• 70% of institutional investors expect gold price to rise in 2026

    A woman wearing a top of gold coins and large gold hoop earrings and a heavy gold bracelet stands amid a shower of gold coins with her mouth open wide and an excited look on her face.

    What an astounding year for gold, with the commodity price rising by more than 60% to above US$4,200 per ounce in 2025.

    And that was after a 27% rise in 2024, which at the time was gold’s best annual performance since 2010.

    The gold price reached an all-time high of US$4,381.58 per ounce in October after a phenomenal two-year run.

    But can it go even further?

    Experts seem to think so, with a Goldman Sachs poll revealing a high level of confidence among institutional investors.

    Before we get into the poll results, let’s recap what’s happened to the gold price this year.

    Why did the gold price rip in 2025?

    Strong and continuing structural demand from central banks created an incredible tailwind for the gold price this year.

    Goldman Sachs Research analyst, Lina Thomas, estimates that central banks have increased their gold purchases by about 5x since 2022.

    The catalyst was Russia’s foreign-currency reserves being frozen following its invasion of Ukraine.

    This year, global concern about the reliability of the US dollar as the reserve currency has encouraged further hoarding of gold.

    Meanwhile, investors have piled into ASX gold shares and gold ETFs, pushing their share and unit prices to new heights.

    This year, the S&P/ASX All Ords Gold Index (ASX: XGD) has surged 107% versus a 5% bump for the S&P/ASX All Ords Index (ASX: XAO).

    The biggest gold mining share, Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST), is up 75% to $27.11 per share.

    The Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price has soared 143% to $11.75.

    Newmont Corporation CDI (ASX: NEM) shares are up 130% to $138.76.

    Among the gold ETFs, Betashares Global Gold Miners Currency Hedged ETF (ASX: MNRS) has rocketed 136% to $14.70 per unit.

    The VanEck Gold Miners AUD ETF (ASX: GDX) is up 127% to $125.79 per unit.

    Insto investors confident gold can go further in 2026

    Goldman Sachs conducted a poll of 900 institutional clients from 12 to 14 November.

    The broker found almost 70% of investors expect the gold price to exceed US$4,500 per ounce by the end of next year.

    More than one in three investors — or 36% — anticipate the gold price exceeding US$5,000 per ounce by this time next year.

    About 22% of investors expect the gold price to finish 2026 somewhere between US$4,000 and $US4,500 per ounce.

    Only a very small portion of insto investors were bearish on the gold price.

    About 6% expect gold to fall to between US$3,500 and $US4,000 per ounce, and 3% predict it will go below US$3,500 per ounce.

    The investors cited central bank buying (38%) and fiscal concerns (27%) as the likely primary drivers of the gold price next year.

    Russel Chesler, VanEck’s Head of Investments and Capital Markets, says there is always a place for gold in investment portfolios.

    In an article, Chesler said:

    Unlike other assets, gold is not tied to corporate earnings, interest rate policies or government fiscal decisions.

    It moves to the beat of its own drum, providing valuable diversification.

    Gold, we think, has an important role to play in portfolios.

    The post 70% of institutional investors expect gold price to rise in 2026 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Northern Star Resources Limited right now?

    Before you buy Northern Star Resources Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Northern Star Resources Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • These 2 ASX growth shares are ideal for Australians

    Green arrow with green stock prices symbolising a rising share price.

    ASX growth shares can generate strong returns for investors over the long term; however, it may be a good idea to consider investments that provide exposure to markets outside of Australia.

    The local economy is a great place to operate, but there are also significant opportunities elsewhere. Australia is a relatively small part of the global economy.

    Let’s look at two ASX growth share investments that could deliver strong returns, in my opinion.

    Betashares Global Quality Leaders ETF (ASX: QLTY)

    This exchange-traded fund (ETF) focuses on investing in 150 of the highest-quality businesses from across the world.

    These businesses rank well on four different quality metrics. First, they have a high return on equity (ROE). Second, they have a low debt-to-capital ratio. Third, they have strong cash flow ability. Finally, they provide earnings stability (and growth).

