Author: openjargon

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has dropped more than 10% since mid-June, as the chart below shows, which has boosted the dividend yield.

BHP has been an excellent dividend pick over the last decade, with the ASX mining share benefiting from various times of higher iron ore prices. Even an iron ore price of US$100 per tonne can allow it to make good earnings.

The company’s main commodities are iron ore and copper, though it also produces coal and is building a potash project in Canada called Jansen.

Following the company’s recent valuation decline, I think it’s worthwhile to consider the ASX mining share.

Dividend projection

According to the forecast on Commsec, the business could deliver a relatively pleasing dividend payout for shareholders.

The business is projected to pay an annual dividend per share of A$2.148 in the 2026 financial year. At the time of writing, this translates into a forward grossed-up dividend yield of 5.4%, including franking credits.

That’s not the biggest dividend yield on the ASX and the BHP dividend yield has been higher in recent years. That’s partly because the BHP share price has gone up so much in recent times, it’s (still) up 25% this year and up 47% in the past 12 months.

The higher the share price goes, the lower the dividend yield, assuming the dividend payment stays the same.

Is the BHP share price a buy?

There’s much more to the appeal of a business than just the passive income on offer.

The valuation also needs to make sense; otherwise, capital losses could offset the passive dividend income.

The latest update from the ASX mining share was its operating update for the period ending 30 June 2026.

Its most important commodities are iron ore and copper, so I’ll focus on those.

In the three months to June 2026, copper production was 491.9k, up 3% quarter-over-quarter but down 5% year-over-year. Iron ore production was 68.1mt, up 8% quarter-over-quarter, but down 3% year-over-year.

What was perhaps even more interesting was the guidance it gave. BHP produced 1.95mt of copper in FY26, but only expects between 1.65mt to 1.8mt of copper in FY28 – a sizeable decline. FY27 iron ore production is expected to be between 260mt to 272mt, down from 264.7mt in FY26.

Lower copper production is not ideal, given its plans to ramp up production in the coming years to take advantage of strong demand.

Even so, both the copper price and iron ore price are at strong enough levels that the business can generate strong profits. However, at the current elevated BHP share price, I’m not sure it’s an attractive buy.

Broker analysts seem to have a similar view. According to CMC Invest, of 14 recent ratings on the ASX mining share, two were buys and 12 were holds. The average price target is $59.08, suggesting only a slight rise (at the time of writing) over the next 12 months.

There are quite a few other ASX shares I’d rather buy for dividends.

The post Is the BHP share price a buy for its 5% dividend yield? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• BHP shares soared 62% in FY26. Can they keep climbing?
• Why I think BHP is the best ASX mining share
• How to build an ASX dividend portfolio that keeps paying you for decades
• What is Morgan’s updated view on Rio Tinto and BHP shares?
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

BHP shares were one of the standout performers on the ASX 200 last financial year.

The BHP share price soared 62% in FY26 to finish at $59.40 on 30 June.

That was a spectacular run for the Australia’s largest company.

The question now is whether the shares can keep climbing in FY27.

Let’s take a look.

What drove BHP shares higher in FY26

Two forces did most of the heavy lifting.

First, commodity prices ran hot: the copper price rose 18% over FY26 and hit a record US$6.60 per pound in May.

Iron ore prices also climbed by around 7%.

Second, investors rotated heavily into mining stocks.

That combination pushed BHP shares to a new high in FY26.

Yet there is a bigger story here: BHP is now the world’s largest copper producer.

Copper made up more than half of the company’s underlying EBITDA in the first half of FY26. Copper is essential to electrification, data centres, and the broader energy transition. All of these are global megatrends that can be expected to only intensify in future years.

For the first time in BHP’s history, copper earnings exceeded those of iron ore.

Can BHP shares keep climbing?

After such a big run, the easy gains may be behind us.

Most brokers are now sitting on the fence.

Morgans recently reiterated a hold rating and lifted its target from $54.90 to $59.80. Macquarie also has a hold rating with a $60.20 target. Overall, the broker consensus target sits near $61.44.

Based on recent prices, that implies only modest single-digit upside.

The dividend still appeals, though. CommSec estimates dividends of $2.10 per share in FY26, a yield of around 3.6%.

BHP’s balance sheet also remains strong, with low net debt.

