Author: openjargon

ASX biotech stock PYC Therapeutics Ltd (ASX: PYC) has enjoyed a stellar run over the last 12 months. 

In that span, its share price has risen over 87%, including 37% in 2026. 

A new report from the team at Bell Potter suggests this growth is likely to continue thanks to several tailwinds. 

Company overview 

PYC is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing multiple drug candidates for rare inherited diseases. 

The company has its HQ, lab facilities, and majority of staff based in Perth, WA, as well as personnel based in the US for clinical, regulatory, and manufacturing functions. 

The company develops novel drug candidates using its internal technology platform, consisting of targeted RNA therapies called antisense oligonucleotides and proprietary drug delivery technology referred to as cell penetrating peptides.

The team at Bell Potter believes its strong growth profile could lead to further growth in the next 12 months. 

Making progress

Bell Potter remains positive on this ASX stock. 

It has a speculative buy rating and increased price target of $3.00 (previously $2.30) on the company. 

Much of the optimism centres around its PYC-003 experimental drug candidate being developed to treat autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD). 

The genetic condition that causes cysts to grow in the kidneys. 

Early safety results are encouraging, with only 10% of 50 single-dose subjects reporting treatment-related side effects, none serious, and no concerning kidney, liver, magnesium or potassium changes.

The big test now is whether PYC-003 actually works. 

Efficacy data from single-dose studies are expected in the next 1–2 months, while the more important 6-12 month repeat-dose results are expected in 2H 2027 and 1H 2028. 

With around 120,000 US Type 1 ADPKD patients, Bell Potter sees a potential US$12bn+ market, while PYC’s ~$670m cash balance provides strong funding. 

In short, the safety story looks good, but clinical efficacy will determine whether the big potential becomes reality.

Strong upside 

If this ASX stock was to reach Bell Potter’s target, it would be a further 30% increase from current levels. 

The next 12 months are likely pivotal for the biotech company. 

PYC is fast approaching a crucial window for this asset with upcoming efficacy data from single-dose studies in the next ~1-2 months and, more importantly, data from repeat-dose studies after 6-12 months of treatment expected in 2H CY27 and 1H CY28. It is these latter readouts which will be highly instructive for demonstrating whether PYC’s compelling preclinical data package translates into improved clinical outcomes in patients. The company has a war chest of ~$670m cash as at 30-June-2026 for which it can freely prosecute its clinical development objectives across multiple assets well into the 2030s.

The post This exciting ASX biotech stock is up 37% year to date and tipped to keep rising appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares kicked off the new week the way they’ve kicked off quite a few recent sessions: in the red.

The ASX mining stock slipped another 0.5% on Monday to $60.59, extending a pullback that’s now stripped more than 13% off the all-time high of $68.77 set back on 26 August.

13% down in a few weeks is the kind of move that gets value hunters circling. But before anyone gets too excited about a ‘discount’, it’s worth asking whether BHP was ever actually cheap to begin with — and whether this dip is an opportunity or just gravity reasserting itself.

Keep the run in perspective

Even after the recent slide, BHP is still up roughly 33% so far in 2026, and a blistering 49% over the past 12 months. A 13% pullback off the top looks dramatic in isolation, but stack it against those gains, and it starts to look less like a crash and more like a breather after a sprint.

And the business hasn’t been standing still. FY26 revenue climbed 15% to US$58.8 billion, while underlying EBITDA jumped 27% to US$32.9 billion. Net debt shrank to a lean US$8.7 billion. The full-year dividend rose to 172 US cents per share.

This isn’t a company limping into a correction. It’s one that’s arguably earned its re-rating.

The copper story is the real headline

Buried in those numbers is arguably the most important structural shift at BHP in years. Copper, not iron ore, is now the earnings engine. Copper delivered US$18.2 billion of underlying EBITDA – up 48% – and made up 54% of group earnings. That’s the first time copper out-earned iron ore across a full year.