    When you put all of those factors together, it’s no wonder the fund has managed to return an average of 15% per year since November 2018 (when it was started). Of course, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. With a return like that, I’d call that an ASX growth share (it’s listed on the ASX, and it’s about investing in shares).

    Another reason to like this fund is the diversification. I like that there are four sectors with a double-digit allocation within the portfolio: IT, industrials, healthcare, and financials. IT seems like the most compelling industry, with strong margins and growth prospects, so it’s pleasing that it makes up more than a third of the portfolio.

    I think many Australian investors could benefit by having a bigger allocation to good assets outside of Australia, and this investment could be a good way to get that exposure.

    Tuas Ltd (ASX: TUA)

    Tuas is one of the largest positions in my portfolio that I’d describe as an ASX growth share.

    It’s a Singaporean telecommunications business that is rapidly capturing market share through its value offerings across different price points.

    The company’s FY25 results included a lot of pleasing growth for shareholders. Active mobile subscribers grew by approximately 200,000 to 1.25 million, and active broadband services rose by around 23,000 to 25,592.

    This helped revenue increase by 29% to $151.3 million, and operating profit (EBITDA) grew by 38% to $68.4 million. The net profit after tax (NPAT) increased by $11.3 million to $6.9 million.

    One of the most important factors of the company’s future success is the rising profit margins, which will allow the ASX growth share’s net profit to rise at a faster pace than revenue, which is usually what investors value a business on.

    FY25 saw the company’s EBITDA margin increase to 45%, up from 42%, representing a pleasing rate of improvement. I think there’s room for further growth.

    There are two factors that I believe could contribute significantly to the business’ growth in the coming years. First, it’s acquiring a Singapore competitor called M1, which will significantly improve the company’s market share and profitability. Second, the company could expand into other nearby Asian countries such as Malaysia and Indonesia.

    The post These 2 ASX growth shares are ideal for Australians appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Betashares Capital Ltd – Global Quality Leaders Etf right now?

    Before you buy Betashares Capital Ltd – Global Quality Leaders Etf shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Betashares Capital Ltd – Global Quality Leaders Etf wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Tuas. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Where I’d invest $20,000 into ASX shares right now

    Rocket going up above mountains, symbolising a record high.

    I think it’s a great time to invest in ASX shares after a recent bout of volatility. Some of the best investments are trading more cheaply.

    The best businesses don’t often become cheap, but I believe it’s always a good time to invest in companies with strong economic moats, even if they still don’t appear good value.

    If I had $20,000 to invest in ASX shares, I’d happily invest in the four in this article in a heartbeat. I did recently put money into the first three and I have an intention to buy more of the fourth stock of my list, if the valuation stays as appealing.

    TechnologyOne Ltd (ASX: TNE)

    The enterprise resource planning (ERP) software business has fallen 23% in the last month alone, despite reporting a strong level of growth in its recent result.

    FY25 saw revenue rise 18% and profit before tax (PBT) growth of 19%. The company continues to unlock at least 15% revenue growth from its existing client base each year by investing significantly in its software for customers.

    By growing revenue at 15% per year, it can double its top line within five years, which is a strong growth rate. If the company continues winning new customers in the UK, it’ll continue to be on a very pleasing path.

    According to the forecast on CMC Markets, the ASX share is trading at 58x FY26’s estimated earnings.

    MFF Capital Investments Ltd (ASX: MFF)

    This is best known as a listed investment company (LIC) that focuses on investing in high-quality international shares. Its portfolio includes Alphabet, Mastercard, Visa, Meta Platforms, Amazon and Microsoft.

    Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns, but according to CMC Markets, it has delivered an average return per year of 15.8% over the last five years.

    Aside from the growing dividend, one of the most appealing aspects of this investment is that it’s usually trading at a 10% discount to its underlying net tangible asset (NTA) value. Who doesn’t like buying a piece of great businesses at a double-digit percentage discount?