However, not everything is smooth sailing. A review of the Jansen potash project in Canada resulted in a hefty cost blowout.

There is also the ongoing concern around industrial action at BHP’s Pilbara iron ore operations.

Investors will get more clarity when the company reports its FY26 results on 18 August.

Foolish takeaway

BHP shares have had a brilliant run.

Copper’s growing role in the global economy also gives investors a long-term tailwind.

But after a 62% gain, brokers see only limited near-term upside.

For patient investors, the dividend and copper leverage may still appeal.

Just don’t expect BHP shares to repeat their FY26 heroics every single year.

The post BHP shares soared 62% in FY26. Can they keep climbing? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Why I think BHP is the best ASX mining share
• How to build an ASX dividend portfolio that keeps paying you for decades
• What is Morgan’s updated view on Rio Tinto and BHP shares?
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday
• Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CBA, and Rio Tinto shares

Motley Fool contributor Mark Verhoeven has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

I think the best way to invest in ASX shares is for the long-term, with a decade or more being my preferred investment time horizon.

If investors hold for that length of time, it gives compounding the best opportunity to deliver results over the long-term.

Given how rapidly the world is changing in relation to technology and AI, I’m less optimistic about some ASX tech stocks than I used to be. That’s partly why I think the investments below could be strong ASX share picks for the long term.

Guzman Y Gomez Ltd (ASX: GYG)

GYG is one of the best quick service restaurant (QSR) businesses in Australia, in my view. At the end of March 2026, it had 242 Australian locations, along with 23 Singapore restaurants and five Japanese locations.

The company is aiming for 1,000 Australian restaurants within the next 20 years, which could mean significant network sales growth and excellent scale benefits.

In the third quarter of FY26, the company reported that Australian total network sales rose by 19.7% to $320.4 million, and Asian network sales grew by 15% to $21.5 million.

The business is growing network sales thanks to both solid comparable sales growth and an expanding mutlinational network.

Over the next decade, I expect the company to significantly increase its restaurant network, increase its market awareness and boost profit margins. I believe the market is underestimating how much the business could grow network sales overseas, which could unlock a lot of royalty income – its Asian operations are under a master franchise agreement.

According to the company, it’s expecting its Australian and Asian operations to grow their underlying operating profit (EBITDA) by 29% in FY26 to $85 million, showing an increase in its profit margins.

According to the projection on Commsec, the GYG share price is valued at 33x FY28’s estimated earnings, which I think is an appealing price for this fast-growing ASX share.

Global X S&P World Ex Australia GARP ETF (ASX: GARP)

Another investment that I want to highlight is this exchange-traded fund (ETF), which aims to give investors exposure to a portfolio of global businesses that fit the bill when it comes to the investing strategy ‘growth at a reasonable price’ (GARP).

When you buy growing businesses at a good price, it can lead to excellent investment returns over the long-term.

There are three different things that the GARP ETF looks for to include in its portfolio of 250 companies across different countries and sectors.

It wants to see growth characteristics, with a good pace of 3-year sales and earnings growth.

Second, it wants to see ‘value’. That is identified by the price/earnings (P/E) ratio.

Finally, this GARP strategy involves looking at the quality of these businesses. That includes looking at the financial leverage (debt levels) and return on equity (ROE). ROE tells us how much profit is making compared to the retained amount of shareholder money – the higher the ROE the better.

Since inception in September 2024, the GARP ETF has returned an average of 16.8%. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns of course, but I’m bullish about this strategy being able to continue to deliver good returns for the next decade and beyond.

These aren’t the only ASX shares I think would make excellent long-term investments.

The post 2 top ASX shares to buy and hold for the next decade appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Own ACDC, FANG, or SEMI ETF? Global X is paying your dividend today!
• A rare buying opportunity in 1 of Australia’s top shares?
• Where I’d invest $20,000 into ASX growth shares right now
• 2 ASX shares highly recommended to buy: Experts
• The currency-hedged ASX ETFs magnifying dividends by up to 10x this season

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Guzman Y Gomez. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Fortunately for income investors, there are lots of ASX dividend shares to choose from.

But with so much choice, it can be hard to decide which ones to buy.

To narrow things down, let’s look at three dividend shares with 5%+ dividend yields that analysts are tipping as buys.