Production held around 2 million tonnes for a second straight year, and management is chasing roughly 40% growth by FY35 via projects spanning Australia, Chile and Argentina.

If the world’s electrification and grid-buildout thesis plays out anywhere near as expected, that positioning matters.

So, is BHP actually cheap?

Not really, and that’s the uncomfortable part. BHP shares have essentially run up to meet the market’s own expectations. TradingView consensus puts the average 12-month price target at $61.02 across 21 analysts.

That’s basically where BHP shares sit today. Ratings are split: five strong buys, 13 holds and three sell/strong sells.

There’s also a wide range of views. Morgan Stanley has a $68 target, while Freedom Capital Markets is at $66. Jefferies and Bank of America are both sitting at $65.

At the other end, Bernstein has a $44 target.

Foolish takeaway

This isn’t a screaming bargain sitting there for the taking. Valuations are full, and brokers are largely clustered around the current price. But a fortress balance sheet, growing copper exposure, and a dividend that keeps climbing are hard to ignore.

History suggests that owning world-class assets at a fair price beats trying to nail the final 10% of a rally — or the first 10% of a dip.

For patient, long-term holders, BHP shares still look more like a stock to hold through the noise than one to bail on because of a bad fortnight.

The post BHP shares keep falling. Is now the time to buy? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How many BHP shares do I need to buy to earn $100 a week in passive income?
• If I invest $10,000 in BHP shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?
• How much superannuation is needed to target $5,500 per month in passive income?
• Down almost 7% in 3 days, are BHP shares finally good value?
• Are ASX shares heading for a crash? Here’s how I’m preparing

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

There have been some concerns aired in recent weeks about the resilience of the lithium market, Macquarie says, while identifying that there are still Australian producers that look attractive at current prices.

What has concerned lithium market watchers?

The broking house said there were two news events which rattled the markets – a survey released by a Chinese consultancy, and media reports of tighter controls on new battery capacity approvals.

Macquarie said they did not see the latter as a great surprise.

In August, we flagged a softer market conditions in 1HCY27 as surplus concerns re emerge, potentially exacerbated by an accumulation of energy storage system (ESS) inventories across the value chain over the next six months. Our recent channel checks suggest tier-one ESS battery manufacturers are operating near full utilisation, while many tier-two and tier-three players remain below 50% utilisation. In our view, regulatory intervention is aimed at curbing further expansion of lower-quality, inefficient capacity rather than restricting end-market ESS deployments.

Macquarie said they suspected some of the market concern “reflects a misunderstanding of the policy intent, with capacity controls potentially lost in translation as ESS demand-side restrictions”.

Which ASX lithium companies are preferred?

Macquarie said among Australian producers, Liontown Ltd (ASX: LTR) and Elevra Lithium Ltd (ASX: ELV) had the greatest sensitivity to lithium price upside, “given their operating leverage”.

They also said IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO) stands out for its attractive free cash flow generation across a range of lithium price scenarios.

Macquarie said re IGO:

Our base case forecasts FCF yields of 15% and 10% in FY27 and FY28, respectively. Even at a spodumene price of US$1,500/t, we estimate the company could still generate FCF yields of 7-9% across the same period. We note investor focus remains on cash distributions from TLEA, which have yet to materialise. In our view, a clearly defined cash sweep or distribution mechanism at TLEA could represent a re-rating catalyst for IGO.

Macquarie has a price target of $9.50 on IGO shares compared to $7.35 at the time of writing.

For Liontown, it has a price target of $1.50 compared to $1.07, and for Elevra, $12.50 compared to $6.97.

For PLS Group Ltd (ASX: PLS), it has a share price target of $6 compared to $4.42.

On the pricing for spodumene broadly, Macquarie said, “value continues to accrue upstream, reflecting persistent tightness in the spodumene concentrate market”.

