FCM business won 12 of its largest 20 accounts during the pandemic. And since the first half of FY21, it’s secured accounts with an annual spend of around $4.5 billion. 

    The case to double click on Webjet shares

    Compared to Flight Centre, Webjet is a much more capital-light business since it doesn’t run a network of physical stores. Nor does it employ an army of salespeople to operate these stores.

    Even still, it’s also emerged from COVID as a leaner, more cost-effective company. Its Webbeds ‘bed bank’ business has slashed costs by 31% compared to pre-pandemic levels and is on track to be 20% more cost efficient when it’s back operating at scale.

    What’s more, Webbeds has its sights set on moving up one spot to become the number one global B2B accommodation provider. This strategy is seeing Webbeds target a greater market opportunity through channel expansion, diversifying into untapped domestic markets, and an increased presence in North America.

    Webjet is also targeting significant market share growth in its online travel agency (OTA) business, which already captured more than 50% of the OTA flights market in Australia and New Zealand prior to COVID. As the structural shift to online continues to accelerate, Webjet is aiming to outperform the domestic bookings market by 1.5x, underpinned by its brand strength and unique technology.

    Webjet’s financial year ends on 31 March, so the ASX travel share has already handed in its FY22 results. The company’s operating leverage was on full display, with revenue growing 63% in the second half compared to the first, while expenses only ticked up by 10%. 

    Is there turbulence ahead for ASX travel shares?

    I’ve presented the blue-sky scenario for these ASX travel shares but it’s important to be wary of the risks. After all, Flight Centre shares are attracting short interest for a reason. At the moment, 15% of Flight Centre shares are held as short positions, while Webjet’s short interest stands at around 7%.

    It appears the market is concerned that the travel recovery may take longer than expected, hampered by inflation and rising living costs. 

    At the same time, the industry is battling a lack of capacity from airlines, particularly on international routes, leading to higher airfares which could stifle demand. 

    As the dust settles from COVID, more travellers have been opting to venture domestically rather than overseas. This is an unwelcome trend for travel agents as they earn higher margins on international travel.

    Looking out over the longer term, there are also debates over the relevance of travel agents and if video conferencing tools have changed the corporate travel landscape for good.

    Which is the better ASX travel buy?

    Flight Centre is a proven performer with an aligned founder at the helm and a long history of creating shareholder value.

    That said, I’m attracted to the scalability of Webjet’s model, its earnings potential, and the runway for organic growth ahead for its Webbeds business.

    The post Better ASX travel buy: Flight Centre or Webjet? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Cathryn Goh has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited and Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 exciting ETFs for ASX investors to buy today

    ETF written in blue with a man and woman sitting on their laptops.

    ETF written in blue with a man and woman sitting on their laptops.

    If you’re wanting to diversify your portfolio quickly, then exchange traded funds (ETFs) could help you achieve this. But which ETFs should you consider buying?

    Listed below are two popular ETFs that are highly rated:

    BetaShares Asia Technology Tigers ETF (ASX: ASIA)

    The first ETF to look at is the BetaShares Asia Technology Tigers ETF. It gives investors exposure to approximately 50 of the Asian region’s largest technology and ecommerce companies.

    Through this ETF you’ll be buying a slice of tech giants such as Alibaba, Baidu, Infosys, JD.com, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan Dianping, Pinduoduo, Samsung, and Tencent Holdings.

    In respect to Tencent, it is a multinational technology conglomerate and one of the largest companies in the region (and the world).

    Tencent is best known for its communication and social platforms, Weixin, WeChat and QQ. These are the dominant platforms in the region by some distance. For example, earlier this year, the company revealed that WeChat users had reached 1,288 million.

    The company also has plenty of other businesses such as Tencent Music, Tencent Meeting, and Tencent Games, to name just three.

    BetaShares Global Cybersecurity ETF (ASX: HACK)

    Another ETF for investors to consider buying is the BetaShares Global Cybersecurity ETF. This fund tracks the performance of an index covering the leading companies in the growing global cybersecurity sector.

    With cybercrime on the rise and demand for cyber security services growing fast, the companies included in the fund appear well-placed for long term growth. This includes Accenture, Cisco, Cloudflare, Crowdstrike, and Okta.