They are as follows:

Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (ASX: CLW)

The team at Citi thinks that Charter Hall Long WALE REIT could be a top pick for income investors.

The broker has a buy rating and $4.10 price target on the long-lease focused property company’s shares.

Citi highlights that the company’s shares offer value at current levels, especially with a large portion of rents inflation-linked and its big dividend yield.

Speaking of which, the broker is forecasting dividends per share of 25.5 cents in FY 2026 and then 25.7 cents in FY 2027. Based on its current share price of $3.71, this would mean dividend yields of approximately 6.9% in both years. 

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN)

Another ASX dividend share that could be worth considering is retail giant Harvey Norman.

Bell Potter is bullish on the company and has a buy rating and $6.00 price target on its shares.

Although the broker expects FY 2027 to be a tough year, it believes this is more than priced in. So, with generous dividend yields expected, it sees now as a good time to snap up Harvey Norman’s shares. 

Bell Potter is forecasting fully franked dividends of 31.1 cents per share in FY 2027 and then 33.3 cents per share in FY 2028. Based on its current share price of $4.82, this equates to dividend yields of 6.5% and 6.9%, respectively.

Universal Store Holdings Ltd (ASX: UNI)

A third ASX dividend share that brokers are recommending to clients is Universal Store. 

Morgans has a buy rating and $9.50 price target on the youth fashion retailer’s shares.

The broker has been pleased with the company’s performance in FY 2026, highlighting that double-digit sales growth is expected despite tough operating conditions.

It notes that Universal Store’s Perfect Stranger brand is performing strongly, which bodes well for its store rollout. 

With respect to income, Morgans is forecasting the company to pay fully franked dividends of 40 cents per share in FY 2026 and then 46 cents per share in FY 2027. Based on its current share price of $7.43, this represents dividend yields of 5.4% and 6.2%, respectively.

The post 3 ASX dividend shares to buy with 5%+ yields appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How much is needed in superannuation to target a $100,000 annual passive income?
• Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week
• 2 ASX dividend shares with yields above 7%
• How much do I need in my superannuation to earn an annual $60,000 passive income?
• Brokers name 2 ASX dividend shares to buy with 4% to 7% yields

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Universal Store. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Universal Store. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

I’m always on the lookout for ASX shares that could boost my portfolio returns and passive income.

I feel fortunate to be able to regularly invest money into the share market, and I recently put $3,000 to work into more stocks.

The three names I bought were: MFF Capital Investments Ltd (ASX: MFF), WCM Global Growth Ltd (ASX: WQG) and L1 Long Short Fund Ltd (ASX: LSF).

All three of my new investments have similar positive attributes, which I’ll get into below.

Effective investment strategies

All three of these ASX shares are listed investment companies (LICs). In other words, they invest in other shares and assets on behalf of shareholders.

They each have their own investment strategy, and they have all performed strongly over the long-term.

MFF aims for high-quality global shares with strong competitive advantages and an above-average ability to grow earnings.

The L1 LIC invests in a mixture of ASX shares and global shares that are priced cheaply with good earnings growth potential.

WCM Global Growth invests in businesses with improving competitive advantages and a corporate culture that supports that economic moat improvement.

Each of them have managed to deliver double-digit portfolio returns over the long-term, helping fund good dividends and a rising share price (thanks to their growing retained earnings).

Rising dividends

I believe the best ASX dividend shares can provide shareholders with consistent dividend growth.

It’s good to be able to offset (or outpace) inflation. Rising dividends also allow us to feel wealthier, with more cash flowing through our bank accounts. The dividends can be reinvested or spent on our lives for essentials or to fund discretionary spending.

All three ASX shares I recently invested in – MFF, WCM Global Growth and L1 Long Short Fund – have all recently increased their dividends by more than 10% year-over-year.

It’s not guaranteed that these businesses will continue to grow their dividends by more than 10% in the next financial year. It’s possible they may not even grow the dividend. But, of all of the businesses on the ASX, these are three of the ASX shares I’m most confident will deliver a rising dividend to shareholders.

With their profit reserves and impressive investment returns, I believe they’ll be able to continue hiking their payouts at a good pace for the next few years.