    MFF is one of my biggest holdings and I’m even more optimistic on the ASX share after its recent acquisition of the funds management business Montaka.  

    VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (ASX: MOAT)

    This exchange-traded fund (ETF) was one of my latest investments and I’m glad that it’s now part of my portfolio.

    I really like the investment strategy of this fund and it gives me exposure to shares I wouldn’t own a small piece of otherwise.

    It invests in US shares that are seen as having economic moats (competitive advantages) that are expected to endure for at least two decades, allowing the business to generate strong profits. Additionally, the fund only buys when those businesses are trading at attractive value.

    Past returns are not a guarantee of future returns, but I think it can continue its long-term track record of net returns in the mid-teens.

    Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW)

    The Temple & Webster share price has fallen heavily – 31% at the time of writing – since the ASX share’s AGM trading update which showed sales growth had slowed in the last few months.

    But, I’m expecting ongoing double-digit sales growth to enable the business to become much larger and unlock strong operating leverage.

    The company is investing in technology and AI to improve its costs, boost the customer experience and deliver stronger conversion.

    If its core offering continues growing, combined with impressive home improvement and trade and commercial sales, its future looks positive. I hope to buy more shares of this great business in the coming weeks if the valuation stays at this level (or goes lower).

    The post Where I’d invest $20,000 into ASX shares right now appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Technology One Limited right now?

    Before you buy Technology One Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Technology One Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Mff Capital Investments, Technology One, Temple & Webster Group, and VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, Mastercard, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Technology One, Temple & Webster Group, and Visa. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alphabet, Amazon, Mastercard, Meta Platforms, Mff Capital Investments, Microsoft, Technology One, Temple & Webster Group, VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF, and Visa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • ASX gaming stocks: Should you try your luck?

    Star Entertainment share price Rising ASX share price represented by casino players throwing chips in the air

    S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) stocks closed higher on Tuesday, up 0.17% to 8,579.7 points.

    In this article, we reveal analysts’ latest opinions on ASX gaming stocks, including sector leader Aristocrat Leisure Ltd (ASX: ALL).

    Let’s take a look.

    ASX gaming stocks: Buy, hold, or sell?

    Let’s start with the ASX gaming sector leaders.

    Aristocrat Leisure Ltd (ASX: ALL)

    This Australian poker machine and digital games developer is the largest ASX gaming stock with a market capitalisation of $36 billion.

    The Aristocrat share price closed at $58.06 on Tuesday, down 0.6%.

    Last month, Aristocrat revealed an 11% increase in revenue to $6,297 million for FY25.

    Morgans responded by raising its rating from accumulate to buy and cutting its 12-month price target from $77 to $73.

    The broker commented:

    Headline numbers were broadly in line with both our and market expectations, though a few soft spots emerged beneath the surface.

    Encouragingly, management expects the business to return to its normalised growth range moving forward.

    UBS reiterated its buy rating following Aristocrat’s results, with a price target of $72.70.

    Light & Wonder Inc. CDI (ASX: LNW)

    Light & Wonder is a US company and the second-largest ASX gaming stock with a market cap of $12 billion.

    The Light & Wonder share price finished the session at $153.27, up 0.3% yesterday.

    Morgans has a buy rating on Light & Wonder shares with a price target of $175 following the company’s 3Q FY25 results.

    The broker said:

    LNW delivered record margin expansion across all three segments, with iGaming operating leverage the standout performer, while land-based margins surprised on favourable product mix as Grover scales and premium installed base momentum continues.

    UBS reiterated its buy rating on this ASX gaming stock with a much more ambitious price target of $206.

    If you prefer small-caps…

    Jumbo Interactive Ltd (ASX: JIN)

    Australian lottery and online gaming services provider Jumbo Interactive has a market cap of $675 million.

    Jumbo Interactive shares closed at $10.76 on Tuesday, up 1%.