They added:

While inventory levels may gradually rebuild as Zimbabwean supply returns, current market conditions remain supportive of concentrate pricing.

The post Which ASX lithium miners does Macquarie prefer? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Cameron England has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

With FY 2026 dividends up 41.6% from the prior financial year, BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares have jumped back onto passive income investors’ radars.

Atop the welcome passive income boost, BHP has also delivered some outsized capital gains.

Trading at $60.04 apiece on Monday, shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining giant have surged a remarkable 48% in 12 months.

That’s seen the Aussie miner’s market cap leap to just under $306 billion. And earlier this year, it saw BHP retake the mantle from Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) as the biggest company on the ASX.

So, how about that $100 a week – or $5,200 a year – in passive income?

We’ll crunch those numbers below in a tick.

But before we do, keep in mind that the dividend yields you generally see quoted are trailing yields. These are, by their nature, backward-looking.

Future BHP dividend payouts could be higher or lower depending on a range of macroeconomic and company-specific factors. For BHP, that includes things such as variable weather conditions and future copper and iron ore prices.

With that said…

Drilling into BHP shares for $100 a week in passive income

BHP paid a fully-franked interim dividend of $1.039 a share on 26 March.

Management then declared a final fully-franked dividend of $1.38 a share when the ASX 200 mining stock reported its full-year FY 2026 results on 18 August. That’s up 50.2% from the previous final dividend payout.

It’s a bit too late to grab that latest passive income payout, as BHP shares traded ex-dividend on 3 September. If you held the stock at market close on 2 September, you can expect to receive that boosted dividend next week, on 23 September.

For the full year, then, BHP paid out a total of $2.419 a share in fully-franked dividends.

At the recent share price, this sees the stock trading on a fully-franked trailing yield of 4%.

And to earn $100 a week, or $5,200 a year, in passive income, you’d need to buy $2,150 BHP shares today.

At the recent share price, that represents an investment of $129,086.

Now, I realise that’s a big investment to make all in one go.

But that’s okay.

Investing is a long game.

You can always buy a smaller number of BHP shares on a regular basis, and you’ll reach your $100 weekly passive income goal in good time.

The post How many BHP shares do I need to buy to earn $100 a week in passive income? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• BHP shares keep falling. Is now the time to buy?
• If I invest $10,000 in BHP shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?
• How much superannuation is needed to target $5,500 per month in passive income?
• Down almost 7% in 3 days, are BHP shares finally good value?
• Are ASX shares heading for a crash? Here’s how I’m preparing

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) enjoyed a volatile, but pleasant start to the trading week this Monday. After a torrid week last week, investors seemed to return from the weekend with a renewed sense of optimism.

After a bouncy day, which saw the ASX 200 spend time in both positive and negative territory this session, the index ended up recording a rise of 0.1% to 8,749.9 points.

This tentative start to the week’s trading for ASX investors followed an even more bullish end to the American trading week last Friday night (our time).

The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJX: .DJI) staged a strong recovery, rising 0.98%.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ: .IXIC) performed almost identically, gaining 0.96%.

But let’s return to this week and the local markets now for a look at what the different ASX sectors were up to this Monday.

Winners and losers

Despite the broader market’s lift, we still saw a handful of sectors lose steam.

The most prominent of those red sectors was tech stocks. The S&P/ASX 200 Information Technology Index (ASX: XIJ) lost an early lead to slump 1.14%.

Mining shares weren’t in favour either, with the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) cratering 0.55%.

Industrial stocks suffered a drop, too. The S&P/ASX 200 Industrials Index (ASX: XNJ) retreated 0.35% today.

But it was all smiles everywhere else.

Leading the green sectors this session were healthcare shares, illustrated by the S&P/ASX 200 Healthcare Index (ASX: XHJ)’s 1.52% surge higher.

Consumer staples stocks also thrived. The S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Staples Index (ASX: XSJ) enjoyed a 0.61% bounce.