Good dividend yields

All three of these ASX shares have compelling dividend yields and could continue to grow their payouts from here, unlocking an even greater dividend yield in time.

I estimate that in FY27, the ASX shares could provide grossed-up dividend yields (including franking credits) of more than 5%. At the time of writing, MFF could offer a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.9%, WCM Global Growth could have a grossed-up dividend yield of 7% and L1 Global Short Fund could provide a grossed-up dividend yield of 5.1%.

I believe all of these stocks could outperform the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) and deliver stronger dividend income. But, these aren’t the only ASX shares I have my eyes on for July.

The post Why I just invested $3,000 in these 3 ASX shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How much is needed in superannuation to target a $100,000 annual passive income?
• 2 ASX dividend shares with yields above 6%
• How much superannuation is needed to target a $100,000 annual passive income?
• How much passive income can I earn off a $50,000 portfolio?
• Buy, hold, sell: L1 Long Short Fund, REA, Wesfarmers shares

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in L1 Long Short Fund, Mff Capital Investments, and Wcm Global Growth. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Mff Capital Investments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Warren Buffett has spent decades showing investors that price and value are not always the same thing.

That idea feels especially relevant when good ASX shares fall out of favour.

Several well-known shares are trading far below their previous highs, and I think some could reward investors willing to look past the current pessimism.

Price creates the opportunity

Buffett once wrote: “Price is what you pay; value is what you get.”

A lower share price does not automatically create value. The business still needs attractive assets, a credible recovery path, and enough financial strength to work through its challenges.

But when the market becomes too focused on what is going wrong today, long-term investors can sometimes buy future earnings at a much better price.

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) is one share I would examine closely.

The wine company has faced setbacks across its US operations and has struggled to convince investors that recent acquisitions will deliver the expected returns. Its Penfolds brand still has considerable global recognition, while China and other Asian markets could support growth over time.

The recovery needs better execution, but the lower share price gives investors a more forgiving starting point than they had near the highs.

Back businesses that can regain momentum

Temple & Webster Group Ltd (ASX: TPW) is another fallen ASX share I would consider.

Furniture demand can move with consumer confidence, housing activity, and interest rates, which means the company’s growth will rarely arrive evenly.

I still like its long-term position as spending continues moving online. Temple & Webster can offer a wide range without carrying the same store network as traditional retailers, while data and technology can improve merchandising, marketing, and the customer experience.

WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC) has endured an even more dramatic loss of confidence.

Governance concerns, leadership questions, and uncertainty around the e2open acquisition have weighed heavily on the shares. Yet CargoWise remains deeply embedded in the operations of major logistics companies.

Global trade is full of paperwork, customs requirements, freight movements, warehouses, and regulatory complexity. WiseTech has an opportunity to bring more of those processes into one platform and automate more work through artificial intelligence.

I would keep the position measured, but the long-term opportunity looks far more attractive after the share price decline.

Quality can become cheap too

Some of the best opportunities can appear when the market loses patience with companies that were once considered untouchable.

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) and Cochlear Ltd (ASX: COH) both fit that description in my opinion.

CSL needs to improve execution across plasma, vaccines, and Vifor, while Cochlear has faced softer implant demand and hospital capacity constraints. I think those concerns deserve attention, but both companies have spent decades building global healthcare capabilities that would be difficult to reproduce.

REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA) also looks more appealing after its fall.

Property listings can weaken when housing activity slows, yet REA Group’s position at the centre of the Australian property search remains strong. Its audience, data, agent relationships, and network effects give the company several ways to keep developing its platform.

Foolish takeaway

I would not try to predict exactly when sentiment will recover for any of these companies.

Instead, I would focus on whether the business can produce meaningfully higher earnings over the next five or 10 years than the market currently expects.

They all have problems to solve, which is why their share prices have fallen so heavily. But they also retain brands, technology, market positions, or specialist capabilities that could support a recovery.

Following Buffett’s approach requires patience and discipline. For investors prepared to provide both, I think today’s market offers several cheap ASX shares worth buying.