    Morgans noted substantial M&A activity in October as part of the company’s pivot from the business-to-business (b2b)/software-as-a-service (SaaS) segment to the higher-growth business-to-consumer (b2c) market.

    Jumbo acquired the UK’s Dream Car Giveaways, and bought its first US competition, the Dream Giveaway, in October.

    The broker maintained its buy recommendation on Jumbo Interactive shares and lifted its price target from $15.90 to $16.60.

    Morgans said:

    We view this as disciplined capital allocation: Acquiring proven profitable assets at reasonable multiples with clear operational improvement pathways.

    The two B2C acquisitions combined add a base line A$24m in pro-forma EBITDA.

    Jarden reiterated its buy rating with a price target of $13.40 to $13.70 on the ASX gaming stock.

    Morgan Stanley also has a buy rating but is more optimistic on share price growth with a $16.80 target.

    betr Entertainment Ltd (ASX: BBT)

    Morgans reckons sports and racing betting group betr Entertainment is a great buy.

    The ASX gaming stock touched a 52-week low of 21 cents on Friday, down 25% over the past year.

    Yesterday, Betr shares closed at 22 cents, up 4.8%.

    Morgans maintained a buy rating on betr shares after the company reported a 27% lift in turnover for 1Q FY26.

    The broker said:

    Turnover, gross win, and net win margins all exceeded forecasts, supported by improved customer engagement and product mix.

    We take encouragement that the recent lift in brand and product investment is now translating into operating momentum.

    The balance sheet remains in a strong position, providing flexibility to pursue both organic and inorganic growth opportunities.

    The broker has a price target of 43 cents on the ASX gaming stock, suggesting a potential doubling of the share price over the next year.

    Betr Entertainment has a market cap of $218 million.

    The post ASX gaming stocks: Should you try your luck? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Aristocrat Leisure Limited right now?

    Before you buy Aristocrat Leisure Limited shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Aristocrat Leisure Limited wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Jumbo Interactive and Light & Wonder Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Jumbo Interactive and Light & Wonder Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Is the worst finally over for CSL shares?

    A young man wearing a backpack in a city street crosses his fingers and hopes for the best.

    CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares dipped 0.11% for the day on Tuesday. At the close of the ASX, the share price was $183.44. The decline is small though, and off the back of a 3.64% increase over the past month it sparks the question: Have CSL shares finally reached the bottom?

    What happened to CSL shares?

    The biotech company’s shares suffered a brutal sell-off in mid-August. This followed CSL’s FY25 results, where a surprise restructure announcement strategic demerger sparked an investor panic. Investors weren’t happy with the announcement and sold off their shares in fear. As a result, the CSL share price lost around a fifth of its value within just one week. At the time, analysts said the investor reaction was overdone and unwarranted. 

    Just two and a half months later, in late-October, the company’s share price dropped another 19.2% to a seven-year low after it downgraded its FY26 revenue and profit growth guidance. Management had originally forecast an FY26 revenue growth of 4-5% and forecast net profit after tax before amortisation (NPATA) to grow 7-10%. But in October this was downgraded to FY26 revenue guidance of 2-3% and NPATA growth guidance of 4-7%. CSL also said its planned demerger of its Seqirus business will be pushed back.

    Have CSL shares finally reached the bottom?

    Despite a cluster of headwinds facing the business this year, and a downwards spiral of the CSL share price, it looks like we could be beginning to see green shoots of recovery.

    Since the latest price plunge, CSL shares have climbed just over 7%. While the share price has fallen a little further today, I’m optimistic investor sentiment is turning a corner. CSL shares were the fifth most-traded by CommSec clients last week, over half of which was buying activity. If investor interest begins to pick up, it could mean that the share price does too. 

    Analysts appear to be bullish about the stock too. Tradingview data shows that out of 18 analysts, 1 have a buy or strong buy rating on CSL shares. The remaining 4 have a hold rating.

    The average target price for the stock is $242.20, but some expect this could be as high as $278.05 over the next 12 months. At the time of writing this implies a huge potential 51.57% upside for investors. 