Financial shares attracted buyers as well, with the S&P/ASX 200 Financials Index (ASX: XFJ) banking a 0.43% jump.

Energy stocks didn’t miss out. The S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) added 0.38% to its total today.

We could say the same for gold shares, evidenced by the All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD)’s 0.34% advance.

Utilities stocks got some attention, too. The S&P/ASX 200 Utilities Index (ASX: XUJ) lifted 0.33% this Monday.

Communications shares got over the line, with the S&P/ASX 200 Communication Services Index (ASX: XTJ) adding 0.06% to its total.

Consumer discretionary stocks were in that ballpark, too. The S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary Index (ASX: XDJ) put on another 0.03%.

Finally, real estate investment trusts (REITs) ended the day where they started, illustrated by the S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index (ASX: XPJ)’s movement of 0.00%.

Top 10 ASX 200 shares countdown

Today’s index winner came down to gold stock Catalyst Metals Ltd (ASX: CYL). Catalyst stock jumped a healthy 6.11% today to close at $6.77.

This came after the company gave investors a revised (to the upside) reserve estimate for one of its projects.

Here’s the rest of today’s best:

ASX-listed company	Share price	Price change
Catalyst Metals Ltd (ASX: CYL)	$6.77	6.11%
Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV)	$22.87	5.73%
Cleanaway Waste Management Ltd (ASX: CWY)	$2.69	4.67%
Nine Entertainment Co Holdings Ltd (ASX: NEC)	$0.805	4.55%
Telix Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: TLX)	$16.34	4.28%
Tuas Ltd (ASX: TUA)	$2.10	3.45%
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (ASX: KCN)	$5.48	3.20%
Helia Group Ltd (ASX: HLI)	$5.42	3.04%
Stockland Corporation Ltd (ASX: SGP)	$4.21	2.93%
Ampol Ltd (ASX: ALD)	$42.41	2.91%

Our top 10 shares countdown is a recurring end-of-day summary that shows which companies made big moves on the day. Check in at Fool.com.au after the weekday market closes to see which stocks make the countdown.

The post Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Lovisa and Telix Pharmaceuticals. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Lovisa, Nine Entertainment, and Telix Pharmaceuticals. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

If you had stopped checking WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC) shares at the start of the year, you might be in for a shock today.

The stock is down another 1.07% to $32.34 on Monday, taking its 2026 fall to around 53% and leaving it near a 2-month low.

A drop like that is enough to make plenty of investors lose interest.

But sometimes the best opportunities start to show up after most of the excitement has disappeared.

And when I look at WiseTech today, I reckon the long-term picture looks much better than the share price suggests.

The business investors may be overlooking

One thing I don’t think investors are talking about enough is how much business WiseTech has already won but hasn’t fully switched on yet.

At the end of FY26, the company had secured 61 large global freight forwarder rollouts.

Of those, 12 were still being rolled out, with more than 75% of their expected volume yet to go live.

That caught my attention.

It means WiseTech doesn’t need to start from scratch every year and keep finding completely new customers just to grow.

There is already more volume sitting in the pipeline from customers that have signed up.

And once these large freight forwarders move deeper onto CargoWise, the relationship will be much harder to walk away.

Why customers keep sticking around

The other part I like is just how deeply WiseTech is becoming tied into global logistics.

CargoWise is already used by many of the world’s biggest freight forwarders, and the e2open acquisition has pushed the company much further into the wider supply chain.

Once a large customer has built CargoWise into the way it runs its business, changing systems is not exactly simple.

There’s a lot of work involved, especially when freight, customs, compliance and supply chain data are all running through the platform.

WiseTech has also kept customer attrition below 1% for more than 14 years.

That tells me customers are not just trying the software and moving on.

They are sticking around.

And the more products WiseTech can put in front of those customers, the more valuable each relationship can become over time.

Would I buy at $32?

Yes, there are still risks.