The post I’d listen to Warren Buffett and buy cheap ASX shares appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• 4 ASX share tips from 4 brokers, for returns better than 40%
• When will WiseTech shares bottom out?
• Down 50%+: Are these ASX healthcare shares finally worth buying?
• Buy, hold, sell: Sigma Healthcare, Wisetech Global, CBA shares
• Could CSL shares double from here? Here’s what the experts think

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has positions in CSL. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL, Cochlear, Temple & Webster Group, Treasury Wine Estates, and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Treasury Wine Estates and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL, Cochlear, and Temple & Webster Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

I’ve cast my net wide this week, looking for share tips from the brokers which will deliver outsized returns.

The companies profiled are from across the spectrum of listed companies, and in the case of the highest profile company, it’s from overseas.

Let’s check that one out first.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp (NASDAQ: SPCX) 

Shares in SpaceX plunged 5.4% over the weekend to be changing hands for US$123.99, well below the company’s initial public offer price of US$135 and a far cry from levels higher than US$200 the stock visited in the days following its listing.

Despite the recent share price weakness, analysts are almost ubiquitous in their belief that the shares will trade higher, and UBS is one of those, with a share price target of $US210.

The investment thesis is based on the fact that SpaceX is an early and dominant player in the space sector, and that it has the chance to use that dominance to advance its other business units.

Currently the company’s space and AI divisions are not turning a profit, while its Starlink connectivity division is.

Fot its part, UBS believes SpaceX has, “an unparalleled set of assets with a multifaceted return profile and multiple drivers of upside for long term, risk tolerant investors”.

Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB)

Morgan Stanley has included Hub24 in its small-mid cap ideas list, saying in a note to clients that a broader sell off in Australian technology growth stocks has pushed its share price lower.

Morgan Stanley says Hub24 has “delivered industry leading net flows and funds under administration growth as well as operating leverage in recent periods, yet has underperformed its closest peers”, which are Netwealth Ltd (ASX: NWL), Praemium Ltd (ASX: PPS) and AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) on a year to date basis.

The broker said they believed the federal budget created more demand for financial advice and increased relative tax advantages for superannuation, which would benefit Hub24.

Morgan Stanley has a price target of $120 on Hub24 shares compared to $84.95 currently.

Wisetech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC)

Bell Potter says while there has been a tech rally “of sorts” on the ASX over the past couple of months, Wisetech did not gain during this time.

This was possibly due to negative press around the company’s founder Richard White, they said, “and risk around both the FY26 result and FY27 guidance and whether each meets market expectations”.

They added:

In our view, however, these negatives will start to dissipate over the coming months and indeed have already commenced with the appointment earlier this month of Raelene Murphy to Chair which we regard as a positive move. We also believe the company will achieve its FY26 guidance when it reports next month – albeit with some risk around revenue but this should be made up by the margin – and the FY27 guidance will meet expectations following downgrades by the sell-side (ourselves included) over the past few months.

Bell Potter has a price target of $71.75 on Wisetech shares compared to $33.88 currently.

Light & Wonder Inc (ASX: LNW)

Jarden has released a research note on Light & Wonder ahead of its results release, and says they expect the result to be broadly in line with consensus estimates.

The broker says customer demand has remained resilient in the US, and despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty this should continue.

Jarden says they like both Light & Wonder and Aristocrat Leisure Ltd (ASX: ALL), but they have a “strong preference” for Light & Wonder on valuation grounds.

The broker has a price target of $182 on the company’s shares compared to $112.34 currently.

The post 4 ASX share tips from 4 brokers, for returns better than 40% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• I’d listen to Warren Buffett and buy cheap ASX shares
• When will WiseTech shares bottom out?
• Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today
• Buy, hold, sell: Sigma Healthcare, Wisetech Global, CBA shares
• Why WiseTech shares could rocket 100%

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has positions in Hub24 and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Hub24, Light & Wonder Inc, Netwealth Group, Praemium, and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Netwealth Group and WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Hub24 and Light & Wonder Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Choosing one mining share to own through an entire commodity cycle is never easy.

Prices move, projects disappoint, and yesterday’s market favourite can quickly lose its shine.

Even with those uncertainties, one ASX miner stands above the rest for me. That is BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP).

A strong foundation in iron ore

BHP still earns substantial cash from its Western Australian iron ore operations.

Iron ore may lack the excitement attached to newer commodities, yet it provides BHP with a huge production base, established infrastructure, and assets capable of generating strong margins when market conditions are favourable.