    Macquarie and UBS have a buy rating on CSL shares and a 12-month price target of $275.20 and $275 respectively. This suggests a potential 50% gain from here.

    The team at Red Leaf Securities thinks that the biotech giant has been oversold and have named it as an ASX share to buy this week.

    The post Is the worst finally over for CSL shares? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in CSL right now?

    Before you buy CSL shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and CSL wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • Macquarie predicts this ASX All Ords healthcare stock to surge past $1 billion over the next 12 months

    Doctor checking patient's spine x-ray image.

    Analysts at Macquarie believe there are several significant tailwinds for ASX All Ords healthcare stock Integral Diagnostics Ltd (ASX: IDX) in the coming year, and have a bullish price target on the company’s shares.

    Integral Diagnostics provides diagnostic imaging services such as magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), ultrasound, and radiography at 145 sites across Australia and New Zealand. The Macquarie team says the company stands to benefit from programs such as the National Lung Cancer Screening Program, which the federal government is tipping $264 million into.

    The company will also benefit from a boost to bulk-billing, according to Macquarie:

    Success in CT lung cancer screening, supported by $264m in government funding and Integral Diagnostics’ expected 20% market share, is partly offsetting a slower MRI ramp. The upcoming $7.9bn expansion of bulk billing from Nov-25 should boost GP volumes and imaging referrals, particularly in regional areas where Integral Diagnostics is strong. We forecast FY26 domestic organic revenue growth of 8%.

    Several pillars to growth

    The Macquarie team said synergies from the 2024 merger with Capitol Health, ongoing clinic investments and expansion of the GP bulk billing program would all be “fully realised” in the current financial year.

    These factors, combined with procurement efficiencies and an expected shift of patients from public emergency departments to GP channels, position Integral Diagnostics for a step-up in margins in the second half.

    The Macquarie team said the company could also increasingly shift work to radiologists working remotely, allowing for more flexibility in staffing, supporting EBITDA margin forecasts.

    As the analysts said:

    We see several significant tailwinds for Integral Diagnostics over FY26, with expected ongoing mix shift benefits to higher fee modalities supported by MRI deregulation, CT lung cancer screening programs. Higher annualised cost savings further supports our EBITDA margin expectations.   

    The Macquarie team have a 12-month price target of $3.40 on Integral Diagnostics shares, and including dividends, are forecasting a total shareholder return of 32.2% over the next year.

    Integral Diagnostics declared a fully franked final dividend of 4 cents per share in August, bringing the full year payout to 6.5 cents per share.

    Integral Diagnostics shares were changing hands for $2.59 on Tuesday, up 0.7%.

    Macquarie said in a separate research note to clients earlier this year that it preferred Integral Diagnostics to Australian Clinical Labs Ltd (ASX: ACL), which it had a neutral rating on.

    The post Macquarie predicts this ASX All Ords healthcare stock to surge past $1 billion over the next 12 months appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

    Should you invest $1,000 in Integral Diagnostics right now?

    Before you buy Integral Diagnostics shares, consider this:

    Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now… and Integral Diagnostics wasn’t one of them.

    The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

    And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys…

    * Returns as of 18 November 2025

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    Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Integral Diagnostics. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

  • OpenAI is feeling the heat from Google right now — for good reason

    Sundar Pichai and Sam Altman walk along the White House grounds
    OpenAI CEO Sam Altman (right) has increasingly brought his company into competition with Sundar Pichai's Alphabet.

    • OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has reportedly declared a "code red."
    • Google once did the same amid the rise of ChatGPT.
    • While Altman once quipped that he tried not to spend much time thinking about competitors, those days appear to be over.

    Two "code red" alerts — the first from a veteran tech giant worried about a buzzy AI upstart, the second from the AI upstart after the tech giant gained ground.

    What a difference three years can make.