    In respect to CrowdStrike, it provides the popular Falcon platform that delivers incident response and forensic analysis services. These have been designed to help businesses understand whether a breach has occurred.

    The post 2 exciting ETFs for ASX investors to buy today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended BETA CYBER ETF UNITS. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended BETA CYBER ETF UNITS. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BetaShares Asia Technology Tigers ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Is the Telstra share price a buy after the telco’s FY22 results?

    A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.

    A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.

    The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price dropped into the red on Thursday. This followed the release of the company’s full year results for FY 2022.

    The telco giant’s shares ended the day down by 1.25% to $3.96.

    What did analysts say about the result?

    Telstra delivered a result that was largely in line with the market’s expectations and its final dividend increase to 8.5 cents per share was a big (pleasant) surprise.

    In light of this, the weakness in the Telstra share price appears to have been driven by its guidance for FY 2023.

    Telstra has guided to EBITDA growth of 7.5% to 10% in FY 2023, which wasn’t quite as strong as analysts at Goldman Sachs were expecting.

    The broker has commented:

    Telstra reported FY22 EBITDA/EPS that were +1%/+9% vs. GSe, but in-line excl. $116mn of legacy network disposals. Lower Digicel & NBN one-off earnings expectations resulted in FY23 EBITDA guidance -1% vs. GSe prior. T25 targets were mostly re-iterated, except for returning D&IP to growth in FY24E (with the inter-capital fibre build being more IRU/cash focused). However, the key surprise was the 8.5¢ final dividend (GSe 8.0¢).

    Is the Telstra share price good value?

    While Goldman sees value in the Telstra share price, it doesn’t see enough to recommend it as a buy just yet.

    According to the note, the broker has retained its neutral rating and $4.40 price target on the company’s shares. Based on the current Telstra share price, this implies potential upside of 11% for investors.

    But that’s not including dividends. Goldman is forecasting a 17 cents per share fully franked dividend in FY 2023, which would mean a 4.3% yield. This would stretch the total return on offer with its shares to over 15%. Not bad for neutral!

    The post Is the Telstra share price a buy after the telco’s FY22 results? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Telstra Corporation Ltd right now?

    Before you consider Telstra Corporation Ltd, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Telstra Corporation Ltd wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ‘Back to a growth mindset’: Expert names ASX share ready to take off

    two children squat down in the dirt with gardening tools and a watering can wearing denim overalls and smiling very sweetly.two children squat down in the dirt with gardening tools and a watering can wearing denim overalls and smiling very sweetly.

    It’s not often that a company sees a massive geographic market shut down overnight.

    But that’s exactly what happened to Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) in 2020.

    It was a frightening time when the first wave of COVID-19 broke out around the world. 

    There were no vaccines yet, and economies tanked around the globe after individual freedoms were curtailed to stop the spread.

    In a not outrageous suggestion, the Australian government called for an independent study into the origins of the pandemic.

    Unfortunately, China took exception to this. Beijing retaliated by imposing crippling tariffs on certain imported goods from Australia.

    Wine was one of those newly taxed items, and instantly one of Treasury Wine’s biggest markets disappeared into thin air.

    ‘Successfully repositioned’ business

    Fast forward two years, and Treasury’s management has done its best to pivot away from the world’s largest country.

    Investment fund WAM Leaders Ltd (ASX: WLE) has high hopes for its holding, according to portfolio manager John Ayoub.

    “Under the leadership of Tim Ford… Treasury Wine Estates has successfully repositioned itself away from China,” he said in a memo to clients.

    “The business is now in a much stronger position than it was prior to the tariffs, allowing the company to shift back to a growth mindset.”

    To demonstrate, Ayoub referred to how the acquisition of US business Frank Family Vineyards late last year “filled a key gap” in that country. 

    “This transaction came with both cost synergies as well as revenue cross-sell and distribution synergies, and has created a new growth pillar for the US business.”

    Defensive in economic downturns

    The other tailwind for Treasury Wine is that it’s in an industry that should be resilient through imminent consumer belt-tightening from rising interest rates.

    “In the current environment, Treasury Wine Estates is set to outperform,” said Ayoub.