That cash flow supports dividends, funds new projects, and gives management more flexibility during weaker commodity markets.

Scale alone does not guarantee good returns, especially when mining companies become too enthusiastic with capital. However, BHP can invest through cycles that may force smaller competitors to slow down or abandon projects.

I think that financial strength provides a solid foundation for everything else the company is building.

Copper is changing the business

The most exciting part of BHP’s portfolio in my opinion is copper.

During the first half of FY26, copper contributed 51% of underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation, making it the group’s largest earnings contributor.

That is a significant change for a company traditionally associated with iron ore.

Copper demand could keep rising as electricity networks expand and investment flows into renewable energy, data centres, transport, manufacturing, and urban infrastructure. Bringing new supply online can also take many years, which may support attractive economics for established producers with large, low-cost assets.

BHP already owns interests in major operations such as Escondida, Spence, and its South Australian copper assets. It is also working on expansion pathways and future options that could increase production through the 2030s.

I prefer that position to betting on a junior miner that still needs to finance, permit, construct, and successfully ramp up its first major project.

BHP gives investors copper growth from a much stronger starting point.

Potash adds another direction

The Jansen project in Canada will move BHP into potash, a fertiliser ingredient linked to crop yields and global food production.

First production from Stage 1 is expected in mid-2027.

Jansen could eventually become a large, long-life operation, giving BHP an earnings stream driven by different forces from iron ore and copper.

The project has also reminded investors that large mining developments rarely follow a perfect plan. Costs have increased, while Stage 2 has been delayed and become more expensive.

Management will need to show that the finished operation can justify the amount of shareholder capital being committed.

Even with those concerns, I like the strategic logic. A successful potash business would broaden BHP’s portfolio and give it another area where scale could become a lasting advantage.

Why BHP shares are my pick

Every mining investment comes with commodity, operational, political, and project risks.

For me, BHP offers the best balance. It has iron ore assets generating cash today, copper operations becoming increasingly central to earnings, and a potash business that could support growth for decades.

The company also has the balance sheet, technical expertise, infrastructure, and global relationships needed to develop large projects that would be beyond the reach of many competitors.

Foolish takeaway

I would choose BHP shares because its future is becoming broader at the same time as its existing assets continue supporting the business.

Iron ore gives the company financial strength, copper provides an attractive growth runway, and potash could open another substantial source of earnings.

There will be disappointing projects and weaker commodity markets along the way. That comes with owning any miner.

Across a full cycle, I think BHP has the strongest collection of assets and growth options available to ASX investors. That is why it remains my preferred ASX mining share.

The post Why I think BHP is the best ASX mining share appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How to build an ASX dividend portfolio that keeps paying you for decades
• What is Morgan’s updated view on Rio Tinto and BHP shares?
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday
• Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CBA, and Rio Tinto shares
• Does Macquarie rate BHP shares a buy, hold or sell right now?

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

A stronger gold production forecast for FY27 from Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) has failed to impress the analysts at Macquarie, who have downgraded their price target on the company.

The Macquarie team still thinks investors can prosper, however, with an outperform rating on the stock and a bullish price target, which we’ll get to shortly.

First, let’s look at what Regis said in a statement to the ASX late last week.

How much gold will Regis Resources produce?

The company said it expected to produce 360,000 to 400,000 ounces of gold this financial year across its Duketon and Tropicana operations, at an all-in sustaining cost of $2,990 to $3,390 per ounce.

This compares to 379,000 ounces produced in FY26. The company also expects to spend $80 to $90 million on exploration.

Regis added:

Duketon gold production for FY27 is expected to be higher than FY26 and slightly skewed towards the second half of the year. The increase is a result of higher production from Garden Well and Rosemont. AISC guidance reflects increased diesel price assumptions along with the previously noted inclusion of the opportunistic higher cost ounces from BuckWell. At Tropicana, production guidance is down slightly year on year. Lower open pit ore production at Havana results in a higher proportion of lower grade stockpile mill feed, compared to FY26. AISC impacts of this lower production are reflected in the guidance for this year.

The company will also spend $30 to $35 million at its McPhillamys project as it progresses towards a final investment decision (FID) expected in the first half of calendar year 2028.