But I wouldn’t see another dip as a reason to run.

At around $32, investors are paying a very different price than when WiseTech was pushing towards $100.

The valuation is still not cheap on every measure, but the starting point looks far more attractive to me.

If management keeps growing CargoWise and expands recurring revenue, I can see plenty of upside still ahead.

I’d rather give a business like this time to execute than worry about where the share price trades next week.

The post WiseTech shares have been smashed in 2026. Here’s why I wouldn’t bet against them appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

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Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares are a popular choice among passive income-seeking investors.

It’s not hard to see why. The blue-chip major is currently the largest stock on the ASX by market capitalisation, and it has a consistently strong operational performance.

BHP is a cyclical, rather than a defensive stock. While cyclical stocks are closely tied to the broad economic cycle, they usually outperform during periods of economic recovery. And this is great news for income-focused investors.

The miner’s strong operational history and diversified commodity exposure also means it has a long history of paying consistent and reliable fully-franked dividends to its shareholders.

But how much passive income could a $10,000 investment actually generate? 

Let’s investigate.

What’s the latest out of BHP shares?

At the time of writing, BHP shares are down about 1% and trading at $60.14. The shares are now up around 31% year-to-date and 48% higher than a year ago.

How many shares can I buy for $10,000?

At the current share price of $60.14, a $10,000 investment would buy about 166 shares.

What dividend does BHP pay its shareholders?

First, we need to understand what dividends the mining giant pays its shareholders.

BHP traditionally pays two fully franked dividends to shareholders each year, in March and September. 

BHP declared a total fully franked FY26 dividend of US$1.72 per share (equivalent to $2.4184) last month. This includes a US$0.73 interim and a US$0.99 final dividend. 

Based on the current share price, that translates to a dividend yield of around 4%.

For FY27, BHP is expected to pay US$1.93 (AU$2.70) to shareholders in FY27. At the time of writing, that implies a forward dividend yield of around 4.5%.

So, what passive income can I earn off my $10,000 investment?

Using the estimated payout figures above, we can calculate roughly how much income you can expect from a $10,000 investment.

If the mining giant were to pay the expected $2.70 per share in FY27, then your 166 BHP shares would generate a total of $448.20 in passive income.

What do brokers tip next for BHP shares?

BHP shares have enjoyed an incredible rally over the past 12 months off the back of stronger commodity prices and the company’s strong operational performance.

But it looks like the shares are now trading around fair value.

Market Index data shows the majority of brokers have a hold rating on BHP shares. The average $61.78 target price implies a potential 3% upside ahead, at the time of writing.

TradingView data shows similar sentiment. The majority of analysts (13 out of 21) have a hold rating on BHP shares. Another five rate the mining stock as a strong buy, and three rate the shares as a sell/strong sell.

The average $61.09 target price now implies a potential 2% upside over the next 12 months, at the time of writing.

However, the range between the maximum and minimum target prices is wide. Some forecast the shares to fall nearly 30% to $42.92. Meanwhile, others are bullish that BHP shares could climb another 12% higher to $67.50 over the next 12 months, at the time of writing.

The post If I invest $10,000 in BHP shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• How much superannuation is needed to target $5,500 per month in passive income?
• Down almost 7% in 3 days, are BHP shares finally good value?
• Are ASX shares heading for a crash? Here’s how I’m preparing
• Down almost 10%! Why are ASX copper shares tanking?
• Iron ore is back below US$100. Are BHP and Rio Tinto shares still buys?

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Superannuation is more than just a savings pot for retirement, it can also be a powerful tool to help generate long-term wealth and a passive income stream.

By investing today, you can benefit from low tax rates, compounding, and eventually a tax-free passive income once you transition to the pension phase.

But how much do you actually need in your super to generate the passive income you want when you retire?

Let’s break it down, using $5,500 per month as an example.

How much superannuation do I need to earn $5,500 of monthly passive income?