    News of a recent Sam Altman memo to OpenAI employees, first reported by The Information, is reverberating around the tech world and highlighting the competitive heat it's facing as Google narrows the gap in the AI race.

    On Monday, Altman reportedly told OpenAI employees in an internal Slack memo that he was issuing a "code red" and that the company would be putting more resources into ChatGPT and delaying other products as a result.

    Altman's memo illustrates just how much the AI race has changed. In 2022, Google's management issued its own "code red" in the wake of ChatGPT's launch, a moment that illustrated in sharp relief just how far behind the search giant was in the AI race despite financing the breakthrough research that paved the way for AI's development.

    Three years later, it's clear that OpenAI's throne is under threat. Here are some of the pressure points it's facing as Google nips at its heels.

    Google is catching up

    The elephant in the OpenAI room is Google's Gemini 3 AI model, which debuted to widespread praise.

    The model's capabilities demonstrated that Google is no longer far behind in the AI race. It's not just OpenAI that's unnerved, either. Nvidia, the world's most valuable company by market cap, recently found itself defending its AI chips after a report about Google's own chip progress.

    The search giant said in November that Gemini had more than 650 million monthly active users, a large increase from the 450 million such users it reported in July. In comparison, OpenAI has said nearly 800 million weekly active users.

    Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff recently said that he was ditching ChatGPT in favor of Gemini 3 because of Gemini's "insane" improvement.

    "Holy shit," Benioff wrote on X last month. "I've used ChatGPT every day for 3 years. Just spent 2 hours on Gemini 3. I'm not going back. The leap is insane — reasoning, speed, images, video… everything is sharper and faster. It feels like the world just changed, again."

    Last month, Google launched "Nano Banana Pro," its AI image generator, showcasing hyper-realistic images that users quickly used to imagine tech CEOs hanging out together or pretend famous Thanksgiving dinner table guests.

    Altman's "code red," according to The Information's report, specifically mentions Gemini 3 and teases a coming OpenAI model that it says tested "ahead" of Google's flagship model, as well as mentions prioritizing OpenAI's Imagegen image generation model for ChatGPT users.

    Google's advertising cash cow can fund its AI — while OpenAI faces a $1.4 trillion bill

    The AI game is an expensive one, and Google has the advantage of being a cash-generating advertising juggernaut.

    Sure, Google plans to spend between $91 billion and $93 billion this year on cap ex, much of which is going toward AI costs. But it also brought in $100 billion in revenue in just the last quarter alone — $74.18 billion of which came from its advertising business.

    And unlike OpenAI, Google can leverage its massive size for a full-stack advantage, allowing it to control AI development from research to chip manufacturing to its in-house cloud, which hosts everything.

    Meanwhile, some on Wall Street have raised concerns about OpenAI's mounting AI spending commitments, which tally at least $1.4 trillion over the next eight years. In response, Altman has said OpenAI is on track to bring in $20 billion in revenue this year, and expects its annualized revenue to grow to hundreds of billions in the coming years.

    But OpenAI is still figuring out its own ads business — the launch of which could be delayed by Altman's "code red," according to The Information.

    OpenAI has a head start — but Google has a platform advantage

    OpenAI hasn't squandered its head start, and it's landed some major wins this year.

    In recent months, OpenAI has made significant plays into other industries, including social media with Sora, its TikTok-esque AI video generation app. In a direct shot at Google Chrome, OpenAI also launched Atlas, its own web browser.

    And it sounds like OpenAI has more up its sleeve as it battles the bottleneck of lining up enough compute and energy to power its developments.

    OpenAI executives have said compute constraints are holding back other initiatives, like making ChatGPT Pulse, a personalized update feature within the chatbot for Pro users, available to everyone. Last week, Bill Peebles, OpenAI's head of Sora, announced that free users would face significant cuts in the number of videos they could generate per day.

    ChatGPT also remains synonymous with AI — not unlike Google and online search. That will likely help continue to drive app downloads and usage and could also stave off Google's attempts to convince users to switch to Gemini or Google's other AI-infused products.