ASX gold shares still looking like good value

Macquarie said in its note to clients that the midpoint of the company’s guidance, 380,000 ounces, was 3% below Visible Alpha consensus estimates, while costs were higher.

But the analysts said the company had plenty of options.

With more than $1.1 billion cash in the bank and limited short-term growth capex requirements, RRL has ample scope for increased capital management and longer dated growth optionality such as McPhillamys which has pre-production capital requirements of $1.08 billion under the Integrated Waste Landform (IWL) construction approach. But with FID not expected before 1HCY28, RRL has significant optionality to continue to build cash, increase capital management, or look to further M&A opportunities.

Macquarie said the company’s dividend yield of about 6% is “exceptional” for a gold stock, and Regis had the balance sheet capacity to increase this.

Following Regis’ update, Macquarie has reduced its price target on the company from $8 to $6.80, compared to $5.66 at the time of writing.

The post Which ASX gold stock has Macquarie tipped to jump more than 20%? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday
• Regis Resources upgrades FY27 production guidance and cost outlook
• Buy, hold, sell: Regis Resources, Mineral Resources, Woolworths shares
• Regis Resources steps back from Vault Minerals bid, secures break fee
• Gold, cash, and a takeover twist: Why this ASX 200 gold stock is climbing today

Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The biggest dividend yields on the ASX can be tempting. More income today sounds great, but a successful ASX dividend portfolio isn’t built by chasing the highest payout.

The real goal is to own high-quality businesses that can keep paying – and ideally growing – their dividends through economic booms, recessions, and everything in between.

Start with reliable cash flow

If you want dividends that last, begin with companies that generate consistent earnings.

Take Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW). Grocery shopping isn’t glamorous, but it’s incredibly resilient. Whether the economy is booming or slowing, Australians still need food, household essentials, and everyday necessities.

Sure, Woolworths faces competition and rising costs, but its defensive business model has helped it deliver dependable cash flow for decades. That’s exactly what income investors want for their ASX dividend portfolio.

Add essential services

Next, look for businesses people simply can’t live without. Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) fits that description. Australians rely on its mobile and broadband networks every day for work, streaming, banking, shopping, and staying connected.

While Telstra continues investing heavily in its network and faces competitive pressure, telecommunications remain an essential service, supporting relatively stable earnings and dividends.

Diversify your income

Here’s where many dividend investors go wrong. They overload their ASX dividend portfolio with banks or miners.

Instead, spread your income across different industries.

APA Group (ASX: APA) owns and operates thousands of kilometres of gas pipelines and energy infrastructure across Australia. These long-life assets generate relatively predictable cash flows through long-term contracts, making APA a popular choice for income investors.

Property can also deserve a place. HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (ASX: HDN) owns neighbourhood shopping centres anchored by supermarkets and other essential retailers. Because many tenants sign long-term leases, rental income tends to be relatively stable.

Investors should still keep an eye on interest rates, debt levels, and tenant quality, but selective exposure to property can add another valuable income stream.

Don’t forget dividend growth

A high dividend today doesn’t guarantee a high dividend tomorrow. The best ASX dividend portfolios also include companies capable of growing their earnings over time.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) has rewarded shareholders handsomely over the years through both capital growth and dividends. While mining profits can fluctuate with commodity prices, BHP’s world-class assets and strong balance sheet position it well over the long term.

Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) is another standout. Its dividend yield isn’t usually among the highest on the ASX, but that’s missing the point.

The retail and industrial giant has consistently reinvested capital, improved its businesses, and allocated money to attractive growth opportunities. Over time, that has translated into steadily rising earnings and a growing dividend.

Foolish takeaway

Building a successful ASX dividend portfolio isn’t about chasing the biggest yield.

It’s about owning high-quality businesses across different sectors that generate reliable cash flow today while still having room to grow tomorrow. That combination can help investors build an income stream that not only lasts for decades but has the potential to keep growing alongside it.

The post How to build an ASX dividend portfolio that keeps paying you for decades appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Buy, hold, sell: SKS Technologies, Yancoal, Wesfarmers shares
• Here’s the dividend forecast out to 2028 for Woolworths shares
• What is Morgan’s updated view on Rio Tinto and BHP shares?
• 5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday
• How much is needed in superannuation to target a $100,000 annual passive income?

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group, HomeCo Daily Needs REIT, and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.