The math is simple.

First, calculate what $5,500 in passive income per month totals over the year. 

So, $5,500 x 12 = $66,000.

Then divide your annual passive income by your overall portfolio’s dividend yield.

But the tricky part is that the answer varies widely depending on your portfolio’s dividend yield.

For example, a portfolio with a dividend yield of around 6% only needs to be half the size of one with a dividend yield of around 3% to generate the same level of passive income. 

Let’s break it down further

If your overall portfolio has a dividend yield of around 3%, you’ll need a balance of around $2.2 million to earn $66,000 in passive income each year.

A $2 million-plus portfolio isn’t achievable for many Australian investors, but the good news is that, as the dividend yield of your portfolio increases, the superannuation balance you need to earn the same passive income goes down.

For example, if your portfolio yields closer to 4%, you would need around $1.65 million in your superannuation to earn $5,500 in passive income each month.

Then, if your portfolio yields around 5%, your balance would need to be closer to $1.3 million to generate the same dividend income.

Increase that to a 6% or 7% dividend yield, and you’re looking at closer to $1.1 million or $943,000. You’d still earn $66,000 per year in passive income with these portfolio sizes.

Note that the higher the yield, generally the higher the risk associated with that ASX stock.

Ok, so what ASX shares can I buy with dividend yields between 3% and 7%?

A wide range of shares yield 3% to 7%, but here are a few of my top picks.

ASX dividend-paying shares, such as large-cap companies like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) or mining giant BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), pay their shareholders a 3-4% dividend yield. 

Defensive shares like Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS), Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) or Amcor PLC (ASX: AMC) are a solid choice for income-seeking investors. These all yield around the 5% to 6% level (at the time of writing).

For a higher 7% dividend yield, or even above, I’d look at dividend-payers like Shaver Shop Group Ltd (ASX: SSG), IPH Ltd (ASX: IPH), or even a real estate investment trust like Charter Hall Long Wale REIT (ASX: CLW).

The post How much superannuation is needed to target $5,500 per month in passive income? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• If I invest $10,000 in BHP shares, how much passive income will I receive in 2027?
• My top ASX passive income stocks for the next 10 years
• Down almost 7% in 3 days, are BHP shares finally good value?
• Experts name CBA and these big-name ASX 200 shares as sells this week
• Buy, hold, sell: NextDC, South32, CBA shares

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Amcor Plc and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group, IPH Ltd , and Shaver Shop Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) shares are back at levels investors have not seen for a year.

The iron ore giant is down 0.60% to $16.57 during Monday trade, putting the stock right on its 52-week low.

That extends what has been a rough run in 2026, with Fortescue shares now down around 25% since the start of the year.

The stock was trading as high as $23.13 on 14 May, so the decline from those levels is now close to 30%.

So, just how much further could Fortescue shares fall?

Let’s take a closer look.

Why are Fortescue shares struggling?

Fortescue’s FY26 result actually had a few decent numbers in it.

Revenue rose 9% to US$16.97 billion, helped by higher shipments and iron ore prices, while both operating cash flow and free cash flow moved higher.

However, statutory net profit fell 15% to US$2.86 billion, while the final fully-franked dividend dropped to 46 cents per share from 60 cents a year earlier.

There are a few other concerns hanging over the stock as well.

Fortescue is expecting higher spending in FY27, while the iron ore outlook remains difficult to read with China’s property sector still weak.

Could the shares fall below $16?

Looking at the latest broker targets, I wouldn’t rule it out.

TipRanks shows 11 recent analyst ratings on Fortescue, with 2 buys, 6 holds, and 3 sells.

The average 12-month price target is $17.91, which is around 8% above the current share price.

But some analysts are much more cautious.

The lowest target is $15.40 from Jarden, with Morgan Stanley close behind at $15.45. Jefferies has a $16 target, which is already below where the shares are trading today.