    “Wine consumption has proven defensive in previous economic downturns, the company is well positioned to pass through inflationary pressures and it has well-recognised brands and strong vintages that are in perennial demand.”

    The company has an impressive array of new labels launching in the coming months.

    “In fact, 4 August marked the release of the latest vintage Penfolds from Australia, California and for the first time, France,” Ayoub said.

    “Later this year, we should also see the release of the inaugural Chinese Penfolds.”

    Treasury Wine is scheduled to report its financials on Thursday. The stock price is currently pretty much where it started the year.

    Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish agreed last week that Treasury Wine has a bright future ahead of it.

    “The stock is not overly cheap but solid year-on-year growth looks achievable to justify an FY23 PE of 22x,” he said.

    “We like Treasury Wine Estates, plus it remains a potential takeover target although tight money markets may delay any action out of Europe.”

    The post ‘Back to a growth mindset’: Expert names ASX share ready to take off appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • 2 ASX 200 dividend shares with ~7%+ yields that experts rate as buys

    A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer

    A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer

    Are you looking for dividend shares for your income portfolio?

    If you are, you may want to check out the two listed below that have been rated as buys by brokers.

    Here’s what you need to know about these ASX 200 dividend shares:

    Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN)

    The first ASX 200 dividend share that could be in the buy zone is Harvey Norman.

    It is of course a retail giant selling furniture, bedding, computers, communications, and consumer electrical products. In addition, the company invests in property, leases premises, and provides consumer finance and other commercial loans.

    It has been tipped as a buy by the team at Goldman Sachs. Its analysts like Harvey Norman due to their belief that it is well-placed to defend its strong market position from online disruption thanks to its favourable customer demographics.

    In addition, Goldman is expecting some big dividend yields in the near term. Its analysts are forecasting fully franked dividends per share of 36 cents in FY 2022 and 36.3 cents in FY 2023. Based on the current Harvey Norman share price of $4.47, this will mean yields of 8%.

    Goldman has a buy rating and $4.60 price target on its shares.

    South32 Ltd (ASX: S32)

    Another ASX 200 dividend share to consider is South32. It is a diversified mining and metals company producing alumina, aluminium, bauxite, copper, energy and metallurgical coal, lead, manganese, nickel, silver, and zinc.

    Thanks partly to its exposure to metals necessary for the decarbonisation megatrend, analysts are expecting South32 to generate significant earnings and free cash flow over the coming years. This is also expected to underpin some very big dividends.

    Morgans, for example, is forecasting fully franked dividends per share of ~28 cents in FY 2022 and ~35 cents in FY 2023. Based on the current South32 share price of $4.04, this will mean yields of 6.9% and 8.7%, respectively.

    The broker also sees plenty of value in the South32 share price at current levels. It has an add rating and $6.00 price target on its shares.

    The post 2 ASX 200 dividend shares with ~7%+ yields that experts rate as buys appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ASX shares are rallying! Here’s what to do now: experts

    A couple sit in their home looking at a phone screen as if discussing a financial matter.A couple sit in their home looking at a phone screen as if discussing a financial matter.

    After a soul-crushing first half of 2022, both ASX shares and US stocks have really picked up in the past few weeks.

    The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has now gained almost 10% since its 20 June trough. The S&P 500 Index (SP: .INX) has climbed 14.8% over a similar period.

    And amazingly, the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQ: .IXIC) has now rocketed more than 20% since mid-June.

    That’s a bull market, believe it or not.

    Thursday morning was something of a watershed moment as the latest figures pushed the yearly US inflation percentage downwards.

    That aroused stock investors no end, pushing the NASDAQ up 2.9% for the day. The ASX 200 followed with a 1.1% climb.

    This is all very exciting. Some people might even dare to think ASX shares have now passed the bottom.

    However, multiple experts are warning against complacency.

    ‘Too early to say we’re out of the woods’

    While DeVere Group chief executive Nigel Green welcomed the retreat of US inflation, he cautioned that investors needed to understand the full picture before partying like it’s 1999.

    “It is still too early to say we’re out of the woods with inflation and the impact it could have on the Fed’s decision-making,” he said.