    But humans are creatures of habit, and many already use a Google product or service everyday — a platform advantage that the tech giant is already utilizing to siphon away ChatGPT users.

    Silicon Valley's history is built on startup disrupting the status quo.

    Now, with OpenAI (smartly) looking over its shoulder, we get to watch the AI race heat up as Google, a former startup, gets its AI legs and hits its stride.

    For OpenAI, it's a reminder that tech giants can put up quite a fight when facing the prospect of being disrupted — and sometimes, can turn the tables.

    "I try not to think about competitors too much," Altman said last May before critiquing Google's aesthetic.

    It sounds like those days are gone.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • A longtime Amazon exec is jumping ship for OpenAI

    Amazon logo
    • Torben Severson has departed Amazon after 17 years to join OpenAI.
    • Severson will serve as Vice President and Head of Global Business Development at OpenAI.
    • OpenAI has hired over 400 employees in the past year, including a handful of former Amazon staffers.

    A top executive announced on Monday that he had departed Amazon after 17 years to join OpenAI.

    Torben Severson, who served as chief of staff to Amazon's retail CEO Doug Herrington, said in a post on LinkedIn that he left the mega-retailer in October. Severson will now serve as Vice President, Head of Global Business Development at Sam Altman's AI company.

    "Joining OpenAI at such a defining moment in technology is an opportunity I couldn't pass up," Severson wrote in his LinkedIn post. "I'm drawn to moments of transformation — and it's rare to be part of something so squarely at the frontier of what's possible."

    A spokesperson for OpenAI confirmed Severson's new role. Severson and a spokesperson for Amazon did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

    OpenAI's global business development team is responsible for building out the company's outside partnerships and commercial strategy.

    In early November, OpenAI and AWS announced a $38 billion partnership, which gives Altman's company access to "hundreds of thousands of state-of-the-art Nvidia GPUs."

    Severson spent much of his time at Amazon in business development, working on partnerships with other companies, including warrant deals. Most recently, he became Herrington's technical advisor, a highly coveted role that involves joining the CEO in nearly every meeting and call.

    He is one of more than a dozen former Amazon employees to join OpenAI over the past year, according to data from LiveData Technologies, a workforce tracking database. Over the past year, OpenAI has hired more than 400 workers, the database shows.

    Do you work for OpenAI or have a tip? Contact this reporter via email at gkay@businessinsider.com or Signal at 248-894-6012. Use a personal email address, a nonwork device, and nonwork WiFi; here's our guide to sharing information securely.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • Director Ken Burns almost turned down an offer from Steve Jobs 20 years ago. They struck a different deal.

    composite image of Steve Jobs and Ken Burns
    Ken Burns met with Steve Jobs in 2002 to discuss an Apple feature.

    • Ken Burns agreed to let Apple use his photo panning style in iMovie for $1 million worth of equipment.
    • Steve Jobs proposed naming the Mac feature after Burns' filmmaking technique, and he initially said no.
    • The feature is still present on Apple devices today.

    Ken Burns almost told Steve Jobs no to naming a popular iMovie feature after him.

    The documentary filmmaker received a call from Jobs, inviting him to visit Apple's headquarters in 2002. Burns initially didn't believe it was really Jobs on the other end of the line. However, the call was real, and the pair met in Silicon Valley to discuss a new feature that would come to Mac computers the following year.

    Jobs proposed that the feature, introduced with iMovie 3, would be called "The Ken Burns Effect," named after Burns' famous style of panning and zooming in on photos. Burns, a self-proclaimed Luddite, said no at first.

    "I said, 'I don't do commercial endorsements,' and he said, 'What?'" Burns said in an interview with GQ, published Monday.

    Despite his initial reluctance, Jobs and Burns worked out a deal that led to Apple handing over $1 million worth of computer equipment and software, which Burns said he mostly donated.

    "I do admit that one or two computers stayed," Burns said. He said he didn't work with computers before the deal was struck.