At the other end, RBC Capital, Macquarie, and BMO Capital each have $20 targets, around 21% above Fortescue’s current price.

What would I watch from here?

Iron ore prices are probably the first thing I’d be watching.

Fortescue is still very heavily exposed to the commodity, so any further weakness could put more pressure on earnings and the share price.

I’d also keep an eye on the current 52-week low of around $16.57.

If the shares break below that level, the $15.50 area starts to come into play, especially with Jarden and Morgan Stanley already sitting around there with their price targets.

Fortescue shares are obviously a lot cheaper than they were a few months ago, but I’m not convinced the fall is over just yet.

The post Fortescue shares just hit a 52-week low. Could $16 be next? appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Experts name CBA and these big-name ASX 200 shares as sells this week
• Buy, hold, sell: Corporate Travel Management, Wesfarmers, Fortescue shares
• $10,00 invested in Rio Tinto and Fortescue shares 3 years ago is now worth…
• 3 ASX 200 shares I’d buy if I couldn’t sell for 10 years
• Higher or lower: Where are CSL shares going next?

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Jefferies Financial Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

Having $3,000 ready to invest opens up plenty of possibilities on the ASX.

For me, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) would be worth considering because they can put that money to work across a large number of businesses straight away.

These three Vanguard ETFs would all be on my shortlist.

Vanguard Diversified High Growth Index ETF (ASX: VDHG)

For someone wanting to keep things simple, the VDHG ETF could be a strong option.

The fund is effectively a ready-made investment portfolio. Around 90% is allocated to growth assets such as Australian and international shares, with the remainder invested in defensive assets such as bonds.

That gives investors exposure to thousands of securities across numerous markets without having to decide how much money to allocate to each one.

Vanguard also takes care of rebalancing the portfolio over time.

I think that makes the Vanguard Diversified High Growth Index ETF particularly interesting for an investor who wants to buy one ETF, keep adding to it, and largely leave the portfolio management to Vanguard.

Vanguard Global Technology Index ETF (ASX: VTEK)

Investors looking for stronger growth exposure might prefer the VTEK ETF.

This fund invests in hundreds of technology stocks from developed and emerging markets.

Its holdings include businesses such as Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, and ASML Holding.

That gives investors exposure to several areas I expect to keep attracting significant investment over the coming decade, including artificial intelligence, semiconductors, cloud computing, and software.

Of course, concentrating in one sector would bring more risk than choosing a broadly diversified ETF.

But for someone comfortable with a higher level of volatility and looking for long-term growth, I think this Vanguard ETF is a top option.

Vanguard S&P 500 US Shares Index ETF (ASX: V500)

The V500 ETF is another Vanguard fund that I would buy.

It tracks the S&P 500 Index, providing exposure to around 500 of the largest companies listed in the United States.

That includes technology businesses, but also major companies across healthcare, financial services, consumer products, industrials, and many other industries.

I like this because investors can participate in the growth of corporate America without relying on a handful of individual stock picks.

The ETF also has a low management fee, which can become increasingly valuable over a long holding period.

For someone wanting to put money behind US shares, I think the Vanguard S&P 500 US Shares Index ETF could make a lot of sense.

Foolish takeaway

I think all three Vanguard ETFs offer something worth considering for a long-term investor.

Which one I chose would depend on what I already owned and where I wanted more exposure.

With $3,000 available, I would be comfortable putting the money into one of these ETFs or spreading it across more than one. The important thing for me would be choosing the opportunity that best complemented the rest of my investments.

The post 3 top Vanguard ETFs I’d buy with $3,000 appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

More reading

• Why these ASX ETFs could be strong long-term picks
• 2 Vanguard ETFs I’d buy and hold for a decade
• Is this the best diversified ASX ETF on the market right now?
• Why I think this Vanguard ETF could be one of the best to buy and hold forever
• How I’d make investing easy with Vanguard ETFs

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia’s parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ASML, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ASML, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.