    “Some of the drivers of the 40-year high inflation rate we’ve been seeing are subsiding — commodity prices are coming down, and supply chain issues are decreasing. But we still have rising wages, and this will continue to drive core inflation.”

    MFS Investment Management portfolio manager Rob Almeida warned investors that none of the behaviours typically seen when the market bottoms have yet to materialise.

    “Historically, markets have tended to bottom when investors give up — stop caring, vow never to invest again and no longer ask ‘Is this the bottom?’” he said.

    “I’ve lived through that twice and I don’t think we’re there yet. But when investors stop asking whether we are, we will be.”

    Green cautioned investors against getting caught up in the excitement and buying anything and everything.

    “You must buy wisely in this volatile environment,” he said.

    “Investors’ response should be to avoid complacency and a ‘buy everything’ mindset and stick to basic investment fundamentals.” 

    ASX shares still under stress

    Local experts further warned that ASX shares will be under pressure for the foreseeable future.

    It seems the steep rise in interest rates over the past three months is starting to bite. Consumer advocacy group Choice found this week that 90% of Australians have seen their expenses balloon in the past year.

    “Almost all households are feeling the pressure of price rises,” said Choice editor Marg Rafferty.

    “Cost of living pressures continue to be a major issue for Australians with our latest Consumer Pulse data showing 23% of households are struggling to get by, which is up from 18% in June last year.”

    Furthermore, Nucleus Wealth chief investment officer Damien Klassen reckons ASX shares are still overvalued.

    On face value, the ASX currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 14.7 times, which is significantly cheaper than the rest of the world at 16.1 times.

    But the trouble is that the dominant mining and banking shares skew that measurement with their slim PE ratios.

    “For resources, it is because it has volatile revenues and even more volatile profits. For banks, the extreme leverage used increases the risk,” Klassen said on a Nucleus blog post.

    “If you strip these sectors out and compare Australia excluding banks and resources, it no longer looks cheap. Actually, it’s well above the 90th percentile, close to as expensive relative to the world as it has ever been.”

    The post ASX shares are rallying! Here’s what to do now: experts appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in S&P/ASX 200 right now?

    Before you consider S&P/ASX 200, you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and S&P/ASX 200 wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • Down 20% since March, is this ASX 200 share a misunderstood investment opportunity?

    A woman sits on sofa pondering a question.A woman sits on sofa pondering a question.

    It’s been a rough few months for the share price of S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) favourite JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH).

    The electronics retailer’s stock is trading 19% lower than the 52-week high it posted back in March.

    As of Thursday’s close, the JB Hi-Fi share price was $46.04.

    But one fundie is sceptical of bearish opinions on the stock, saying “it’s a great example … of the consensus view being one that [could] be wrong”.

    Let’s take a look at what Forager co-founder and chief investment officer Steven Johnson likes about the ASX 200 COVID-19 winner’s post-pandemic future.

    Does this ASX 200 share offer an electric future?

    This year has been an ultimately downhill rollercoaster for the JB Hi-Fi share price, but the company’s earnings have stayed strong.

    In fact, it was only last month it posted its preliminary results for financial year 2022. It recorded 3.5% more sales, 6.8% higher earnings, and a 7.7% increase in after-tax profits compared to those of financial year 2021.

    They’re results that impressed Johnson as much as they did the market. He admitted that, while Forager hasn’t snapped up JB Hi-Fi shares as yet, the company has piqued the fundie’s attention. He labelled JB Hi-Fi:

    A really good example of something that we are looking at at the moment.

    This is a stock that is quite well known by the market … but if you go and look at broker consensus for this business, the assumption about the next two years is that its profitability is going to halve, it’s going to go right back to 2019 levels.

    Indeed, brokers are split on their outlook for the ASX 200 stock and its share price, as The Motley Fool Australia’s Bronwyn Allen recently reported.

    But Johnson appears to have seen through clouds of doubt to make out a “thesis … that was once the consensus view”. The fundie continued:

    This is a wonderful business that has a very, very low cost of doing business [and] maybe it won’t shrink as much as people think. And it may even grow over the long term like it has for most of the past 20 years.