    While his signature style is typically used in his historical documentary work to bring photos to life, Burns highlighted how it is now also used to preserve memories of weddings, bar mitzvahs, and vacations on iPhones.

    "It's a kind of a wonderful but still superficial version of a very elaborate attempt on our part to try to wake up the past and make an image that is not alive come alive," Burns said.

    Read the original article on Business Insider
  • I was the ‘ugly duckling’ in middle school. It took me until my 50s to finally feel beautiful.

    Christina Daves in middle school next to a headshot of her today
    The author felt unattractive as a teen.

    • One mean comment in middle school shaped my self-image for decades.
    • Even in my 20s and 30, I couldn't see my beauty.
    • In my 50s, I finally embraced my body and confidence.

    In middle school, I was the textbook definition of awkward: braces, acne, a bad perm, and a body I didn't know how to dress or love. I was uncomfortable in my skin, and I'm sure everyone noticed.

    One afternoon in the hallway, a boy looked directly at me and said, loudly and confidently, that I was the "ugliest thing" he had ever seen. It wasn't whispered. It wasn't subtle. It was a declaration — and one that hit with the force of truth to my seventh-grade brain.

    I froze. I remember my chest tightening, my face going hot, and wishing I could disappear into the lockers. I walked to class pretending not to care, but inside, I was dying. Something in me shifted. I didn't just feel ugly; I truly believed I was the "ugly duckling."

    That belief followed me well into adulthood.

    In my 20s and 30s, insecurity dictated everything

    You'd think that outgrowing braces, learning to wear makeup, styling my hair, and seeing a smaller number on the scale would help. It didn't. The middle-school version of me still lived in my head.

    In my 20s and 30s, even when others told me I looked great, I couldn't accept it. Compliments felt like kindness, not truth. I drowned myself in oversize sweatshirts, convinced that baggy clothes could hide my body and, somehow, my flaws. I avoided photos, avoided rooms where I'd stand out, and never once walked into a place thinking I belonged there.

    The most bizarre moment came in my 20s when I ran into that same boy, the one who called me the ugliest thing he'd ever seen. I was at a bar, and he hit on me. Full confidence. Full flirtation. He had no idea I was the girl from middle school—the one he emotionally destroyed.

    Christina Daves on the beach
    The author felt comfortable wearing a bikini.

    You'd think that would have felt satisfying, like a movie-moment vindication. Instead, I recall feeling confused, almost in disbelief.

    That's how deep insecurity roots itself. It teaches you not to trust even the moments that should affirm you.

    It took until my 50s to stop fighting my body and start loving it

    My turning point didn't happen because I suddenly "looked better." It happened because I finally stopped trying to be who I thought I should be and accepted who I actually am.

    In my 50s, something eased — and it also strengthened. I stopped apologizing for my body, stopped wishing I looked like somebody else, and stopped treating beauty like a prize I hadn't earned.

    I started dressing for joy instead of camouflage. I moved my body because I loved it, not because I was punishing it. I ate to feel good, not to control a number on the scale.

    I even put on a bikini again. I remember standing on the beach the first time, nervous at first, waiting for judgment that never came. Because no one was watching; they were too busy worrying about themselves. That alone was liberating.

    Beauty didn't suddenly appear — confidence did

    Looking back, I didn't transform from an "ugly duckling" into a swan because I changed physically. I transformed because I changed mentally.

    I stopped chasing approval. I stopped measuring myself against impossible standards. I stopped giving that seventh-grade insult the power to define me.

    At this age, I finally understand that beauty isn't about symmetry or perfection — it's presence, confidence, gratitude, joy. It's stepping into a room knowing you are enough because you decided you are.

    I wish I could go back and hug that awkward young girl and tell her that not fitting the mold doesn't mean you never will; it means you're not done becoming. And, the becoming might take a really long time. But it will come.

    I used to shrink myself because I feared taking up space. In my 50s, I take up space proudly — and that, to me, is beauty.

    Read the original article on Business Insider