    The JB Hi-Fi share price is currently almost 6% lower than it was at the start of the year. That means it’s outperformed the ASX 200 by around 1% in that time. It has also gained 80% over the last five years.

    The post Down 20% since March, is this ASX 200 share a misunderstood investment opportunity? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

    When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* Scott just revealed what he believes could be the “five best ASX stocks” for investors to buy right now. These stocks are trading at near dirt-cheap prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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  • ResMed share price on watch following solid FY22 growth

    A man waking up happy with a smile on his face and arms outstretched representing the hefty Adairs dividend yield

    A man waking up happy with a smile on his face and arms outstretched representing the hefty Adairs dividend yield

    The ResMed Inc (ASX: RMD) share price will be one to watch on Friday morning.

    This follows the release of sleep treatment focused medical device company’s full year results.

    ResMed share price on watch amid solid FY 2022 growth

    • Revenue up 12% year over year to US$3.6 billion
    • Gross margin contracted 140 basis points to 57.7%
    • Operating income up 11% to US$1 billion
    • Non-GAAP net income up 9% to US$850.8 million

    What happened in FY 2022?

    For the 12 months ended 30 June, ResMed reported a 12% (13% in constant currency) increase in revenue to US$3.6 billion.

    A key driver of this strong growth was the U.S., Canada, and Latin America segment. It reported a 15% increase in revenue to US$2,382.6 million thanks to a 24% increase in device revenue and a 7% lift in software-as-a-service revenues.

    Combined Europe, Asia, and other markets supported this with a 7% (11% in constant currency) increase in sales to US$1,195.5 million. This growth was split evenly between its devices and masks businesses.

    In addition, the company’s revenue was boosted by a competitor recall. Management estimates that incremental fourth quarter revenue in the range of US$60 million to US$70 million related to the recall.

    And while its margins were impacted by higher freight and manufacturing costs, this couldn’t stop ResMed from delivering solid non-GAAP net income growth of 9% to US$850.8 million.

    This allowed the ResMed board to declare a final quarterly cash dividend of US$0.44 per share, which is up 5% on the prior corresponding period.

    How does this compare to expectations?

    Potentially good news for the ResMed share price is that this result appears to have come in ahead of expectations.

    For example, the market consensus estimate was for a full year profit after tax of US$825.6 million.

    However, it is worth noting that the ResMed share price is trading flat in after hours trade on Wall Street after falling 1% overnight. This could be a sign that today will be a red day despite the earnings beat.

    Management commentary

    ResMed’s CEO, Mick Farrell, was very pleased with the company’s performance in FY 2022. He said:

    Our fourth quarter and full-year fiscal year 2022 results demonstrate strong growth and ResMed’s market leadership. During the quarter, we saw continued adoption of our most advanced platform innovation to date, the 100% cloud-connectable AirSense 11. We launched this solution into several new countries in Europe while continuing to see strong sales in the U.S.

    We also introduced our newest device to meet the needs of an industry crisis in PAP supply, the AirSense 10 Card-to-Cloud solution, during the quarter. The card-to-cloud device was launched into the U.S. and many other markets and is designed to work without an embedded communications module. This redesign allowed us to increase deliveries to customers and ultimately to get many more patients onto life-saving sleep apnea and respiratory care therapy. Both of these platforms, as well as our legacy, market-leading, 100% cloud-connected AirSense 10 device, will support solid growth throughout FY23.

    Outlook

    No guidance has been given for FY 2023. However, Farrell spoke positively about the company’s growth prospects and its medium term goal. He concluded:

    Our global team remains focused on supporting patients, providers, and physicians — our top priority is to get products directly into the hands of patients who need therapy most. Looking ahead, we are confident in our ability to grow steadily throughout fiscal year 2023 and to continue delivering for all stakeholders. We are investing in R&D to drive accelerated adoption of digital health solutions in sleep apnea, COPD, and outside-hospital care, as we progress towards our goal to improve 250 million lives in 2025.

    The post ResMed share price on watch following solid FY22 growth appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Resmed Inc. right now?

    Before you consider Resmed Inc., you’ll want to hear this.

    Motley Fool Investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Resmed Inc. wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.* And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that are better buys.

    See The 5 Stocks
    *Returns as of August 4 2022

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    Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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